What Happened? What Will Be? - A Path-Dependency Analysis of Donated Tourism Projects in South East Europe

Year 2013, Volume: 3 Issue: 2, 1 - 12, 30.06.2013

Veljko Mijic

Abstract

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Keywords

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What Happened? What Will Be? - A Path-Dependency Analysis of Donated Tourism Projects in South East Europe

Abstract

Theoretical background: It is believed that term “Balkanisation” was used for the first time in 1860-ties
by English colonial aspirants to describe socio-economic development status of permanently divided
Sudan, and, of course, that being a base for foreign intervention that would bring a peace, prosperity
and democracy for local tribes once reconciled. Now, the Balkans are said to be the region under
permanent institutional reconstruction. The term “path-dependence” means "history matters“ which
reduces simply to "everything has causes" (Pierson 2004:web). So, the purposes of this paper is to
describe path-dependency expected perspectives, once it comes to understanding current situation in
how do residents of post-conflict areas communicate.
Methods: International donor organised for a certain tourism development projects implementation in
the Eastern Western Balkans. This paper is organised from the perspective of foreign researcher -
bricoleur, as a triangulation of a field data in order to justify both: the evaluations and the conclusions.
Results, findings: Communicological analysis of field action research cases of tourist programs donated
by international community, based on path-dependency expectations, indicates that whenever one has
situation of aid-receiver communicating internally in a way of dealing with intrasocial re-distribution of
national wealth, a interest in tourist projects economically connoted is infinitesimal. Probably, as long as
it takes until perceived gains of such “internal” projects are higher in comparison to “external” benefits.

Keywords

Path-dependence, Economic development, Tourism, Forecast, Post-conflict

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