BİRLEŞİK KRALLIK VE ABD ARASINDAKİ ENDÜSTRİ İÇİ TİCARETİ ETKİLEYEN FAKTÖRLER: ARDL MODELİ YAKLAŞIMI

Year 2022, Issue: 63, 1 - 7, 30.12.2022

Özlem Toplu Yılmaz

https://doi.org/10.18070/erciyesiibd.1057234

Abstract

Bu çalışma, Birleşik Krallık ve Amerika Birleşik Devletleri arasındaki imalat sektöründe endüstri
içi ticaretin bir analizidir. Analiz 1993-2019 yıllarını kapsamaktadır. Endüstri içi ticareti etkileyen
faktörler ve etkileri incelenmiştir. ARDL yaklaşımı yardımıyla değişkenler arasındaki eşbütünleşme
test edilmiştir. Elde edilen sonuçlara göre, uzun dönemde doğrudan yabancı yatırım, kişi başına gelir
farkı ve ticari açıklık etkili olurken, kısa dönemde kişi başına gelir farkı, GSYH farkı ve ticaret yönelimi
etkili olduğu gözlemlenmiştir. Kişi başına gelir farkı hem kısa vadede hem de uzun vadede endüstri içi
ticaret üzerinde bir etkiye sahiptir ve bu da benzer kişi başına gelir seviyelerine sahip ülkeler arasında
uluslararası ticaretin daha güçlü olacağını öne süren Linder’in Tercihlerde Benzerlik Teorisini ortaya
koymaktadır.

Keywords

Endüstri içi ticaret, Tercihlerde benzerlik teorisi, Ticaret yönelimi, kişi başı milli gelir farkı, ARDL modeli

THE FACTORS AFFECTING THE INTRA INDUSTRY TRADE BETWEEN THE UNITED KINGDOM AND THE UNITED STATES: AN ARDL MODEL APPROACH

Abstract

This study is an analysis of the intra industry trade between the United Kingdom and the United States
of America in the manufacturing sector. The analysis comprises of the years between 1993 and 2019.
The factors influencing the intra industry trade and their impacts are examined. With the help of
ARDL approach, cointegration between the variables is tested. According to the results, foreign direct
investment, per capita income difference and trade openness are affective in the long run, but in the
short run, per capita income difference, GDP difference and trade orientation are affective. Per capita
income difference has an impact on the intra industry trade both in the short run and in the long run,
demonstrating the Linder’s Theory of Overlapping Demands which proposes that the international
trade will be stronger between countries with similar per capita income levels.

Keywords

Intra Industry Trade, Theory of Overlapping Demand, Trade Orientation, Per Capita Income Difference, ARDL Model

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