TÜRKİYE’DE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME İLE ELEKTRİK TÜKETİMİ İLİŞKİSİ: SINIR TESTİ YAKLAŞIMI

Yıl 2007, Cilt: 8 Sayı: 1, 72 - 80, 01.01.2007

Erdal Karagöl Erman Erbaykal H. Murat Ertuğrul

Öz

Bu çalışmada, Türkiye'de ekonomik büyüme ile elektrik tüketimi ilişkisi 1974-2004 dönemi için incelenmiştir. Ekonomik büyüme ve elektrik tüketimi serileri farklı derecelerden durağan I 0 ve I 1 oldukları için aralarındaki ilişki Sınır Testi yaklaşımı ile araştırılmıştır. Bu yaklaşıma göre, seriler arasında eşbütünleşme ilişkisi tespit edilmiş ve kısa dönemde değişkenler arasında pozitif bir ilişki ortaya çıkarken uzun dönemde bu ilişki negatif çıkmıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Ekonomik Büyüme, Elektrik Tüketimi, Eşbütünleşme, Sınır Testi, Ardl Modeli

ECONOMIC GROWTH AND ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION IN TURKEY: A BOUND TEST APPROACH

Öz

This paper investigates relationship between economic growth and electricity consumption for Turkey over the period 1974-2004. As economic growth and electricity consumption variables used in empirical analysis was different order of integration I 0 and I 1 we employed bound test approach. We found cointegration relationship between the variables and in short run there is positive relationship between the variables however in long run there is negative relationship

Anahtar Kelimeler

Economic growth, electricity consumption, cointegration, bound test, ARDL model

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