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A Comparative Analysis of the United States’ Trade Frictions with China, Japan and South Korea, 1985-2016

Yıl 2018, Cilt: 15 Sayı: 30, 197 - 213, 20.04.2018

Öz

This article investigates the interplay between interstate economic and security relations by conducting a comparative analysis of United States’ (U.S.) trade frictions with China, Japan and South Korea. The data demonstrate that the U.S. responded to its East Asian allies during the Cold War with retaliatory measures when they started to make trade surpluses against the U.S. Thus, it could be expected that the U.S. would respond to its mounting trade deficit against China after 2001 even more decisively, since it has had territorial disputes with this country. However, our analysis indicates that the U.S. followed a more docile approach with China until its 2008 economic crisis. This puzzle is explained by a number of economic and political factors. Our analysis concludes with insights for the coordination of trade and security policies at the governmental level and for the World Trade Organization’s dispute settlement mechanism

Kaynakça

  • Ballo, Walden and Shea Cunningham, ‘Trade Warfare and Regional Integration in the Pa- cific: The USA, Japan and the Asian NICs’, Third World Quarterly, 15(3), 1994, pp. 445-458.
  • Bardhan, Ashok D. and Dwight M. Jaffee, “Global Capital Flows, Foreign Financing and US Interest Rates”, Fisher Center Working Papers 303, 2007.
  • Branstetter Lee and C. Fritz Foley. ‘Facts and Fallacies about U.S. FDI in China’, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Working Paper Series 13470, Issues in October 2007. Available at: http://www.nber.org/papers/w13470
  • Bureau of Economic Analysis, National Economic Accounts, 2008, Available at: http:// www.bea.gov/national/index.htm#gdp
  • Central Intelligence Agency. World Factbook. Rank Order, 2008. Available at: https://www. cia.gov/library/publications/download/download-2008/
  • Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, 2007, www.fas.org/nuke/guide/china/doctrine/pills2/ part08.htm (Retrieved on January 24, 2016)
  • Cohen , Stephen D. ‘United States-Japan Trade Relations’, Proceedings of the Academy of Political Science, 37(4), 1990, pp. 122-136.
  • Curtis, Gerald L. ‘U.S. Policy toward Japan from Nixon to Clinton: An Assessment’ in Cur- tis (ed.) New Perspectives on U.S.-Japan Relations, New York: Japan Center for Inter- national Exchange, 2001.
  • Davis, Cristina. ‘Japan: Trade and Security Interdependence’, Foreign Policy in Focus, 2(18), 1997, pp. 1-3.
  • Dolan, Ronald E. and Robert L. Worden. (eds.) Japan: A Country Study, Washington: GPO for the Library of Congress, 1994.
  • Duffy, Michael. ‘Trade and Politics: Mission Impossible’, Time, January, 20, 1992. Available at:
  • http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,974715,00.html?promoid=googlep
  • Farah, Paolo D. ‘Five Years of Chinas WTO Membership: EU and US Perspectives on Chi- na’s Compliance with Transparency Commitments and the Transitional Review Mec- hanism’, Legal Issues of Economic Integration, 33(3), 2006, pp. 263-304.
  • Federal Reserve Bank of New York, ‘Report on Foreign Portfolio Holdings of U.S. Securiti- es’, June30, 2006. Available at: http://ticdata.treasury.gov/Publish/shl2006r.pdf
  • Federation of American Scientists. China’s National Defense in 2006, Information Office of the State Council – People’s Republic of China, December 29, 2006. Available at: www. fas.org/nuke/guide/china/doctrine/wp2006.html
  • Fidler, David P. Why the WTO is not an Appropriate Venue for Addressing Economic Cy- ber Espionage? Arms Control Law, February 11, 2013. Available at: https://armscon- trollaw.com/2013/02/11/why-the-wto-is-not-an-appropriate-venue-for-addressing- economic-cyber-espionage/
  • Goldstein, Morris. Currency Manipulation and Enforcing the Rules of the International Monetary System, Presented at the Conference on IMF Reform Institute for Internati- onal Economics, Washington, DC. September 23, 2005. Available at: https://piie.com/ commentary/speeches-papers/currency-manipulation-and-enforcing-rules-internatio- nal-monetary-system
  • Gowa, Joanne. Allies, Adversaries, and International Trade, Princeton, NJ: Princeton Uni- versity Press, 1994.
  • Gowa, Joanne. Ballots and Bullets: The Elusive Democratic Peace. Princeton, New Jersey: Princeton University Press, 1999.
  • Independent Task Force of the Council on Foreign Relations, U.S.-China Relations: An Af- firmative Agenda, a Responsible Course, New York: The Council on Foreign Relations Inc., 2007.
  • Keohane, Robert O. After Hegemony: Cooperation and Discord in the World Political Eco- nomy, 1st ed., Princeton and Oxford: Princeton University Press, 1984.
  • Kono, Daniel Y. ‘Optimal Obfuscation: Democracy and Trade Policy Transparency’, Ame- rican Political Science Review, 100 (3), 2006, pp. 369-384.
  • Langdon, Frank. ‘Japan-United States Trade Friction: The Reciprocity Issue’, Asian Survey, 23(5), 1983, pp. 653-666.
  • Layne, Christopher. ‘Kant or Cant: The Myth of the Democratic Peace’, International Security, 19(2), 1994, pp.5-49
  • Lovett, William A., Alfred E. Eckes, and Richard L. Brinkman. U.S. Trade Policy: History, Theory, and the WTO, New York: ME Sharpe,1999.
  • Lum, Thomas and Dick K. Nanto, ‘China’s Trade with the United States and the World’. Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service (CRS) Report for Congress, No- vember 2004. Available at: http://digitalcommons.ilr.cornell.edu/cgi/viewcontent. cgi?article=1017&context=key_workplace
  • Mankiw, Greg. ‘Is the U.S. Trade Deficit a Problem?’, March 31, 2006. Available at: http:// gregmankiw.blogspot.com.tr/2006/03/is-us-trade-deficit-problem.html
  • Mearsheimer, John J. The Tragedy of Great Power Politics, New York and London: W.W. Norton and Company, 2001.
  • Milner, Helen V. ‘Resisting the Protectionist Temptation: Industry and the Making of Trade Policy in France and the United States during the 1970s’ International Organization, 41 (4), 1987, pp. 639-665.
  • Moon, Chung-in. Complex Interdependence and Transnational Lobbying: South Korea in the United States, International Studies Quarterly, 32(1), Mar., 1988, pp.67-89.
  • Morrison, Wayne M. and Marc Labonte. ‘China’s Holdings of U.S. Securities: Implications for the U.S. Economy’, Congressional Research Service, August 19, 2013. Available at: http://fas.org/sgp/crs/row/RL34314.pdf
  • National Economic Accounts, 2008. Available at: http://www.bea.gov/national/index. htm#gdp
  • Odell, John S. ‘The Outcomes of International Trade Conflicts: The US and South Korea, 1960-1981’, International Studies Quarterly, 29(3), 1985, pp. 263-286.
  • Pelanda, Carlo. The Grand Alliance: The Global Integration of Democracies. Milan: Franco Angeli, 2007.
  • Pillsbury, Michael. China Debates the New Security Environment, National Defense Uni- versity Press, 2000. Available at: https://www.files.ethz.ch/isn/104682/2000-01_China_ Debates_Future.pdf
  • Powell, Robert. ‘Absolute and Relative Gains in the International Relations Theory’, The American Political Science Review, 85(4), 1991, pp. 1303-1320.
  • Scott, Robert E. and L. Josh Bivens. ‘China Manipulates Its Currency? A Response is Nee- ded’, September 25, 2006. Available at: http://www.epi.org/publication/pm116/
  • Scott, Robert E. ‘Wal-Mart’s Reliance on Chinese Imports Costs U.S. Jobs’, Economic Po- licy Institute, June 26, 2007. Available at: http://www.epi.org/author_publications. cfm?author_id=292
  • Scott, Robert E. ‘The High Cost of the China-WTO Deal’, Economic Policy Institute, Febru- ary 1, 2000. Available at: http://www.epi.org/publication/issuebriefs_ib137/
  • Shalom, Piki Ish. ‘For a Democratic Peace of Mind: Politicization of the Democratic Peace Theory’, Harvard International Review, May 2, 2007. Available at: http://hir.harvard. edu/for-a-democratic-peace-of-mind
  • Simmons, Beth. ‘International Law and State Behavior: Commitment and Compliance’ in International Monetary Affairs, American Political Science Review, 94(December, 2000), pp. 819-836.
  • Sutter, Robert G. Chinese Foreign Relations: Power and Policy since the Cold War, Lanham, MA: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, Inc., 2008.
  • The 17th National Congress of the Communist Party of China 2007. ‘Hu Jintao Charts Road- map for China: Sustainable Growth, Greater Democracy.’ Available at: http://english. cpcnews.cn/92243/6283199.html
  • The Telegraph. ‘China Threatens ‘Nuclear Option’ of Dollar Sales’, August 8, 2007. Availab- le at: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/markets/2813630/China-threatens-nuclear- option-of-dollar-sales.html
  • The White House, The National Security Strategy of the United States of America, March 2006. Available at: https://www.state.gov/documents/organization/64884.pdf
  • Tsai, Kellee S. Capitalism without Democracy. Ithaca and London: Cornell University Press, 2007.
  • U.S. Census Bureau. Trade in Goods (Imports, Exports and Trade Balance), 2008. Available at: http://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/balance/index.html
  • U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission of the Congress. ‘2007 Report to Congress’. Washington, DC., 2007. Available at: http://www.uscc.gov/annual_re- port/2007/report_to_congress.pdf
  • U.S. Government Accountability Office. U.S.-China Trade: ‘The United States has not Restricted Imports Under the China Safeguard’. September 2005, Available at: http:// www.gao.gov/new.items/d051056.pdf
  • Wiarda, Howard J. Political Development in Emerging Nations: Is there still a Third World, Belmont, CA: Wadsworth, 2004.
  • World Trade Organization. Trade Profiles: China. Available at: http://stat.wto.org/Countr- yProfile/WSDBCountryPFView.aspx?Language=E&Country=CN
  • World Trade Organization. United States – Definitive Safeguard Measures on Imports of Certain Steel Products. Dispute Settlement: DS252. Available at: https://www.wto.org/ english/tratop_e/dispu_e/cases_e/ds252_e.htm
  • World Trade Organization, Dispute Settlement DS394: China — Measures Related to the Exportation of Various Raw Materials, available at: <https://www.wto.org/english/ tratop_e/dispu_e/cases_e/ds394_e.htm>
  • World Trade Organization. United States – Definitive Safeguard Measures on Imports of Certain Steel Products. Dispute Settlement: DS252. Available at: https://www.wto.org/ english/tratop_e/dispu_e/cases_e/ds252_e.htm
  • World Trade Organization, Dispute Settlement DS511: China – Domestic Support for Agricultural Producers, available at: https://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/dispu_e/ cases_e/ds511_e.htm
  • Zhang, Kevin H. ‘China’s Foreign Trade and Export Boom’, in Zhang (ed.) China as the World Factory, (London and New York: Routledge, 2007), pp. 9-26.

A.B.D.’nin Çin, Japonya ve Güney Kore ile Ticari Sürtüşmelerinin Karşılaştırmalı Bir Analizi, 1985-2016

Yıl 2018, Cilt: 15 Sayı: 30, 197 - 213, 20.04.2018

Öz

Bu makale, A.B.D.’nin Çin, Japonya ve Güney Kore ile yaşadığı ticari sürtüşmelerin karşılaştırmalı bir analizini yaparak ülkelerin ekonomik ve güvenlik ilişkileri arasındaki etkileşimi incelemektedir. Veriler göstermektedir ki, A.B.D., Soğuk Savaş döneminde Doğu Asyalı müttefikleri kendisine karşı ticaret fazlası vermeye başladığında bu ülkelere misilleme kabilinde tedbirlerle karşılık vermiştir. Bu nedenle, A.B.D.’nin toprak anlaşmazlığı yaşadığı Çin’e karşı 2001’den beri vermekte olduğu devasa ticaret açığına çok daha kararlı tepki vermesi beklenebilir. Ancak, analizimiz gösteriyor ki 2008 ekonomik krizine değin ABD Çin’e karşı daha pasif bir yaklaşım göstermiştir. Bu muamma çesitli ekonomik ve siyasi sebeplerle açıklanmaktadır. Analizimiz, ticaret ve güvenlik politikalarının hükümet seviyesinde koordinasyonu ve Dünya Ticaret Örgütü ihtilafların halli mekanizması alanlarında sonuçlar çıkarmaktadır

Kaynakça

  • Ballo, Walden and Shea Cunningham, ‘Trade Warfare and Regional Integration in the Pa- cific: The USA, Japan and the Asian NICs’, Third World Quarterly, 15(3), 1994, pp. 445-458.
  • Bardhan, Ashok D. and Dwight M. Jaffee, “Global Capital Flows, Foreign Financing and US Interest Rates”, Fisher Center Working Papers 303, 2007.
  • Branstetter Lee and C. Fritz Foley. ‘Facts and Fallacies about U.S. FDI in China’, National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Working Paper Series 13470, Issues in October 2007. Available at: http://www.nber.org/papers/w13470
  • Bureau of Economic Analysis, National Economic Accounts, 2008, Available at: http:// www.bea.gov/national/index.htm#gdp
  • Central Intelligence Agency. World Factbook. Rank Order, 2008. Available at: https://www. cia.gov/library/publications/download/download-2008/
  • Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, 2007, www.fas.org/nuke/guide/china/doctrine/pills2/ part08.htm (Retrieved on January 24, 2016)
  • Cohen , Stephen D. ‘United States-Japan Trade Relations’, Proceedings of the Academy of Political Science, 37(4), 1990, pp. 122-136.
  • Curtis, Gerald L. ‘U.S. Policy toward Japan from Nixon to Clinton: An Assessment’ in Cur- tis (ed.) New Perspectives on U.S.-Japan Relations, New York: Japan Center for Inter- national Exchange, 2001.
  • Davis, Cristina. ‘Japan: Trade and Security Interdependence’, Foreign Policy in Focus, 2(18), 1997, pp. 1-3.
  • Dolan, Ronald E. and Robert L. Worden. (eds.) Japan: A Country Study, Washington: GPO for the Library of Congress, 1994.
  • Duffy, Michael. ‘Trade and Politics: Mission Impossible’, Time, January, 20, 1992. Available at:
  • http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,974715,00.html?promoid=googlep
  • Farah, Paolo D. ‘Five Years of Chinas WTO Membership: EU and US Perspectives on Chi- na’s Compliance with Transparency Commitments and the Transitional Review Mec- hanism’, Legal Issues of Economic Integration, 33(3), 2006, pp. 263-304.
  • Federal Reserve Bank of New York, ‘Report on Foreign Portfolio Holdings of U.S. Securiti- es’, June30, 2006. Available at: http://ticdata.treasury.gov/Publish/shl2006r.pdf
  • Federation of American Scientists. China’s National Defense in 2006, Information Office of the State Council – People’s Republic of China, December 29, 2006. Available at: www. fas.org/nuke/guide/china/doctrine/wp2006.html
  • Fidler, David P. Why the WTO is not an Appropriate Venue for Addressing Economic Cy- ber Espionage? Arms Control Law, February 11, 2013. Available at: https://armscon- trollaw.com/2013/02/11/why-the-wto-is-not-an-appropriate-venue-for-addressing- economic-cyber-espionage/
  • Goldstein, Morris. Currency Manipulation and Enforcing the Rules of the International Monetary System, Presented at the Conference on IMF Reform Institute for Internati- onal Economics, Washington, DC. September 23, 2005. Available at: https://piie.com/ commentary/speeches-papers/currency-manipulation-and-enforcing-rules-internatio- nal-monetary-system
  • Gowa, Joanne. Allies, Adversaries, and International Trade, Princeton, NJ: Princeton Uni- versity Press, 1994.
  • Gowa, Joanne. Ballots and Bullets: The Elusive Democratic Peace. Princeton, New Jersey: Princeton University Press, 1999.
  • Independent Task Force of the Council on Foreign Relations, U.S.-China Relations: An Af- firmative Agenda, a Responsible Course, New York: The Council on Foreign Relations Inc., 2007.
  • Keohane, Robert O. After Hegemony: Cooperation and Discord in the World Political Eco- nomy, 1st ed., Princeton and Oxford: Princeton University Press, 1984.
  • Kono, Daniel Y. ‘Optimal Obfuscation: Democracy and Trade Policy Transparency’, Ame- rican Political Science Review, 100 (3), 2006, pp. 369-384.
  • Langdon, Frank. ‘Japan-United States Trade Friction: The Reciprocity Issue’, Asian Survey, 23(5), 1983, pp. 653-666.
  • Layne, Christopher. ‘Kant or Cant: The Myth of the Democratic Peace’, International Security, 19(2), 1994, pp.5-49
  • Lovett, William A., Alfred E. Eckes, and Richard L. Brinkman. U.S. Trade Policy: History, Theory, and the WTO, New York: ME Sharpe,1999.
  • Lum, Thomas and Dick K. Nanto, ‘China’s Trade with the United States and the World’. Washington, DC: Congressional Research Service (CRS) Report for Congress, No- vember 2004. Available at: http://digitalcommons.ilr.cornell.edu/cgi/viewcontent. cgi?article=1017&context=key_workplace
  • Mankiw, Greg. ‘Is the U.S. Trade Deficit a Problem?’, March 31, 2006. Available at: http:// gregmankiw.blogspot.com.tr/2006/03/is-us-trade-deficit-problem.html
  • Mearsheimer, John J. The Tragedy of Great Power Politics, New York and London: W.W. Norton and Company, 2001.
  • Milner, Helen V. ‘Resisting the Protectionist Temptation: Industry and the Making of Trade Policy in France and the United States during the 1970s’ International Organization, 41 (4), 1987, pp. 639-665.
  • Moon, Chung-in. Complex Interdependence and Transnational Lobbying: South Korea in the United States, International Studies Quarterly, 32(1), Mar., 1988, pp.67-89.
  • Morrison, Wayne M. and Marc Labonte. ‘China’s Holdings of U.S. Securities: Implications for the U.S. Economy’, Congressional Research Service, August 19, 2013. Available at: http://fas.org/sgp/crs/row/RL34314.pdf
  • National Economic Accounts, 2008. Available at: http://www.bea.gov/national/index. htm#gdp
  • Odell, John S. ‘The Outcomes of International Trade Conflicts: The US and South Korea, 1960-1981’, International Studies Quarterly, 29(3), 1985, pp. 263-286.
  • Pelanda, Carlo. The Grand Alliance: The Global Integration of Democracies. Milan: Franco Angeli, 2007.
  • Pillsbury, Michael. China Debates the New Security Environment, National Defense Uni- versity Press, 2000. Available at: https://www.files.ethz.ch/isn/104682/2000-01_China_ Debates_Future.pdf
  • Powell, Robert. ‘Absolute and Relative Gains in the International Relations Theory’, The American Political Science Review, 85(4), 1991, pp. 1303-1320.
  • Scott, Robert E. and L. Josh Bivens. ‘China Manipulates Its Currency? A Response is Nee- ded’, September 25, 2006. Available at: http://www.epi.org/publication/pm116/
  • Scott, Robert E. ‘Wal-Mart’s Reliance on Chinese Imports Costs U.S. Jobs’, Economic Po- licy Institute, June 26, 2007. Available at: http://www.epi.org/author_publications. cfm?author_id=292
  • Scott, Robert E. ‘The High Cost of the China-WTO Deal’, Economic Policy Institute, Febru- ary 1, 2000. Available at: http://www.epi.org/publication/issuebriefs_ib137/
  • Shalom, Piki Ish. ‘For a Democratic Peace of Mind: Politicization of the Democratic Peace Theory’, Harvard International Review, May 2, 2007. Available at: http://hir.harvard. edu/for-a-democratic-peace-of-mind
  • Simmons, Beth. ‘International Law and State Behavior: Commitment and Compliance’ in International Monetary Affairs, American Political Science Review, 94(December, 2000), pp. 819-836.
  • Sutter, Robert G. Chinese Foreign Relations: Power and Policy since the Cold War, Lanham, MA: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, Inc., 2008.
  • The 17th National Congress of the Communist Party of China 2007. ‘Hu Jintao Charts Road- map for China: Sustainable Growth, Greater Democracy.’ Available at: http://english. cpcnews.cn/92243/6283199.html
  • The Telegraph. ‘China Threatens ‘Nuclear Option’ of Dollar Sales’, August 8, 2007. Availab- le at: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/markets/2813630/China-threatens-nuclear- option-of-dollar-sales.html
  • The White House, The National Security Strategy of the United States of America, March 2006. Available at: https://www.state.gov/documents/organization/64884.pdf
  • Tsai, Kellee S. Capitalism without Democracy. Ithaca and London: Cornell University Press, 2007.
  • U.S. Census Bureau. Trade in Goods (Imports, Exports and Trade Balance), 2008. Available at: http://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/balance/index.html
  • U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission of the Congress. ‘2007 Report to Congress’. Washington, DC., 2007. Available at: http://www.uscc.gov/annual_re- port/2007/report_to_congress.pdf
  • U.S. Government Accountability Office. U.S.-China Trade: ‘The United States has not Restricted Imports Under the China Safeguard’. September 2005, Available at: http:// www.gao.gov/new.items/d051056.pdf
  • Wiarda, Howard J. Political Development in Emerging Nations: Is there still a Third World, Belmont, CA: Wadsworth, 2004.
  • World Trade Organization. Trade Profiles: China. Available at: http://stat.wto.org/Countr- yProfile/WSDBCountryPFView.aspx?Language=E&Country=CN
  • World Trade Organization. United States – Definitive Safeguard Measures on Imports of Certain Steel Products. Dispute Settlement: DS252. Available at: https://www.wto.org/ english/tratop_e/dispu_e/cases_e/ds252_e.htm
  • World Trade Organization, Dispute Settlement DS394: China — Measures Related to the Exportation of Various Raw Materials, available at: <https://www.wto.org/english/ tratop_e/dispu_e/cases_e/ds394_e.htm>
  • World Trade Organization. United States – Definitive Safeguard Measures on Imports of Certain Steel Products. Dispute Settlement: DS252. Available at: https://www.wto.org/ english/tratop_e/dispu_e/cases_e/ds252_e.htm
  • World Trade Organization, Dispute Settlement DS511: China – Domestic Support for Agricultural Producers, available at: https://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/dispu_e/ cases_e/ds511_e.htm
  • Zhang, Kevin H. ‘China’s Foreign Trade and Export Boom’, in Zhang (ed.) China as the World Factory, (London and New York: Routledge, 2007), pp. 9-26.
Toplam 56 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Diğer ID JA62AA59SU
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Murat Bayar Bu kişi benim

Tuğba Bayar Bu kişi benim

Yayımlanma Tarihi 20 Nisan 2018
Gönderilme Tarihi 1 Aralık 2017
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2018 Cilt: 15 Sayı: 30

Kaynak Göster

APA Bayar, M., & Bayar, T. (2018). A Comparative Analysis of the United States’ Trade Frictions with China, Japan and South Korea, 1985-2016. Yönetim Bilimleri Dergisi, 15(30), 197-213.

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