INF Sözleşmesinin Sonu: Yeni Bir Soğuk Savaş Dönemine mi Giriyoruz?

Year 2021, Volume: 14 Issue: 28, 1 - 20, 10.06.2021

Şafak Oğuz Mehmet Seyfettin Erol

https://doi.org/10.19060/gav.948852

Abstract

Bu makale, 1987 yılında ABD ve Rusya arasında imzalanan ve orta menzilli füzelerin geliştirilmesi, denenmesi ve konuşlandırılmasını yasaklayan Orta Menzilli Nükleer Kuvvetler Sözleşmesinin yürürlükten kaldırılmasının muhtemel sonuçlarını analiz etmektedir. Makale, Sözleşmenin yürürlükten kalkmasının aynı Soğuk Savaş döneminde olduğu gibi yeni bir konvansiyonel ve nükleer silahlanma yarışına yol açacağını ve her ne kadar her iki taraftaki aklıselim politikacılar Yeni START Sözleşmesinin süresinin 5 yıl daha uzatılmasını sağlamışlarsa da, daha başka sözleşmenin iptal edilmesi ile sonuçlanabileceğini öne sürmektedir. Küresel ve bölgesel krizleri barındıran ve büyük devletler tarafından füze savunma sistemleri ve hipersonik füze sistemleri dâhil yoğun bir silahlanmanın yaşandığı bu yeni ortam ise muhtemel bir işbirliğini engelleyecektir.

Keywords

Orta Menzilli Nükleer Kuvvetler Anlaşması, Nükleer Silahlar, Yeni START Sözleşmesi, Silahlanma Yarışı, Füze sistemleri.

End of the INF Treaty: Are We Entering a New Cold War Era?

Abstract

This article analyzes possible consequences of the abolition of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty, signed between the US and the USSR in 1987 and banning developing, testing and deploying intermediate-range missiles. The article argues that termination of the treaty would result in a conventional and especially a nuclear arms race as during the Cold War, and might trigger scrapping further agreements, although common sense in both parties enabled extending of the New START Treaty for 5 years. The new environment, with regional and global crises and massive armament by the global powers, including missile defense systems and hypersonic missiles, would endanger possible cooperation.

Keywords

ntermediate Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty, Nuclear Weapons, New START, Arms Race, Missile Systems.

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