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INF Sözleşmesinin Sonu: Yeni Bir Soğuk Savaş Dönemine mi Giriyoruz?

Year 2021, Volume: 14 Issue: 28, 1 - 20, 10.06.2021
https://doi.org/10.19060/gav.948852

Abstract

Bu makale, 1987 yılında ABD ve Rusya arasında imzalanan ve orta menzilli füzelerin geliştirilmesi, denenmesi ve konuşlandırılmasını yasaklayan Orta Menzilli Nükleer Kuvvetler Sözleşmesinin yürürlükten kaldırılmasının muhtemel sonuçlarını analiz etmektedir. Makale, Sözleşmenin yürürlükten kalkmasının aynı Soğuk Savaş döneminde olduğu gibi yeni bir konvansiyonel ve nükleer silahlanma yarışına yol açacağını ve her ne kadar her iki taraftaki aklıselim politikacılar Yeni START Sözleşmesinin süresinin 5 yıl daha uzatılmasını sağlamışlarsa da, daha başka sözleşmenin iptal edilmesi ile sonuçlanabileceğini öne sürmektedir. Küresel ve bölgesel krizleri barındıran ve büyük devletler tarafından füze savunma sistemleri ve hipersonik füze sistemleri dâhil yoğun bir silahlanmanın yaşandığı bu yeni ortam ise muhtemel bir işbirliğini engelleyecektir.

References

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  • BAKER, Peter “Trump sends Negotiators to Geneva for Nuclear Talks with Russians and also seeks to limit Chinese Warheads”, The New York Times, July 15, 2019.
  • BOLTON, John “New START is unilateral disarmament”, Wall Street Journal, September 08, 2010.
  • BORGER, Julian “US says it will pull out of INF treaty if Russia does not comply within 60 days”, The Guardian, December 04, 2018.
  • CARROLL, Oliver “Defiant John Bolton signals no way back for arms control treaty after Vladimir Putin meeting”, The Independent, October 24, 2018.
  • “DOD Releases Fiscal Year 2021 Budget Proposal”, US DoD, February 10, 2020, https://www.defense. gov/Newsroom/Releases/Release/Article/2079489/dod-releases-fiscal-year-2021-budget-proposal/
  • EMMOT, Robin “China rebuffs Germany’s call for U.S. missile deal with Russia”, Reuters, February 16, 2019, retrieved July 22, 2019 from https://www.reuters.com/article/us-germany-security-china/ china-rebuffs-germanys-call-for-u-s-missile-deal-with-russia-idUSKCN1Q50NZ
  • ENGLUND, Will “Putin orders ‘symmetric response’ to U.S. missile test”, The Washington Post, August 23, 2019.
  • “Feinstein: Abandoning INF Treaty risks Nuclear Arms Race”, Press Release by Dianne Feinstein, February 01, 2019, retrieved June 02, 2019 from https://www.feinstein.senate.gov/public/index.cfm/ press-releases?ID=A01F1AF9-A125-4C3D-B7 5 6-991594828C41
  • “Foreign Minister Maas on the end of the INF Treaty”, Press Release by the German Federal Foreign Office, August 01, 2019, retrieved August 12, 2019 from https://www.auswaertiges-amt.de/en/news¬room/news/maas-inf-treaty-end/2236964
  • “Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Geng Shuang’s Remarks on the US Suspending INF Treaty Obli-gations and Beginning Withdrawal Process”, Official website of Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People’s Republic of China, February 02, 2019, retrieved July 03, 2019 from https://www.fmprc.gov. cn/mfa_eng/xwfw_665399/s2510_665401/t1635268.shtml
  • GERTZ, Bill “Bolton: China Continuing Cyberattacks on Government, Private Networks”, The Wash-ington Free Beacon, June 18, 2019, retrieved July 21, 2019 from https://freebeacon.com/national-security/bolton-china-continuing-cyberattacks-on-government-private-networks/ GIBBONS-NEFF, Thomas “Pentagon Chief in favor of deploying U.S. Missiles to Asia”, The New York Times, August 03, 2019.
  • GONCHARENKO, Roman “Russia’s controversial 9M729 missile system: A Not-so-secret secret”, Deutsche Welle, December 05, 2018.
  • GORBACHEV, Mikhail and George P. Shultz, “We participated in INF negotiations. Abandoning it threatens our very existence”, The Washington Post, December 04, 2018.
  • GORDON, Michael R. , “U.S. says Russia tested Cruise Missile, violating Treaty”, The New York Times, July 28, 2014

End of the INF Treaty: Are We Entering a New Cold War Era?

Year 2021, Volume: 14 Issue: 28, 1 - 20, 10.06.2021
https://doi.org/10.19060/gav.948852

Abstract

This article analyzes possible consequences of the abolition of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty, signed between the US and the USSR in 1987 and banning developing, testing and deploying intermediate-range missiles. The article argues that termination of the treaty would result in a conventional and especially a nuclear arms race as during the Cold War, and might trigger scrapping further agreements, although common sense in both parties enabled extending of the New START Treaty for 5 years. The new environment, with regional and global crises and massive armament by the global powers, including missile defense systems and hypersonic missiles, would endanger possible cooperation.

References

  • “Alexander Schallenberg: Europe must not become the scene of a new arms race”, Press Release by Federal Ministry for Europe, Integration and Foreign Affairs, August 02, 2019, retrieved August 12, 2019 from https://www.bmeia.gv.at/en/the-ministry/press/announcements/2019/08/alexander-schallenberg-europe-must-not-become-the-scene-of-a-new-arms-race/
  • BAKER, Peter “Trump sends Negotiators to Geneva for Nuclear Talks with Russians and also seeks to limit Chinese Warheads”, The New York Times, July 15, 2019.
  • BOLTON, John “New START is unilateral disarmament”, Wall Street Journal, September 08, 2010.
  • BORGER, Julian “US says it will pull out of INF treaty if Russia does not comply within 60 days”, The Guardian, December 04, 2018.
  • CARROLL, Oliver “Defiant John Bolton signals no way back for arms control treaty after Vladimir Putin meeting”, The Independent, October 24, 2018.
  • “DOD Releases Fiscal Year 2021 Budget Proposal”, US DoD, February 10, 2020, https://www.defense. gov/Newsroom/Releases/Release/Article/2079489/dod-releases-fiscal-year-2021-budget-proposal/
  • EMMOT, Robin “China rebuffs Germany’s call for U.S. missile deal with Russia”, Reuters, February 16, 2019, retrieved July 22, 2019 from https://www.reuters.com/article/us-germany-security-china/ china-rebuffs-germanys-call-for-u-s-missile-deal-with-russia-idUSKCN1Q50NZ
  • ENGLUND, Will “Putin orders ‘symmetric response’ to U.S. missile test”, The Washington Post, August 23, 2019.
  • “Feinstein: Abandoning INF Treaty risks Nuclear Arms Race”, Press Release by Dianne Feinstein, February 01, 2019, retrieved June 02, 2019 from https://www.feinstein.senate.gov/public/index.cfm/ press-releases?ID=A01F1AF9-A125-4C3D-B7 5 6-991594828C41
  • “Foreign Minister Maas on the end of the INF Treaty”, Press Release by the German Federal Foreign Office, August 01, 2019, retrieved August 12, 2019 from https://www.auswaertiges-amt.de/en/news¬room/news/maas-inf-treaty-end/2236964
  • “Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Geng Shuang’s Remarks on the US Suspending INF Treaty Obli-gations and Beginning Withdrawal Process”, Official website of Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People’s Republic of China, February 02, 2019, retrieved July 03, 2019 from https://www.fmprc.gov. cn/mfa_eng/xwfw_665399/s2510_665401/t1635268.shtml
  • GERTZ, Bill “Bolton: China Continuing Cyberattacks on Government, Private Networks”, The Wash-ington Free Beacon, June 18, 2019, retrieved July 21, 2019 from https://freebeacon.com/national-security/bolton-china-continuing-cyberattacks-on-government-private-networks/ GIBBONS-NEFF, Thomas “Pentagon Chief in favor of deploying U.S. Missiles to Asia”, The New York Times, August 03, 2019.
  • GONCHARENKO, Roman “Russia’s controversial 9M729 missile system: A Not-so-secret secret”, Deutsche Welle, December 05, 2018.
  • GORBACHEV, Mikhail and George P. Shultz, “We participated in INF negotiations. Abandoning it threatens our very existence”, The Washington Post, December 04, 2018.
  • GORDON, Michael R. , “U.S. says Russia tested Cruise Missile, violating Treaty”, The New York Times, July 28, 2014
There are 15 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Şafak Oğuz This is me 0000-0001-6758-175X

Mehmet Seyfettin Erol This is me 0000-0001-8358-7326

Publication Date June 10, 2021
Published in Issue Year 2021 Volume: 14 Issue: 28

Cite

APA Oğuz, Ş., & Erol, M. S. (2021). End of the INF Treaty: Are We Entering a New Cold War Era?. Gazi Akademik Bakış, 14(28), 1-20. https://doi.org/10.19060/gav.948852
AMA Oğuz Ş, Erol MS. End of the INF Treaty: Are We Entering a New Cold War Era?. Gazi Akademik Bakış. June 2021;14(28):1-20. doi:10.19060/gav.948852
Chicago Oğuz, Şafak, and Mehmet Seyfettin Erol. “End of the INF Treaty: Are We Entering a New Cold War Era?”. Gazi Akademik Bakış 14, no. 28 (June 2021): 1-20. https://doi.org/10.19060/gav.948852.
EndNote Oğuz Ş, Erol MS (June 1, 2021) End of the INF Treaty: Are We Entering a New Cold War Era?. Gazi Akademik Bakış 14 28 1–20.
IEEE Ş. Oğuz and M. S. Erol, “End of the INF Treaty: Are We Entering a New Cold War Era?”, Gazi Akademik Bakış, vol. 14, no. 28, pp. 1–20, 2021, doi: 10.19060/gav.948852.
ISNAD Oğuz, Şafak - Erol, Mehmet Seyfettin. “End of the INF Treaty: Are We Entering a New Cold War Era?”. Gazi Akademik Bakış 14/28 (June 2021), 1-20. https://doi.org/10.19060/gav.948852.
JAMA Oğuz Ş, Erol MS. End of the INF Treaty: Are We Entering a New Cold War Era?. Gazi Akademik Bakış. 2021;14:1–20.
MLA Oğuz, Şafak and Mehmet Seyfettin Erol. “End of the INF Treaty: Are We Entering a New Cold War Era?”. Gazi Akademik Bakış, vol. 14, no. 28, 2021, pp. 1-20, doi:10.19060/gav.948852.
Vancouver Oğuz Ş, Erol MS. End of the INF Treaty: Are We Entering a New Cold War Era?. Gazi Akademik Bakış. 2021;14(28):1-20.

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