Türkiye’de petrol tüketimi ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi üzerine bir Fourier yaklaşımı

Year 2025, Issue: 71, 21 - 26, 30.08.2025

Mustafa Saatçi , Yasemin Dumrul

https://doi.org/10.18070/erciyesiibd.1579871

Abstract

Enerji, sürdürülebilir ekonomik kalkınmanın temel unsurlarından biri olup, enerji akışları ve dönüşümleri ekonomik faaliyetler üzerinde belirleyici bir etkiye sahiptir. Özellikle petrol, küresel enerji piyasasında stratejik bir konuma sahip olmayı sürdürmekte ve geniş kullanım alanı sayesinde birçok sektör için önemli bir enerji kaynağı olarak öne çıkmaktadır. Bu çalışmada, Türkiye’de petrol tüketimi ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişki 1971-2021 dönemi için Fourier Engle-Granger eş-bütünleşme testi ve Fourier Enders-Jones Granger nedensellik testi ile analiz edilmiştir. Eş-bütünleşme testi sonuçlarına göre petrol tüketimi ile ekonomik büyüme arasında uzun dönemli bir ilişki bulunmaktadır. Nedensellik testi sonuçları geri besleme hipotezinin geçerliliğini ortaya koymaktadır.

Keywords

Petrol tüketimi , Ekonomik büyüme , Eşbütünleşme , Nedensellik , Türkiye

A Fourier approach on the relationship between oil consumption and economic growth in Türkiye

Abstract

Energy is one of the fundamental elements of sustainable economic development, with energy flows and transformations exerting a decisive impact on economic activities. Particularly, oil continues to hold a strategic position in the global energy market and stands out as a significant energy source for various sectors due to its wide range of applications. This study analyzes the relationship between oil consumption and economic growth in Turkey for the period from 1971 to 2021 using the Fourier Engle-Granger cointegration test and the Fourier Enders-Jones Granger causality test. The cointegration test results indicate a long-term relationship between oil consumption and economic growth. The causality test results support the validity of the feedback hypothesis.

Keywords

Oil consumption , economic growth , cointegration , causality , Türkiye

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