COVID-19 Pandemisinin Dış Ticaret Üzerine Etkisi: İstatiksel Bir Yaklaşım

Abstract

COVID-19, küresel ölçekte yaşanan insani bir krizdir. COVID-19 salgınının küresel ekonomide eşi görülmemiş bir zararı olmuştur. Dünya genelinde üretim ve tüketim daralmıştır. COVID-19'un hem iktisadi yapıyı hem de uluslararası ticaret modellerini etkilemesi kimseyi şaşırtmayacaktır. Politika önerilerinden önce sorunu ve hasarı tespit etmek ise önemlidir. Bu bağlamda bu çalışmada COVID-19 pandemisinin yarattığı ticaret sorunları gösterilmek amaçlanmıştır. İstatisksel bir yöntemle dış ticaret üzerindeki etki açıklanmaya çalışılmıştır. Yapılan değerlendirmelerde Türkiye gibi ithalata bağımlı ülkelerin, pandemi sürecinden olumsuz etkileneceği ve daha sıkı politika kümeleri uygulaması gerektiği sonucuna ulaşılmıştır.

Keywords

• covid-19
• dış ticaret
• ithalat
• ihracat

The COVID 19 Pandemic’s Affect on International Trade: A Statistical Approach

Abstract

COVID-19 is a humanitarian crisis on a global scale. The COVID-19 pandemic have an unprecented disruption to the global economy. Production and consumption are decreased across the globe. The fact that COVID-19 is affecting both economic structure and international trade patterns should not surprise any one.
Before making policy recommendations, it is important to identificate the problem and the damage assessment. In this context, in this paper it is aimed to show the problems about trade which were generated by COVID-19. The effect on the foreign trade has been explained with a statistical method. We evaluate in this paper that the countries which were depended much on imports such as Turkey will be adversely affected by the pandemic and they need to set out more stringent policy sets. 

Keywords

• COVID-19
• international trade
• export
• import

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