YAPAY SİNİR AĞLARI İLE TÜRKİYE ELEKTRİK ENERJİSİ TÜKETİMİNİN 2010 YILINA KADAR TAHMİNİ

Yıl 2004, Cilt: 19 Sayı: 3, 0 - , 10.04.2013

Coşkun Hamzaçebi Fevzi Kutay

Öz

Bu çalışmada, uzun dönemli elektrik enerjisi tüketimi tahmininde yapay sinir ağlarının kullanılması araştırılmıştır. Yapay sinir ağları teknikleri ile bulunan sonuçlar, Box-Jenkins modelleri ve regresyon tekniği ile karşılaştırılmıştır. Bulunan sonuçlar yapay sinir ağlarının elektrik enerjisi tüketiminde iyi bir tahmin aracı olduğunu göstermiştir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Yapay sinir ağları, Box-Jenkins, geri yayılım algoritması, regresyon.

Kaynakça

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