Granger Causality Analysis between US Dollar, Inflation and Weighted Average Cost of the CBRT Funding

Öz

The primary objective of the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey is to achieve and maintain price stability. To this end, the CBRT actively uses weighted average cost of the CBRT funding from its monetary policy tools. In this study, for the 2012-2017 period, we use the Granger causality test in order to investigate the relationship between exchange rate, inflation and weighted average cost of the CBRT funding. Our analysis reveal that bi-directional causality between weighted average cost of the CBRT funding and exchange rate

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Exchange Rate, Inflation, Unconventional Monetary Policy

Dolar Kuru, Enflasyon ve TCMB Ağırlıklı Ortalama Fonlama Maliyeti Arasında Granger Nedensellik Analizi

Öz

Türkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankası’nın temel amacı fiyat istikrarını sağlamak ve sürdürmektir. Bu amaçla, TCMB sahip olduğu para politikası araçlarından ağırlıklı ortalama fonlama maliyetini aktif olarak kullanmaktadır. Bu çalışmada, 2012-2017 dönemi için, dolar kuru, enflasyon ve ağırlıklı ortalama fonlama maliyeti arasındaki ilişki Granger nedensellik testi ile analiz edilmiştir. Analiz sonucunda, ağırlıklı ortalama fonlama maliyeti ile dolar kuru arasında çift yönlü nedenselliğin varlığına ulaşılmıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Döviz Kuru, Enflasyon, Geleneksel Olmayan Para Politikası

Kaynakça

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