Abstract
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the export performance of Turkey by Constant Market Share method for the period 1995-2011. Turkey’s trade with its major trading partners (the first 20 countries with largest shares in Turkey’s export) is analysed by using SITC Rev.3 three digit data. The evaluation of Turkey’s export performance was based on market share effect, commodity composition effect and commodity adaptation effect. The results reveal that the increase in Turkey’s export performance stemmed from positive market share and commodity composition effects. The commodity adaptation effect was mostly negative during the same period. These findings lead us to conclude that Turkey may improve its export performance further by adapting its export commodity group to the changing demand structure of these markets.
References
- AHMADI-ESFAHANI, Fredoun Z.; (2006), “Constant Market Shares Analysis:
- Uses, Limitations and Prospects”, The Australian Journal of Agricul- tural and Resource Economics, 50, pp.510–526. AYTEMIZ, Semiha; (2011),“Türkiye İhracatının Sabit Piyasa Yöntemi ile Ana- lizi”, Afyon Kocatepe Üniversitesi, İİBF Dergisi, 8(2), ss.181-201.
- BATISTA, Jorge Chami; (2008), “Competition Between Brazil And Oth- er Exporting Countries In The US Import Market: A New Exten- sion Of Constant-Market-Shares Analysis”, Applied Economics, 40(19), pp.2477-2487.
- DRYSDALE, Peter and Weiguo LU; (1996), “Australia’s Export Performance in East Asia”, Pacific Economic Paper No:259, Canberra: Australia–
- Japanese Research Centre. EREN, Okan; (2013), “Pazar Büyüklüğü ve Pazar Payı Bileşenleri Kullanılarak
- Türkiye’nin İhracat Büyümesi ve Dış Ticaret Açığı Projeksiyonları: 2013-2030”,TCMB Ekonomi Notları, Sayı: 2013-05, İnternet Adresi: http://www.tcmb.gov.tr/ research/ekonominotlari/2013/tr/EN1305.pdf, Erişim Tarihi:04.01.2013.
- ERLAT, Güzin ve Haluk ERLAT; (2012),“Türkiye’nin Orta Doğu
- Ülkeleri ile Olan Ticareti, 1990-2002”, iç. Ercan UYGUR ve İrfan
- CİVCİR (Ed.), GAP Bölgesinde Dış Ticaret ve Tarım, Ankara: Türkiye Ekonomi Kurumu Tartışma Metni 2012/26, İnternet
- Adresi: http://www.tek.org.tr/dosyalar/gap2.pdf, Erişim Tarihi: 02013.
- FAGERBERG, Jan and Carlton George SOLLIE; (1987), “The Method of Con- stant Market Share Analysis Reconsidered”, Applied Economics, 19, pp.1571-1583.
- GILBERT, John; (2010), “Constant Market Share Analysis of the Pattern of
- Southeast Asian Export Growth in the 2000s.”, Internet Address: www.unescap.org/tid/artnet/mtg/tdgc_gilbert.pdf, Date of Access: 02013.
- JOÃO, Amador and Sonia CABRAL; (2008), “The Portuguese Export Perfor- mance in Perspective: A Constant Market Share Analysis”, Banco de
- Portugal Economic Bulletin, Autumn, pp.201-221. KLASRA, Mushtag Ahmad and Halil FİDAN; (2005), “Competitiveness of
- Major exporting Countries and Turkey in the World Fishery Market: A Constant Market Share Analysis”, Aquaculture Economics & Mana- gement, 9(3), pp. 317-330. LEAMER, Edward and Richard M. STERN; (1970), Quantitative Interna- tional Economics, Boston: Allyn and Bacon.
- OTHMAN, Shahwahid and Zakariah Abdul RASHID; (1993), "Constant Mar- ket Share Analysis of The ASEAN Timber Trade", Pertanika Journal of Social Sciences & Humanities, I/1, pp.71-80.
- RAHMADDI, Rudy; ICHIHASHI Masaru; (2012), “The Changing Pattern of
- Export Structure and Competitiveness in Indonesia’s Manufacturing Sectors: an Overview and Assessment”, 2nd International Conference on Economics, Trade and Development IPEDR, 7- 8April 2012,
- Bangkok: Singapore International Economics Development and Rese- arch http://www.ipedr.com/vol36/002-ICETD2012-D00003.pdf, Date of Ac- cess: 14.05.2013. (IEDRC), pp. 7-11, Internet Address:
- RICHARDSON, J.David; (1971), “Constant Market Shares Analysis Of Export
- Growth”, Journal of International Economics, 1, pp.227–239. SKRINER, Edith; (2009), “Competitiveness and Specialisation of the Austrian
- Export Sector -A Constant-Market-Shares Analysis”, FIW Working Paper, No:32, min/Documents/Publikationen/Working_Paper/N_032-skrinerII.pdf, Address: Date of Access: 28.01.2013. http://www.fiw.ac.at/ filead
- ŞAHAN, Fatih; (2012), “The Impact of Technology Level and Strucural Change of Exports on The Dynamics of International Competitiveness: A Sec- toral Disaggregated Analysis of Turkish Manufacturing Sector”, Yayın- lanmamış Yüksek Lisans Tezi, Ankara: ODTÜ Sosyal Bilimler En- stitüsü.
- TATARER, Özge; (2004), “The Export Performance of The Turkish Manufac- turing Industries with Respect to Selected Countries”, Yayınlanmamış
- Yüksek Lisans Tezi, Ankara: ODTÜ Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü. TYSZYNSKI, H.; (1951), “World Trade in Manufactured Commodities 1899- 1950”, The Manchester School of Economic Social Studies, 19, pp. 272–304. APPENDIX:
Abstract
Bu çalışmanın amacı, Sabit Pazar Payı (SPP) yöntemini kullanarak Türkiye’nin 1995-2011 dönemindeki ihracat performansını incelemektir. Türkiye’nin ihracat performansı pazar payı etkisi, mal bileşimi etkisi ve mal uyum etkisine dayanarak açıklanmıştır. Bu etkileri belirlemek için, Türkiye’nin en büyük ticaret ortakları (ihracatta en büyük paya sahip ilk yirmi ülke) ile gerçekleştirdiği ihracatının gelişimi, SITC. Rev. 3 sınıflamasına dahil 3 basamaklı mal gruplarına ilişkin veriler ile analiz edilmiştir. Analiz sonuçlarına göre, ele alınan dönemde ülkemizin ihracat performansını artırdığı, bu artışın da büyük oranda pazar payı ve mal bileşimi etkisiyle ortaya çıktığı söylenebilir. Ancak mal uyum etkisi açısından büyük ölçüde bir olumsuzluk söz konusudur. Bulgularımız, Türkiye’nin ihracat performansını arttırması için bu pazarların değişen talep yapısına uygun mal ihracatını artırması ve geliştirmesi yönündedir
Keywords
References
- AHMADI-ESFAHANI, Fredoun Z.; (2006), “Constant Market Shares Analysis:
- Uses, Limitations and Prospects”, The Australian Journal of Agricul- tural and Resource Economics, 50, pp.510–526. AYTEMIZ, Semiha; (2011),“Türkiye İhracatının Sabit Piyasa Yöntemi ile Ana- lizi”, Afyon Kocatepe Üniversitesi, İİBF Dergisi, 8(2), ss.181-201.
- BATISTA, Jorge Chami; (2008), “Competition Between Brazil And Oth- er Exporting Countries In The US Import Market: A New Exten- sion Of Constant-Market-Shares Analysis”, Applied Economics, 40(19), pp.2477-2487.
- DRYSDALE, Peter and Weiguo LU; (1996), “Australia’s Export Performance in East Asia”, Pacific Economic Paper No:259, Canberra: Australia–
- Japanese Research Centre. EREN, Okan; (2013), “Pazar Büyüklüğü ve Pazar Payı Bileşenleri Kullanılarak
- Türkiye’nin İhracat Büyümesi ve Dış Ticaret Açığı Projeksiyonları: 2013-2030”,TCMB Ekonomi Notları, Sayı: 2013-05, İnternet Adresi: http://www.tcmb.gov.tr/ research/ekonominotlari/2013/tr/EN1305.pdf, Erişim Tarihi:04.01.2013.
- ERLAT, Güzin ve Haluk ERLAT; (2012),“Türkiye’nin Orta Doğu
- Ülkeleri ile Olan Ticareti, 1990-2002”, iç. Ercan UYGUR ve İrfan
- CİVCİR (Ed.), GAP Bölgesinde Dış Ticaret ve Tarım, Ankara: Türkiye Ekonomi Kurumu Tartışma Metni 2012/26, İnternet
- Adresi: http://www.tek.org.tr/dosyalar/gap2.pdf, Erişim Tarihi: 02013.
- FAGERBERG, Jan and Carlton George SOLLIE; (1987), “The Method of Con- stant Market Share Analysis Reconsidered”, Applied Economics, 19, pp.1571-1583.
- GILBERT, John; (2010), “Constant Market Share Analysis of the Pattern of
- Southeast Asian Export Growth in the 2000s.”, Internet Address: www.unescap.org/tid/artnet/mtg/tdgc_gilbert.pdf, Date of Access: 02013.
- JOÃO, Amador and Sonia CABRAL; (2008), “The Portuguese Export Perfor- mance in Perspective: A Constant Market Share Analysis”, Banco de
- Portugal Economic Bulletin, Autumn, pp.201-221. KLASRA, Mushtag Ahmad and Halil FİDAN; (2005), “Competitiveness of
- Major exporting Countries and Turkey in the World Fishery Market: A Constant Market Share Analysis”, Aquaculture Economics & Mana- gement, 9(3), pp. 317-330. LEAMER, Edward and Richard M. STERN; (1970), Quantitative Interna- tional Economics, Boston: Allyn and Bacon.
- OTHMAN, Shahwahid and Zakariah Abdul RASHID; (1993), "Constant Mar- ket Share Analysis of The ASEAN Timber Trade", Pertanika Journal of Social Sciences & Humanities, I/1, pp.71-80.
- RAHMADDI, Rudy; ICHIHASHI Masaru; (2012), “The Changing Pattern of
- Export Structure and Competitiveness in Indonesia’s Manufacturing Sectors: an Overview and Assessment”, 2nd International Conference on Economics, Trade and Development IPEDR, 7- 8April 2012,
- Bangkok: Singapore International Economics Development and Rese- arch http://www.ipedr.com/vol36/002-ICETD2012-D00003.pdf, Date of Ac- cess: 14.05.2013. (IEDRC), pp. 7-11, Internet Address:
- RICHARDSON, J.David; (1971), “Constant Market Shares Analysis Of Export
- Growth”, Journal of International Economics, 1, pp.227–239. SKRINER, Edith; (2009), “Competitiveness and Specialisation of the Austrian
- Export Sector -A Constant-Market-Shares Analysis”, FIW Working Paper, No:32, min/Documents/Publikationen/Working_Paper/N_032-skrinerII.pdf, Address: Date of Access: 28.01.2013. http://www.fiw.ac.at/ filead
- ŞAHAN, Fatih; (2012), “The Impact of Technology Level and Strucural Change of Exports on The Dynamics of International Competitiveness: A Sec- toral Disaggregated Analysis of Turkish Manufacturing Sector”, Yayın- lanmamış Yüksek Lisans Tezi, Ankara: ODTÜ Sosyal Bilimler En- stitüsü.
- TATARER, Özge; (2004), “The Export Performance of The Turkish Manufac- turing Industries with Respect to Selected Countries”, Yayınlanmamış
- Yüksek Lisans Tezi, Ankara: ODTÜ Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü. TYSZYNSKI, H.; (1951), “World Trade in Manufactured Commodities 1899- 1950”, The Manchester School of Economic Social Studies, 19, pp. 272–304. APPENDIX:
Details
| Primary Language | English |
|---|---|
| Journal Section | Makaleler |
| Authors | |
| Publication Date | May 18, 2015 |
| Published in Issue | Year 2013 Issue: 42 |
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