TÜRKİYE’DE GAYRİSAFİ MİLLİ HASILA DOĞRUDAN YABANCI YATIRIMLAR VE ENFLASYON ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİNİN İNCELENMESİ

Year 2022, Volume: 14 Issue: 2, 202 - 223, 31.12.2022

Dilek Usanmaz

https://doi.org/10.53881/hiad.1200177

Abstract

Bu makalenin temel amacı, Türkiye'de GSYİH, Enflasyon ve DYY arasındaki ilişkiyi analiz etmektir. Çalışmada 1970-2019 dönemini kapsayan yıllık zaman serisi verileri kullanılmıştır. Gayri Safi Yurtiçi Hasıla (GSYİH), Enflasyon ve Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırım (DYY) arasındaki istikrar, uzun dönem ve kısa dinamikler sırasıyla Artırılmış Dicky Fuller ve Phillips-Peron testleri, Johansen eşbütünleşme testi ve hata düzeltme teknikleri, DOLS ve FMOLS son olarak Granger Nedensellik kullanılarak tahmin edilmiştir. Çalışmanın ampirik bulguları, GSYİH ve Enflasyondan DYY'ye nedensel bir ilişki olduğu yönündedir. Uzun vadede incelendiğinde, Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırımların GSYİH üzerinde artan bir etkiye sahip olduğu ortaya çıkmaktadır.

Keywords

Ekonomik Büyüme, Enflasyon, Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırım, Hata Düzeltme Modeli

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