Türkiye'de Dışa Açıklık ve Verimlilik Arasındaki Uzun Vadeli Bağlantı

Abstract

Bu çalışma, Türkiye'de dışa açıklık ve verimlilik arasındaki uzun vadeli ilişkiyi bulmayı amaçlamaktadır. Bu amaçla analizlerde ARDL yöntemi kullanılmıştır. GSYİH yüzdesi olarak ticaret, dışa, açıklığın bir göstergesi olarak kullanılır. İşgücü verimliliği, ise üretkenliğin bir göstergesi olarak kabul edilmiştir. Ampirik bulgular, dışa açıklık ve verimlilik arasındaki ilişkinin 1960 ile 2019 arasındaki verilere göre pozitif olduğunu ortaya koymaktadır. Ancak, bu uzun vadeli pozitif ilişki kısa vadede istatistiksel olarak anlamlı değildir. Modelleme ve bulguların kabul edilebilirliğinden emin olmak için analizler tanısal testler ile de desteklenmiştir.

Keywords

• Ticari Dışa Açıklık
• İşgücü Verimliliği
• ARDL

The Long-run Nexus Between Openness and Productivity in Turkey

Abstract

This study aims to find the long-run relationship between openness and productivity in Turkey. For this aim Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method is utilized in the anlyses. Trade as percentage of GDP is used as an indicator of openness. And labor productivity is considered as an indicator of productivity. Empirical findings reveal that the association between openness and productivity is positive based on the data between 1960 and 2019. However, this long-run positive relationship is not statistically significant in the short-run. Diagnostic tests are also used to ensure that the modeling and analyses are acceptable.

Keywords

• Trade Openness
• Labor Productivity
• ARDL

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