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Artik Isınıyor: Yeşil Dönüşüm, Kritik Mineraller ve Enerji kaynakları, Yeni Deniz Rotaları ve Jeopolitik Rekabet

Year 2025, Volume: 16 Issue: 3, 1171 - 1186, 29.09.2025

Abstract

Küresel ısınmaya bağlı iklim değişikliği, Kuzey Kutbunun (Arktik) maden, mineral ve fosil enerji kaynaklarına erişimi mümkün kılmakta ve alternatif deniz rotalarını giderek daha fazla kullanılabilir hale getirmektedir. Arktik, özellikle nadir toprak elementleri, kritik mineral rezervleri, rüzgar ve güneş gibi yenilenebilir enerji potansiyeli ile küresel yeşil enerji dönüşümü bakımından bir arz merkezine dönüşmektedir. Arktik’teki coğrafi değişim yeşil dönüşüm, enerji, deniz ulaştırma ve bilimsel araştırmalar bakımında yeni fırsatlar sunmaktadır. Yeşil enerji dönüşümü, yenilenebilir enerji altyapısı ve ulaşımda elektrifikasyon bakımından oldukça elzem olan kritik mineraller ve nadir toprak elementleri, Çin, ABD ve AB’nin Arktik’e olan ilgisini perçinlemektedir. Bu bağlamda bölge, Ortadoğu gibi giderek yeni bir jeopolitik rekabet alanına dönüşmektedir. Çalışmanın amacı, Arktik’teki coğrafi değişikliğin bölgenin doğal zenginlikleri üzerindeki etkisini incelemek ve Arktik’in küresel yeşil enerji dönüşümü ve yeşil ekonomi girişimi özelinde önemini ele almaktır. Bu bağlamda Arktik’te uluslararası jeopolitik rekabet ve işbirliği değerlendirilecektir.

References

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The Arctic is Warming: Green Transition, Critical Minerals and Energy Sources, New Maritime Routes and Geopolitical Competition

Year 2025, Volume: 16 Issue: 3, 1171 - 1186, 29.09.2025

Abstract

Climate change is facilitating access to the mineral, mineral and fossil energy resources of the Arctic, while also rendering alternative sea routes increasingly viable. The Arctic is becoming a pivotal supply centre for the global green energy transition, particularly given its abundance of rare earth elements, critical mineral reserves and renewable energy potential, including wind and solar. Geographic change in the Arctic offers new opportunities for green transformation, energy, maritime transport and scientific research. Critical minerals and rare earth elements, which are essential for the green energy transition, renewable energy infrastructure and electrification of transport, reinforce the interest of China, the US and the EU in the Arctic. In this context, the region, like the Middle East, is turning into a new energy-focused geopolitical competition area. The aim of this study is to analyse the impact of the geographical change in the Arctic on the natural wealth of the region and to address the importance of the Arctic in the global green energy transition and green economy initiative. In this context, the international geopolitical competition and cooperation situation in the Arctic will be evaluated.

References

  • Adomaitis, N. (2023). Norway finds ‘substantial’ mineral resources on its seabed. Arctic Today,.https://www.arctictoday.com/norway-finds-substantial-mineral-resources-on-its-seabed/, (accessed 13 November 2024).
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  • Bertelsen, R. G., & Gallucci, V. (2016). The return of China, post-cold war Russia, and the Arctic: Changes on land and at sea, The American Foreign Policy Interests, 38(2), https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2016.04.034.
  • Biagioni, M. (2023). China’s Push-in Strategy in the Arctic and Its Impact on Regional Governance. IAI Istituto Affari Internazionali, September, 5.
  • Britannica, (2024). Arctic ocean, https://www.britannica.com/place/Arctic-Ocean, (accessed 13 November 2024).
  • British Petroleum, (2024). Energy outlook, https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/business-sites/en/global/corporate/pdfs/energy-economics/energy-outlook/bp-energy-outlook-2024.pdf, (accessed 13 November 2024).
  • Boylan, B. M. (2021). Increased maritime traffic in the Arctic: Implications for governance of Arctic sea routes. Marine Policy. 131, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2021.104566.
  • Budikova, D. (2009). Role of Arctic sea ice in global atmospheric circulation: A review. Global and Planetary Change. 68(3), 149-163. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2009.04.001
  • Chatterjee, S., & Tandon, A. (2020). Climate change ımpact on eco-biology and socio-economy—A concise discussion, in: N. Roy, S. Roychoudhury (Eds.), Socio-economic and Eco-biological Dimensions in Resource Use and Conservation: Strategies for Sustainability, 527-546.
  • Cheng, L., Abraham, J., Trenberth, K. E. & et al. (2023). Another year of record heat for the oceans, Adv. Atmos. Sci. 40, 963–974, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-023-2385-2.
  • Chételat, J., McKinney, M. A., Amyot, M., Dastoor, A., Douglas, T. A., Heimbürger-Boavida, L. E., & Wang, F. (2022). Climate change and mercury in the Arctic: Abiotic interactions, Science of the Total Environment. 824. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.153715.
  • Church, C., & Crawford, A., (2020). Minerals and the metals for the energy transition: Exploring the conflict implications for mineral-rich, fragile states (Eds.), The Geopolitics of the Global Energy Transition, Springer, 73.
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  • Ding, Q., Wallace, J. M., Battisti, D. S., Steig, E. J., Gallant, A. J., Kim, H. J., & Geng, L. (2014). Tropical forcing of the recent rapid Arctic warming in northeastern Canada and Greenland. Nature, 509(7499), 209-212.
  • Dmitrieva, D., & Solovyova, V. (2023). Russian Arctic mineral resources sustainable development in the context of energy transition, ESG agenda and geopolitical tensions, Energies. 16(13), 5145, https://doi.org/10.3390/en16135145.
  • Dyck, C. (2024). On thin ice: The Arctic Council’s uncertain future. Marine Policy, 163, 106060, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpol.2024.106060.
  • Eilu, P., Bjerkgård, T., & Franzson, H. et al. (2021). The Nordic supply potential of critical metals and minerals for a Green Energy Transition. Nordic Innovation Report, https://www.nordicinnovation.org/2021/nordic-supply-potential-critical-metals-and-mineralsgreen-energy-transition, (accessed 13 November 2024).
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  • International Energy Agency (IEA), (2029). Renewable 2019, https://www.iea.org/reports/renewables-2019, (accessed 13 November 2024).
  • Jacobsen, M., Gad, U.P., & Wæver, O. (2024). Greenland in Arctic security: (De)securitization dynamics under climatic thaw and geopolitical freeze, University of Michigan Press, https://doi.org/10.3998/mpub.12676130.
  • Johansson, B. (2013). Security aspects of future renewable energy systems – A short overview. Energy, 61, 598-605.
  • Kakışım, C. (2021). New energy geopolitics shaped by energy transition: The energy balance for rare earth elements and critical minerals. Avrasya Etüdleri, 6, 5-28.
  • Kakışım, C. (2023). Uluslararası iklim değişikliği müzakereleri ve iklim diplomasisi, U. Öme and E. Cengiz (Eds.), İklim Değişikliği Siyaseti: Riskler, Fırsatlar ve Yeni Vizyonlar, Ankara: Nobel.
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  • King, H. M. (2020). Oil and natural gas resources of the Arctic, Geology, https://geology.com/articles/arctic-oil-and-gas/, (accessed 13 November 2024).
  • Kraska, J. (2024) Strategic Minerals and the US Arctic Continental Shelf. Ocean and Coastal Law Journal, 29(2).
  • Levin, C., & Skelton, I. (2010). Rare earth materials in the defense supply chain, briefing for congressional committees, United States Government Accountability Office Washington, 1-36.
  • Liu, Y., Kong, Z., Jiang, Q., & Dong, X. (2023). The potential strategy of promoting China's participation in arctic energy development. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 183, 113438, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2023.113438.
  • Mered, M. (2019). The Arctic: critical metals, hydrogen and wind power for the energy transition, Édito Énergie, Ifri. https://www.ifri.org/sites/default/files/atoms/files/mered_arctic_metals_2019.pdf, (accessed 13 November 2024).
  • Mining Technology, (2024). Norway to award Arctic seabed mining blocks in 2025, https://www.mining.com/norway-to-award-arctic-seabed-mining-blocks-in-2025/, (accessed 13 November 2024).
  • Moe, A. (2023). Arctic minerals and sea routes, Konrad Adenauer Stiftung, https://www.kas.de/en/web/auslandsinformationen/artikel/detail/-/content/bodenschaetze-und-seewege-in-der-arktis, 2023, (accessed 13 November 2024).
  • Morante, E. (2022). Roadmap to decarbonize the shipping sector: Technology development, consistent policies and investment in research, development and innovation, UNTAC, https://unctad.org/news/transport-newsletter-article-no-99-fourth-quarter-2022#_ftn1, (accessed 13 November 2024).
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There are 62 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Ecology, Sustainability and Energy, Political Geography, Climate and Water Policies, Regional Studies, International Security
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Cemal Kakışım 0000-0002-3865-8305

Publication Date September 29, 2025
Submission Date February 12, 2025
Acceptance Date September 23, 2025
Published in Issue Year 2025 Volume: 16 Issue: 3

Cite

APA Kakışım, C. (2025). The Arctic is Warming: Green Transition, Critical Minerals and Energy Sources, New Maritime Routes and Geopolitical Competition. Gümüşhane Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 16(3), 1171-1186.