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Year 2007, Volume: 1 Issue: 1, 29 - 44, 01.06.2007

Erman Erbaykal Erman Erbaykal

Abstract

Özet: Bu çalısmada, Türkiye’de ekonomik büyüme ile enerji tüketimi iliskisi, 1970–2003 dönemi için incelenmistir. Ekonomik büyüme ve enerji tüketimi serileri, farklı derecelerden duragan (I(0) ve I(1)) oldukları için, aralarındaki iliski, Sınır Testi yaklasımı ile arastırılmıstır. Bu yaklasıma göre, seriler arasında esbütünlesme iliskisi tespit edilmis; kısa dönemde degiskenler arasında pozitif bir iliski ortaya çıkarken, uzun dönemde istatistiksel olarak anlamlı bir iliski bulunamamıstır.

Keywords

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References

  • Akarca, A.T. T.V. Long (1980) “On the relationship between energy and GNP: a reexamination”, Journal of Energy and Development, Vol. 5, pp. 326-331
  • Al-İ., Mahmoud A., (2006). “Energy-GPD Relationship Revisited: An Example from GCC Countries Using Panel Countries”, Energy Policy, Article in Pres
  • Altinay, G., Karagol, E., (2004). “Structural Break, Unit Root, and the Causality between Energy Consumption and GDP in Turkey”, Energy Economics, 26, pp. 985-994.
  • Asafu-Adjaye, J.,(2000). “The relationship between energy consumption, energy prices and economic growth: time series evidence from Asian developing countries.” Energy Economics, Vol. 22, No. , pp. 615–625.
  • Dickey, D., W. Fuller, (1979). “Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root.” Journal of American Statistical Association, Vol. 74, No.pp. 427-431.
  • Engel, R.F., Granger, C.W.J. (1987).”Co-integration and Error Correction Representation, Estimation and Testing” Econometrica, Vol. 55, No.2, pp. 251-276.
  • Erol, U., Yu, E. S. H., (1987). “On the Relationship Between Energy and Income for Industrialized Countries”, Journal of Energy and Employment, pp.113-122.
  • Gujarati, D.N., (1999) “Temel Ekonometri”, (Çev. Ü. Şenesen & G.G. Şenesen). İstanbul, Literatür Yayınları.
  • Johansen, S. (1988). “Statistical Analysis of Co-integration Vectors”, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control Vol. 12, No. 2/3, pp. 231-254. 10. Johansen, S., Juselius, K. (1990) “Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Co-integration-With Applications to the Demand For Money”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 52, No. 2, pp.169-210.
  • IEA OECD Statistics Data Base (2004)
  • Kraft, J. A. Kraft, (1978) “On the relationship between energy and GNP”, Journal of Energy and Development, Vol.3, No. , pp. 401-403.
  • Kutlar, A., (2000). Ekonometrik Zaman Serileri. Ankara: Gazi Kitapevi
  • Lee, C. C., (2005). “Energy Consumption and GDP in Developing
  • Countries: A Co integrated Panel Analysis”, 27, pp. 415-427
  • Masih, A. M. M., Masih R., (1997). “On the Temporal Causal Relationship Between Energy Consumption, Real Income and Prices: Some Evidence From Asian-Energy Dependent NICs Based on A Multivariate Co- integration/Vector Error Correction Approach”, Journal of Policy Modelling, 19, pp. 417-440
  • Narayan S., Narayan P. K. (2004). “Determinants of Demand of Fiji’s Exports: An Empirical Investigation” The Developing Economics XVII-1 95-112
  • Narayan, P.K., Smyth, R. (2006). “What determines migration flows from low-income to high-income countries? An empirical investigation of Fiji- US Migration 1972–2001.” Contemporary Economic Policy, vol. 24, No.2, pp. 332–342.
  • Pesaran, M. H. Shin, Y., Smith, R.J., (2001) “Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships”, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16, pp.289-326
  • Phillips, P.C.B., Perron, P., (1988). “Testing for a unit root in time series regression.” Biomètrika75 (2) 336-346.
  • Rufael, Y. W., (2005). “Energy Demand and Economic Growth:
  • The African Experience”, Journal of Policy Modeling, 27, pp. 891-903
  • Stern, D.I., (1993). “Energy and Economic Growth in the USA:A Multivariate Approach”, Energy Economics, 15, pp.137-150.
  • Stern, D.I., (2000). “Multivariate co-integration analysis of the role of energy in the US macro economy.” Energy Economics, Vol. 22, pp. 267– 283.
  • Stern, D.I., Cleveland, J. C., (2004). “Energy and Economic Growth”, Rensselaer Working Papers in Economics, pp. 1-42.
  • Soytaş,U., Sarı,R., Özdemir,Ö., (2001). “Energy Consumption and GNP Relation in Turkey: A Co-integration and Vector Error Correction Analysis”, Global Business and Technology Association, p.838-844
  • Soytaş, U., Sarı, R., (2003). “Energy Consumption and GDP: A Causality relationship in G–7 Countries and Emerging Markets”, Energy Economics, 25, pp.33–37
  • TÜİK (Türkiye İstatistik Kurumu) İstatistiksel Göstergeler 2004.

TÜRKİYE’DE ENERJİ TÜKETİMİNİN EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİSİ

Year 2007, Volume: 1 Issue: 1, 29 - 44, 01.06.2007

Erman Erbaykal Erman Erbaykal

Abstract

Bu çalışmada, Türkiye’de ekonomik büyüme ile enerji tüketimi ilişkisi, 1970–2003
dönemi için incelenmiştir. Ekonomik büyüme ve enerji tüketimi serileri, farklı
derecelerden durağan (I(0) ve I(1)) oldukları için, aralarındaki ilişki, Sınır Testi
yaklaşımı ile araştırılmıştır. Bu yaklaşıma göre, seriler arasında eşbütünleşme ilişkisi
tespit edilmiş; kısa dönemde değişkenler arasında pozitif bir ilişki ortaya çıkarken, uzun
dönemde istatistiksel olarak anlamlı bir ilişki bulunamamıştır.

Keywords

Ekonomik büyüme enerji tüketimi eşbütünleşme sınır testi ARDL modeli

References

  • Akarca, A.T. T.V. Long (1980) “On the relationship between energy and GNP: a reexamination”, Journal of Energy and Development, Vol. 5, pp. 326-331
  • Al-İ., Mahmoud A., (2006). “Energy-GPD Relationship Revisited: An Example from GCC Countries Using Panel Countries”, Energy Policy, Article in Pres
  • Altinay, G., Karagol, E., (2004). “Structural Break, Unit Root, and the Causality between Energy Consumption and GDP in Turkey”, Energy Economics, 26, pp. 985-994.
  • Asafu-Adjaye, J.,(2000). “The relationship between energy consumption, energy prices and economic growth: time series evidence from Asian developing countries.” Energy Economics, Vol. 22, No. , pp. 615–625.
  • Dickey, D., W. Fuller, (1979). “Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root.” Journal of American Statistical Association, Vol. 74, No.pp. 427-431.
  • Engel, R.F., Granger, C.W.J. (1987).”Co-integration and Error Correction Representation, Estimation and Testing” Econometrica, Vol. 55, No.2, pp. 251-276.
  • Erol, U., Yu, E. S. H., (1987). “On the Relationship Between Energy and Income for Industrialized Countries”, Journal of Energy and Employment, pp.113-122.
  • Gujarati, D.N., (1999) “Temel Ekonometri”, (Çev. Ü. Şenesen & G.G. Şenesen). İstanbul, Literatür Yayınları.
  • Johansen, S. (1988). “Statistical Analysis of Co-integration Vectors”, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control Vol. 12, No. 2/3, pp. 231-254. 10. Johansen, S., Juselius, K. (1990) “Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Co-integration-With Applications to the Demand For Money”, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 52, No. 2, pp.169-210.
  • IEA OECD Statistics Data Base (2004)
  • Kraft, J. A. Kraft, (1978) “On the relationship between energy and GNP”, Journal of Energy and Development, Vol.3, No. , pp. 401-403.
  • Kutlar, A., (2000). Ekonometrik Zaman Serileri. Ankara: Gazi Kitapevi
  • Lee, C. C., (2005). “Energy Consumption and GDP in Developing
  • Countries: A Co integrated Panel Analysis”, 27, pp. 415-427
  • Masih, A. M. M., Masih R., (1997). “On the Temporal Causal Relationship Between Energy Consumption, Real Income and Prices: Some Evidence From Asian-Energy Dependent NICs Based on A Multivariate Co- integration/Vector Error Correction Approach”, Journal of Policy Modelling, 19, pp. 417-440
  • Narayan S., Narayan P. K. (2004). “Determinants of Demand of Fiji’s Exports: An Empirical Investigation” The Developing Economics XVII-1 95-112
  • Narayan, P.K., Smyth, R. (2006). “What determines migration flows from low-income to high-income countries? An empirical investigation of Fiji- US Migration 1972–2001.” Contemporary Economic Policy, vol. 24, No.2, pp. 332–342.
  • Pesaran, M. H. Shin, Y., Smith, R.J., (2001) “Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships”, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16, pp.289-326
  • Phillips, P.C.B., Perron, P., (1988). “Testing for a unit root in time series regression.” Biomètrika75 (2) 336-346.
  • Rufael, Y. W., (2005). “Energy Demand and Economic Growth:
  • The African Experience”, Journal of Policy Modeling, 27, pp. 891-903
  • Stern, D.I., (1993). “Energy and Economic Growth in the USA:A Multivariate Approach”, Energy Economics, 15, pp.137-150.
  • Stern, D.I., (2000). “Multivariate co-integration analysis of the role of energy in the US macro economy.” Energy Economics, Vol. 22, pp. 267– 283.
  • Stern, D.I., Cleveland, J. C., (2004). “Energy and Economic Growth”, Rensselaer Working Papers in Economics, pp. 1-42.
  • Soytaş,U., Sarı,R., Özdemir,Ö., (2001). “Energy Consumption and GNP Relation in Turkey: A Co-integration and Vector Error Correction Analysis”, Global Business and Technology Association, p.838-844
  • Soytaş, U., Sarı, R., (2003). “Energy Consumption and GDP: A Causality relationship in G–7 Countries and Emerging Markets”, Energy Economics, 25, pp.33–37
  • TÜİK (Türkiye İstatistik Kurumu) İstatistiksel Göstergeler 2004.
There are 27 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Authors

Erman Erbaykal This is me

Erman Erbaykal This is me

Publication Date June 1, 2007
Published in Issue Year 2007 Volume: 1 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Erbaykal, E., & Erbaykal, E. (2007). TÜRKİYE’DE ENERJİ TÜKETİMİNİN EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİSİ. Beykent Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 1(1), 29-44.