Kentsel ve Kırsal Oy Verme Eğilimi: Bosna-Hersek 2014 Parlemento Seçimleri Örneği

Abstract

Bu çalışma 2014 yılında Bosna-Hersek’te yapılan parlamento seçimlerinin sonuçlarına göre kırsal ve kentsel bölgelerdeki seçmenlerin seçime katılan siyasi partilerin ideolojik temellerine göre yaptıkları oy tercihlerini analiz etmeyi amaçlamaktadır. Bu çalışma Bosna-Hersek’te seçimde oy veren kırsal ve kentsel seçmenlerin sağ ve sol kanattaki siyasi partilere olan desteğinde oldukça anlamlı (yüzde 10 civarında) bir fark olduğunu tespit etmiştir. Bu fark Bosna-Hersek Federasyonu’nda (FBH) Sırp Cumhuriyeti’ne (RS) kıyasla çok daha barizdir. Bu durumun temel nedeni Sırp Cumhuriyeti’nde sol kanatta sayılabilecek bir partinin belirlenmesindeki zorluktur. Teoride hangi partinin sağ, hangi partinin sol parti olduğunun belirlenmesi parti programına ve halka açık dokümanlara bakılarak kolay bir şekilde yapılabilir; ancak pratikte Sırp Cumhuriyeti için bu belirleme düşünüldüğü kadar kolay değildir. Sırp Cumhuriyeti’nde tüm partiler az veya çok ırkçı siyasi söyleme ve duruşa sahiptirler ve bu durum bu partileri temel olarak sağ partiler haline getirmektedir.

Keywords

• Seçim
• Oy
• Kırsal
• Kentsel
• Bosna-Hersek
• Sırp Cumhuriyeti

Urban and Rural Voting Tendency: Case of Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2014 Parliamentary Elections

Abstract

This paper aims to analyze the preference of the urban and rural voters with regards to the ideological foundation of the political parties participated in 2014 parliamentary elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina. The study finds that there is a significant difference (around 10 percent) between the rural and urban voters in their support for right-wing and left-wing political parties. This difference is more remarkable in the Federation (FBH) than in the entity of the Republika Srpska (RS). This is mainly because of the difficulty of identifying a left-wing party in RS. In theory, it is straightforward and easy to distinguish and classify political parties on the right and left of the political spectrum on the basis of their programs and available documents but it is not that easy in reality. More or less, all parties in RS have strong nationalist views and stand which makes them essentially right-wing parties.

Keywords

• Election
• Voting
• Urban
• Rural
• Bosnia and Herzegovina
• Republika Srpska

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