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Studies on the use of prediction models for assessing infection risk days of fire blight disease [<em>Erwinia amylovora</em> (Burrill) Winslow et al.] in apple and pear orchards in Ankara and Tokat

Year 2013, Volume: 53 Issue: 4, 207 - 238, 31.12.2013

Abstract

Billing Revised System (BRS), Billing Integrated System (BIS95) and Maryblyt  Version 4.3 computer models were used for predicting fire blight infection risks in apple and pear orchards in Tokat and Ankara provinces during 1998, 2000 and 2001 growing seasons. Infection risk days were predicted accurately with BRS risk assessment system, but this system was indicated more infection risk days than that of actual infections. Blossom and shoot infection risk days on pear were predicted more accurately with BIS95 model. In 1998, Maryblyt model have been successful in predicting blossom blight infections but first symptoms in orchard were occurred later than predicted. In 2000 and 2001 Maryblyt and BIS95 models indicated infection risk days in pear orchards due to hail and the first symptoms on pear were detected according to the prediction of these models. In both years no infection risk days on apple were predicted by Maryblyt model but BIS95 indicated blossom blight infection risk days in 2000. As a result of these studies, Maryblyt and BIS95 models were evaluated successfully for indicating the dates of infection risk and symptom occurrence in Tokat and Ankara provinces.

References

  • Billing E. 1980. Fire blight in Kent, England in relation to weather (1965–1976). Ann. App. Biol., 95, 341–364.
  • Billing E. 1992. Billing‟s revised system (BRS) for fire blight risk assesment. Bullet. OEPP/EPPO, 22: 1–102.
  • Billing E. 1996. BIS95, An improved approach to fire blight risk assesment. Acta Horticulturae, 411: 121–126.
  • Billing E. 1999. Fire blight risk assesment: Billing‟s Integrated System (BIS) and its evaluation. Acta Horticulturae, 489: 399–405.
  • Demir G. and Üstün N. 1999. Comparison of different prediction systems for blossom blight risk assesment on pear and apple in Aegean Region of Turkey. Acta Horticulturae, 489: 419–428.
  • Jones A.L. 1992. Evaluation of the computer model Maryblyt for predicting fire blight blossom infection on apple in Michigan. Plant Disease, 76: 344–347. Ishimaru C. and Klos J.E. 1984. New medium for detecting Erwinia amylovora and its use in epidemiological studies. Phytopathology, 74: 1342–1345.
  • Lightner G.T., van der Zwet T. and Steiner P. 1999. Fifteen year summary of the efficacy of the Maryblyt prediction system on apple in West Virginia (1984-1998). Acta Horticulturae, 489: 445–447.
  • Mills W.D. 1955. Fire blight development on apple in western New York. Plant Dis. Rep., 39: 206–207.

Ankara ve Tokat’ta elma ve armut bahçelerinde Ateş yanıklığı hastalığının [Erwinia amylovora (Burrill) Winslow et al.] enfeksiyon risk günlerinin belirlenmesinde tahmin modellerinin kullanılması üzerine çalışmalar

Year 2013, Volume: 53 Issue: 4, 207 - 238, 31.12.2013

Abstract

Billing Revised System (BRS), Billing Integrated System (BIS95) ve Maryblyt  Version 4.3 bilgisayar modeli, Ateş yanıklığı enfeksiyon risklerini tahmin etmek için 1998, 2000 ve 2001 yılları yetiştirme mevsimlerinde Tokat ve Ankara illerindeki elma ve armut bahçelerinde kullanılmıştır. BRS risk değerlendirme sistemi ile enfeksiyon risk günleri doğru olarak tespit edilmiş, fakat bu sistem gerçek enfeksiyonlardan daha fazla enfeksiyon risk günü belirlemiştir. BIS95 modeli ile çiçek ve sürgün enfeksiyon risk günleri armutta daha doğru tahmin edilmiştir. 1998 yılında, Maryblyt modeli çiçek yanıklığı enfeksiyonlarını tahmin etmede başarılı olmuş fakat bahçede ilk belirtiler tahmin edilenden daha sonra meydana gelmiştir. 2000 ve 2001 yıllarında Maryblyt ve BIS95 modelleri dolu yağışından dolayı armut bahçelerinde enfeksiyon risk günleri belirlemiştir ve armutta ilk belirtiler modeller tarafından tahmin edildiği gibi tespit edilmiştir. Her iki yılda elmada çiçek yanıklığı enfeksiyon risk günleri Maryblyt modeli tarafından belirlenmemiştir. Fakat BIS95 modeli 2000 yılında elmada çiçek yanıklığı enfeksiyon risk gününü belirlemiştir. Çalışmalar sonucunda Tokat ve Ankara illerinde enfeksiyon risk ve belirti oluşum tarihlerinin belirlenmesinde Maryblyt ve BIS95 modelleri başarılı olarak değerlendirilmiştir.

References

  • Billing E. 1980. Fire blight in Kent, England in relation to weather (1965–1976). Ann. App. Biol., 95, 341–364.
  • Billing E. 1992. Billing‟s revised system (BRS) for fire blight risk assesment. Bullet. OEPP/EPPO, 22: 1–102.
  • Billing E. 1996. BIS95, An improved approach to fire blight risk assesment. Acta Horticulturae, 411: 121–126.
  • Billing E. 1999. Fire blight risk assesment: Billing‟s Integrated System (BIS) and its evaluation. Acta Horticulturae, 489: 399–405.
  • Demir G. and Üstün N. 1999. Comparison of different prediction systems for blossom blight risk assesment on pear and apple in Aegean Region of Turkey. Acta Horticulturae, 489: 419–428.
  • Jones A.L. 1992. Evaluation of the computer model Maryblyt for predicting fire blight blossom infection on apple in Michigan. Plant Disease, 76: 344–347. Ishimaru C. and Klos J.E. 1984. New medium for detecting Erwinia amylovora and its use in epidemiological studies. Phytopathology, 74: 1342–1345.
  • Lightner G.T., van der Zwet T. and Steiner P. 1999. Fifteen year summary of the efficacy of the Maryblyt prediction system on apple in West Virginia (1984-1998). Acta Horticulturae, 489: 445–447.
  • Mills W.D. 1955. Fire blight development on apple in western New York. Plant Dis. Rep., 39: 206–207.
There are 8 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Tr
Journal Section Makaleler
Authors

Aynur Karahan

Meriç Özakman This is me

Şenol Altundağ This is me

Publication Date December 31, 2013
Submission Date December 31, 2013
Published in Issue Year 2013 Volume: 53 Issue: 4

Cite

APA Karahan, A., Özakman, M., & Altundağ, Ş. (2013). Studies on the use of prediction models for assessing infection risk days of fire blight disease [Erwinia amylovora (Burrill) Winslow et al.] in apple and pear orchards in Ankara and Tokat. Plant Protection Bulletin, 53(4), 207-238.
AMA Karahan A, Özakman M, Altundağ Ş. Studies on the use of prediction models for assessing infection risk days of fire blight disease [Erwinia amylovora (Burrill) Winslow et al.] in apple and pear orchards in Ankara and Tokat. Plant Protection Bulletin. December 2013;53(4):207-238.
Chicago Karahan, Aynur, Meriç Özakman, and Şenol Altundağ. “Studies on the Use of Prediction Models for Assessing Infection Risk Days of Fire Blight Disease [Erwinia amylovora (Burrill) Winslow Et al.] in Apple and Pear Orchards in Ankara and Tokat”. Plant Protection Bulletin 53, no. 4 (December 2013): 207-38.
EndNote Karahan A, Özakman M, Altundağ Ş (December 1, 2013) Studies on the use of prediction models for assessing infection risk days of fire blight disease [Erwinia amylovora (Burrill) Winslow et al.] in apple and pear orchards in Ankara and Tokat. Plant Protection Bulletin 53 4 207–238.
IEEE A. Karahan, M. Özakman, and Ş. Altundağ, “Studies on the use of prediction models for assessing infection risk days of fire blight disease [Erwinia amylovora (Burrill) Winslow et al.] in apple and pear orchards in Ankara and Tokat”, Plant Protection Bulletin, vol. 53, no. 4, pp. 207–238, 2013.
ISNAD Karahan, Aynur et al. “Studies on the Use of Prediction Models for Assessing Infection Risk Days of Fire Blight Disease [Erwinia amylovora (Burrill) Winslow Et al.] in Apple and Pear Orchards in Ankara and Tokat”. Plant Protection Bulletin 53/4 (December 2013), 207-238.
JAMA Karahan A, Özakman M, Altundağ Ş. Studies on the use of prediction models for assessing infection risk days of fire blight disease [Erwinia amylovora (Burrill) Winslow et al.] in apple and pear orchards in Ankara and Tokat. Plant Protection Bulletin. 2013;53:207–238.
MLA Karahan, Aynur et al. “Studies on the Use of Prediction Models for Assessing Infection Risk Days of Fire Blight Disease [Erwinia amylovora (Burrill) Winslow Et al.] in Apple and Pear Orchards in Ankara and Tokat”. Plant Protection Bulletin, vol. 53, no. 4, 2013, pp. 207-38.
Vancouver Karahan A, Özakman M, Altundağ Ş. Studies on the use of prediction models for assessing infection risk days of fire blight disease [Erwinia amylovora (Burrill) Winslow et al.] in apple and pear orchards in Ankara and Tokat. Plant Protection Bulletin. 2013;53(4):207-38.

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