Interest Rates and Exchange Rate Relationship in BRIC-T Countries

Abstract

This study examines the dynamic relationships between the real exchange rate and the real interest rate in the BRIC-T (Brazil, Russia, India, China and Turkey) countries by employing monthly data from the beginning of flexible exchange rate regime to July 2011. For this aim, non-linear causality test and frequency domain causality test approaches are used. According to frequency domain causality test results, interest rate affects exchange rate in only China and this effect exist only in the long run. On the other hand, exchange rate shocks induce changes in interest rate in the shorter period

Keywords

• Interest rate, real exchange rate, BRIC-T, Frequency domain, nonlinear causality

BRIC-T Ülkelerinde Faiz Oranı ve Döviz Kuru İlişkisi

Abstract

Bu çalışmada BRIC-T (Brezilya, Rusya, Hindistan, Çin ve Türkiye) ülkelerinde Mart 1993-Temmuz 2011 döneminde reel döviz kuru ile reel faiz arasındaki dinamik ilişkiyi incelemektedir. Bu amaçla doğrusal olmayan nedensellik tesi ile frekans dağılım nedensellik testi uygulanmıştır.frekans dağılım nedensellik testi sonuçlarına göre sadece Çin ekonomisinde faiz oranları döviz kurunu uzun dönemde etkilemektedir. diğer bir ifadeyle kısa dönemde döviz kurundaki şoklar faiz oranındaki değişiklilkleri azaltmaktadır

Keywords

• Anahtar Keliemler: Reel faiz oranları, reel döviz kuru, BRIC-T, frekans dağılım, doğrusal olmayan nedensellik

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