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ISRAEL'S STEERING ROLE IN THE GREATER MIDDLE EAST INITIATIVE AND ITS IMPLICATIONS FOR THE RUSSIA-UKRAINE CRISIS

Yıl 2026, Sayı: Advanced Online Publication, 226 - 247

Sıddık Arslan

https://doi.org/10.46482/ebyuiibfdergi.1711348

Öz

This study analyzes how Israel's regional influence strategy in the Middle East, conducted under the security discourse, has affected Western actors' engagement levels in Ukraine through covert cooperation with Russia and shaped Russia's 'postponed fragmentation' process. Synthesizing Waltz's structural realism with Mearsheimer's offensive realism theory, the study develops a new conceptual framework called "Strategic Postponement Theory." Using qualitative research methods, 47 diplomatic correspondences, 312 academic articles, and 900 media contents from 2015-2025 were examined through process tracing, document analysis, and comparative historical analysis techniques. Findings reveal that Israel, through its "multipolar synchronization" strategy and "issue-based alliances" model, coordinated with Russia in Syria, allowing Moscow to gain maneuvering space in Ukraine in return. The "strategic silence" in Netanyahu-Putin meetings and AIPAC-backed congress members' restrictive approach to Ukraine aid packages are concrete indicators of covert cooperation. The compromise materialized in the August 15, 2025 Alaska meeting confirmed the hypothesis by 93%. The study reveals the system-manipulator capacity of middle powers, proves that the real nature of the GMP is the Greater Israel Project, and explains the mechanisms of Russia's postponed systemic fragmentation. Results demonstrate that 21st-century geopolitics requires new analytical tools beyond classical paradigms, with the international system providing ground for hybrid alliance structures and sophisticated manipulation strategies.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Greater Middle East Project Greater Israel Project Strategic Postponement Theory Israel-Russia Relations Ukranie Crisis System Manipulation

Kaynakça

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BOP’TA İSRAİL’İN YÖNLENDİRİCİ ROLÜ VE RUSYA-UKRAYNA KRİZİNE ETKİLERİ

Yıl 2026, Sayı: Advanced Online Publication, 226 - 247

Sıddık Arslan

https://doi.org/10.46482/ebyuiibfdergi.1711348

Öz

Bu çalışma, İsrail'in Ortadoğu'da güvenlik söylemi altında yürüttüğü bölgesel nüfuz stratejisinin, Rusya ile geliştirdiği örtük işbirliği üzerinden Batılı aktörlerin Ukrayna'daki angajman (bağlantı) düzeylerini nasıl etkilediğini ve Rusya'nın 'ertelenen parçalanma' sürecini hangi biçimlerde şekillendirdiğini analiz etmektedir. Waltz'un yapısal realizmi ile Mearsheimer'ın saldırgan realizm teorisini sentezleyen çalışma, "Stratejik Erteleme Teorisi" adlı yeni bir kavramsal çerçeve geliştirmiştir. Nitel araştırma yöntemi kullanılarak, 2015-2025 döneminde 47 diplomatik yazışma, 312 akademik makale ve 900 medya içeriği süreç takibi, belge analizi ve karşılaştırmalı tarihsel analiz teknikleriyle incelenmiştir. Bulgular, İsrail'in "çok kutuplu senkronizasyon" stratejisi ve "dosya bazlı ittifaklar" modeli aracılığıyla Suriye'de Rusya ile koordinasyon sağladığını, bunun karşılığında Moskova'nın Ukrayna'da manevra alanı elde ettiğini göstermektedir. Netanyahu-Putin görüşmelerindeki "stratejik sessizlik" ve AIPAC destekli kongre üyelerinin Ukrayna yardım paketlerine kısıtlayıcı yaklaşımı, örtük işbirliğinin somut göstergeleridir. 15 Ağustos 2025 Alaska görüşmesinde somutlaşan uzlaşma, hipotezi %93 oranında doğrulamıştır. Çalışma, orta büyüklükteki güçlerin sistem-manipülatör kapasitelerini ortaya koyarak, BOP'un gerçek mahiyetinin Büyük İsrail Projesi olduğunu göstermiş ve Rusya'nın sistemik parçalanmasının ertelenme mekanizmalarını açıklamıştır. Sonuçlar, 21. yüzyıl jeopolitiğinin klasik paradigmaların ötesinde yeni analitik araçlar gerektirdiğini, uluslararası sistemin hibrit ittifak yapılarına ve sofistike manipülasyon stratejilerine zemin hazırladığını göstermektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Büyük Ortadoğu Projesi Büyük İsrail Projesi Ukrayna Krizi Stratejik Erteleme Teorisi İsrail-Rusya İlişkileri Sistem Manipülasyonu

Etik Beyan

Bu makalem ile ilgili olarak Etik Beyan gerekmemektedir.

Destekleyen Kurum

Destekleyen Kurum Bulunmamaktadır

Teşekkür

Derginizin kuruluşunda, günümüze kadar yaşatılmasında ve geleceğe taşınmasında emeği geçen (geçecek olan) ilgili ve yetkililere içtenlikle teşekkürlerimi sunuyorum.

Kaynakça

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  • Park, M. (2025). ICC Arrest Warrants for Heads of State and Others: Implications for the Republic of Korea. The Korean Journal of International and Comparative Law, 13(1), 115-130.
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  • Romanyshyn, I., & Bergmann, J. (2025). Preference convergence, functional pressure and supranational entrepreneurship: explaining the launch and design of the EU’s military assistance mission to Ukraine. European Security, 1-21.
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  • Sander, O. (2014). Siyasi tarih: İlkçağlardan 1918'e (28. baskı). İmge Kitabevi.
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  • Scheckenhofer, L., Teti, F. A., & Wanner, J. (2025, May). Dodging Trade Sanctions? Evidence from Military Goods. In AEA Papers and Proceedings (Vol. 115, pp. 573-577). 2014 Broadway, Suite 305, Nashville, TN 37203: American Economic Association.
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  • Weinberg, DM (2025). İsrail Devleti'nin Antisemitizme Karşı Mücadeledeki Değişen Rolü: Diplomatik Bir Tarih ve Kişisel Anı. İsrail Dış İlişkiler Dergisi , 1-23.
  • Yacoubian, M., & Todman, W. (2025, July 17). Violence escalates as Israel intervenes in southern Syria. Center for Strategic & International Studies (CSIS).
  • Yetim, M., & Erdağ, R. (2018). Uluslararası ilişkilerde eleştirel söylem analizi: Revizyonist söylemin gelişimi. İstanbul Gelişim Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 5(1), 79-100.
  • Yıldız, M. (2025). İsrail dış politikasının temel dinamikleri. Ortadoğu Araştırmaları Merkezi Dergisi, 12(1), 41-44.
  • Yinon, O. (1982). A strategy for Israel in the nineteen eighties. The Zionist Plan for the Middle East. Translated and Edited by Israel Shahak. Association of Arab-American University Graduates, Inc., Belmont, Massachusetts, Special Document, 1-16.
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  • Zengerle, P. (2025, April 3). U.S. Senate rejects effort to block arms sales to Israel. Reuters.
  • Zisserman-Brodsky, D. (2022). Israel–Russia Bilateral Relations: Market Rationality and Political Affinity. In Routledge Handbook on Contemporary Israel (pp. 210-224). Routledge.
Toplam 121 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Politika ve Yönetim (Diğer)
Bölüm Diğer
Yazarlar

Sıddık Arslan 0009-0009-3169-3763

Gönderilme Tarihi 1 Haziran 2025
Kabul Tarihi 7 Aralık 2025
Erken Görünüm Tarihi 15 Aralık 2025
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2026 Sayı: Advanced Online Publication

Kaynak Göster

APA Arslan, S. (2025). BOP’TA İSRAİL’İN YÖNLENDİRİCİ ROLÜ VE RUSYA-UKRAYNA KRİZİNE ETKİLERİ. Erzincan Binali Yıldırım Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi(Advanced Online Publication), 226-247. https://doi.org/10.46482/ebyuiibfdergi.1711348
AMA Arslan S. BOP’TA İSRAİL’İN YÖNLENDİRİCİ ROLÜ VE RUSYA-UKRAYNA KRİZİNE ETKİLERİ. ebyuiibfdergisi. Aralık 2025;(Advanced Online Publication):226-247. doi:10.46482/ebyuiibfdergi.1711348
Chicago Arslan, Sıddık. “BOP’TA İSRAİL’İN YÖNLENDİRİCİ ROLÜ VE RUSYA-UKRAYNA KRİZİNE ETKİLERİ”. Erzincan Binali Yıldırım Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, sy. Advanced Online Publication (Aralık 2025): 226-47. https://doi.org/10.46482/ebyuiibfdergi.1711348.
EndNote Arslan S (01 Aralık 2025) BOP’TA İSRAİL’İN YÖNLENDİRİCİ ROLÜ VE RUSYA-UKRAYNA KRİZİNE ETKİLERİ. Erzincan Binali Yıldırım Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi Advanced Online Publication 226–247.
IEEE S. Arslan, “BOP’TA İSRAİL’İN YÖNLENDİRİCİ ROLÜ VE RUSYA-UKRAYNA KRİZİNE ETKİLERİ”, ebyuiibfdergisi, sy. Advanced Online Publication, ss. 226–247, Aralık2025, doi: 10.46482/ebyuiibfdergi.1711348.
ISNAD Arslan, Sıddık. “BOP’TA İSRAİL’İN YÖNLENDİRİCİ ROLÜ VE RUSYA-UKRAYNA KRİZİNE ETKİLERİ”. Erzincan Binali Yıldırım Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi Advanced Online Publication (Aralık2025), 226-247. https://doi.org/10.46482/ebyuiibfdergi.1711348.
JAMA Arslan S. BOP’TA İSRAİL’İN YÖNLENDİRİCİ ROLÜ VE RUSYA-UKRAYNA KRİZİNE ETKİLERİ. ebyuiibfdergisi. 2025;:226–247.
MLA Arslan, Sıddık. “BOP’TA İSRAİL’İN YÖNLENDİRİCİ ROLÜ VE RUSYA-UKRAYNA KRİZİNE ETKİLERİ”. Erzincan Binali Yıldırım Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, sy. Advanced Online Publication, 2025, ss. 226-47, doi:10.46482/ebyuiibfdergi.1711348.
Vancouver Arslan S. BOP’TA İSRAİL’İN YÖNLENDİRİCİ ROLÜ VE RUSYA-UKRAYNA KRİZİNE ETKİLERİ. ebyuiibfdergisi. 2025(Advanced Online Publication):226-47.