Export Diversification and Economic Growth: Evidence From Emerging Economies

Yıl 2020, Sayı: 55, 285 - 298, 27.04.2020

Muhammed Benli

https://doi.org/10.18070/erciyesiibd.609237

Cited By: 6

Öz

Although export expansion is considered to be an important component of development strategies, how and what type of exports contributes to economic growth has been still an open question. As a matter of fact, the export promotion also does not necessarily lead to economic growth. Revealing the true effect requires considering not only macroeconomic conditions and market structure of exporting countries but also what products and services these countries export. In this context, this paper not only investigates the long run relationship between economic growth, export diversification and domestic investment using panel cointegration techniques but also examines the causal relationship between these variables employing the causality test of Konyá (2006) in 19 emerging economies for the period 1995 - 2017. Panel cointegration test results do not provide evidence of a long run relationship between the variables while Konyá's (2006) causality test reveals various results for different countries.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Export Diversification, Panel Causality, Panel Cointegration

İhracat Çeşitliliği ve Ekonomik Büyüme: Yükselen Piyasa Ekonomileri Deneyimi

Öz

İhracat hacminin artması kalkınma stratejilerinin önemli bileşenlerinden birisi olmakla birlikte, ihracatın nasıl ve hangi türde ihracatın iktisadi büyümeye katkıda bulunduğu sıkça tartışılan bir konudur. Nitekim ihracat artışı mutlak surette ekonomik büyümeyi sağlamayabilirç İhracatın büyüme üzerindeki gerçek etkisinin ortaya konulması ekonomilerin içinde bulunduğu makroekonomik koşulların ve piyasa yapısının göz önünde bulundurulmasını gerektirdiği gibi, ihracatçı ülkelerin hangi mal ve hizmetleri ihraç ettikleri de bu manada önem arz etmektedir. Bu kapsamda, bu çalışmanın amacı 19 yükselen piyasa ekonomisinde 1995-2017 dönemi için ekonomik büyüme, ihracat çeşitliliği ve yurtiçi yatırımlar arasındaki uzun dönemli ilişkiyi panel eşbütünleşme testleri yardımıyla incelemek ve bahsi geçen değişkenler arasındaki nedensellik ilişkisini ise Konyá (2006) testini kullanarak ortaya koymaktır. Değişkenler arasında uzun dönemli bir ilişkinin varlığına işaret eden yeterli ampirik bulguya ulaşılamamakla birlikte, nedensellik testinden elde edilen bulgular ülkelere göre karma sonuçlar ortaya koymaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

İhracat Çeşitliliği, Panel Nedensellik, Panel Eşbütünleşme

Kaynakça

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