G20 ülkelerinde yolsuzluğun belirleyicileri: Panel sıralı logit yaklaşımı

Abstract

Yolsuzluk, kamu politikalarının doğru uygulanması ve başarısı açısından önemli etkilere sahiptir. Bu çalışmanın amacı G20 ülkelerinde yolsuzluk olasılığını etkileyen faktörleri belirlemektir. Çalışma, Baetschmann, Staub ve Winkelmann (2015) tarafından geliştirilen panel veri sabit etkili sıralı logit modelini kullanarak G20 ülkelerinde 2002-2020 dönemi itibariyle ekonomik ve ekonomik olmayan yolsuzluk belirleyicilerini analiz etmektedir. Yolsuzluğu temsil etmek üzere çalışmada hem yolsuzluk algı endeksi hem de Kaufmann, Kraay ve Mastruzzi (2008) tarafından geliştirilen yolsuzluk endeksi kullanılmıştır. Çalışmanın bulgularına göre kişi başına düşen GSYİH, doğrudan yabancı yatırım, işgücüne katılım oranı, hukukun üstünlüğü ve hükümetin etkinliğindeki artışlar G20 ülkelerinde yolsuzluk olasılığını önemli ölçüde azaltmaktadır. Bunun yanı sıra G20 ülkelerinde enflasyon oranı ve işsizlik oranındaki artışlar yolsuzluk olasılığını artırmaktadır.

Keywords

• Yolsuzluk
• panel sabit etkili sıralı logit analizi
• makroekonomik faktörler.

Determinants of corruption in the G20 countries: Panel ordered logit approach

Abstract

Corruption has important implications for the proper implementation and success of public policies. The aim of this study is to determine the factors that affect the probability of corruption in the G20 countries. Using the panel data fix effect ordered logit model developed by Baetschmann, Staub and Winkelmann (2015), this study analyzes economic and non-economic corruption factors in the G20 countries for the period from 2002 to 2020. In this study, both the corruption perception index and the corruption index developed by Kaufmann, Kraay and Mastruzzi (2008) are used to represent corruption. According to the findings of this study, an increase in GDP per capita, foreign direct investment, labor force participation rate, rule of law, and government effectiveness significantly lead to a decrease in the probability of corruption for the G20 countries. In addition, an increase in the inflation and unemployment rate increases the probability of corruption in the G20 countries.

Keywords

• Corruption
• panel fixed effect ordered logit model
• macroeconomic factors.

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