Kirlilik Sığınağı Hipotezi Türkiye İçin Geçerli Mi? ARDL Sınır Testi Yaklaşımından Bulgular

Abstract

Bu çalışma doğrudan yabancı sermaye yatırımlarının çevre kirliliği üzerindeki etkilerini Türkiye için üç farklı hava kirliliği göstergesi doğrultusunda karbondioksit, nitrojen oksit ve toplam sera gazı ARDL sınır testi yaklaşımı ile incelemeyi amaçlamaktadır. Çalışma karbondioksit modeli için 1971-2015, nitrojen oksit ve toplam sera gazı modelleri için 1970-2012 yıllık dönemleri kapsamaktadır. Elde edilen bulgular Türkiye’ye yönelik doğrudan yabancı sermaye yatırımlarının karbondioksit emisyonunu artırıcı bir etkiye sahip olduğunu ve dolayısıyla kirlilik sığınağı hipotezinin Türkiye için geçerli olduğunu ortaya koymaktadır. Buna karşın doğrudan yabancı sermaye yatırımları ile nitrojen oksit ve toplam sera gazı emisyonları arasında uzun dönemli bir ilişki bulunmamaktadır.

Keywords

• Kirlilik Sığınağı Hipotezi, Çevresel Kuznets Eğrisi, ARDL Sınır Testi, Türkiye

Does The Pollution Haven Hypothesis Hold for Turkey? The Findings from ARDL Bound Test

Abstract

This study aims to analyse the effect of foreign direct investments on environmental pollution for Turkey by using ARDL bound testing in accordance with three different air pollution indicators. The analyses cover the yearly observations from 1970 to 2015 for carbon dioxide model and from 1970 to 2012 for nitrogen oxide and total greenhouse gas models. The results obtained show that foreign direct investments have an increasing effect on carbon dioxide emissions and therefore pollution haven hypothesis is valid for Turkey. However, there is no long-run relationship between foreign direct investment and nitrogen oxide and total greenhouse gas emissions

Keywords

• Pollution Haven Hypothesis, Environmental Kuznets Curve, ARDL Bounds Test, Turkey

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