Analysis Of Autonomous Vehicles Traffic Behaviour In Terms Of Various Vehicle Following Models On Kavacik Sample

Abstract

Autonomous vehicles are evaluated as future transport mode. Autonomous vehicles use electrical energy for driving. Shifting electricity use on transport on widely is going to effect worldwide policies on energy sector and sustainability framework in deeply. Autonomous vehicles will be a new transformer on this century’s transportation and urbanization. But thus will be with gradual penetration of this mode for decades. This is a political, eoconomical and technical necessity. In this paper firstly existing transportation and urbanization trends are revelaed then development period and existing case of autonomous vehicles are evaluated. Traffic analyse related to basic features of autonomous vehicles on the context of penetration is executed. This analyse is constituted on VISSIM programme. For this, traffic countings are utilized which have been done on highway in Beykoz (Kavacık)/İstanbul at related dates. Detailed analyse and comparative evaluation were done on the bases of Wiedemann 74 and Wiedemann 99 models. Autonomous vehicle was defined in terms of Wiedemann 99 following principles. Defined autonomous vehicle is inserted to programme in terms of penetration rates and each of them is examined on a scenario. In this context results are given.

Keywords

• Autonomous vehicles
• infrastructure policies
• economical development
• technological improvement
• speed
• penetration

Otonom Araçların Farklı Araç Takip Modellerine Göre Kavacık Örneğinde Trafik Analizi

Abstract

Otonom araçlar geleceğin ulaştırma türü olarak görülmektedir. Otonom araçlar elektrik enerjisiyle çalışan araçlardır. Ulaştırmada yaygın olarak elektrik enerjisine geçilmesi dünya politikalarını, enerji sektörünü ve sürdürülebilirlik çerçevesini derinden etkileyecektir. Otonom araçlar bu yüzyılın ulaştırma ve kentleşmesinde yeniden şekillendirici olacaktır. Ancak bu on yıllar içerisinde bu türün trafiğe kademeli penetrasyonuyla olacaktır. Bu; ekonomik, teknik ve politik bir gerekliliktir. Bu makalede ilk olarak içinde bulunulan ulaştırma ve kentleşme eğilimleri ortaya konulmuş ardından otonom araçların gelişim süreci ve mevcut durumu değerlendirilmiştir. Temel nitelikleri bağlamında otonom araçların trafiğe penetrasyonuyla ilgili trafik analizi gerçekleştirilmiştir. Bu analiz VISSIM programında yapılandırılmıştır. Bunun için İstanbul ili Beykoz ilçesi (Kavacık) bağlantı yolunda muhtelif tarihlerde gerçekleştirilen trafik sayımlarından faydalanılmıştır. Wiedemann 74 ve Wiedemann 99 modelleri esas alınarak kapsamlı analiz ve karşılaştırmalı değerlendirme gerçekleştirilmiştir. Wiedemann 99 takip modeline göre otonom araçlar tanımlanmıştır. Tanımlanan otonom araçlar programa penetrayon oranlarına göre girilmiş ve her birisi birer senaryo olarak incelenmiştir. Bu kapsamda sonuçlar ortaya konulmuştur.

Keywords

• Otonom araçlar
• altyapı politikaları
• ekonomik kalkınma
• teknolojik gelişim
• hız
• penetrasyon

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