2022 FRANSA CUMHURBAŞKANLIĞI SEÇİMİ: DIŞ POLİTİKA ANALİZİ ÜZERİNE BİR DEĞERLENDİRME

Abstract

Fransa'da 2022 yılının Nisan ayında gerçekleştirilecek olan Cumhurbaşkanlığı Seçimi sonuçlarına ilişkin değerlendirmeler, dış politika analizi araştırmacılarına Fransa ve Avrupa Birliği'nin (AB) iç ve dış politikalarının geleceği konusunda yol gösterici nitelikte olacaktır. Bu çerçevede makalenin amacı, Fransa'da cumhurbaşkanlığı adayları ile adayların temsil ettiği siyasi partilerin dış politika yaklaşımlarının tespit edilmesidir. Makale, dış politika yapım süreçlerinde iç ve dış faktörleri ayrı analiz birimleri olarak ele alan geleneksel dış politika yaklaşımlarından farklı bir yaklaşım benimsemektedir. Geleneksel bakış açısının aksine, yazarlar iç ve dış faktörlerin etkileşimine odaklanmakta olup makalede bu etkileşimin aktörler üzerinde karşılıklı etkiler yarattığı ve dış politika yapım süreçlerini şekillendirdiği tartışılmaktadır. Metodolojik olarak makale, bu etkileşimi, yedi cumhurbaşkanı adayının söylemleri ve adayların temsil ettikleri siyasi partilerin programları üzerinden değerlendirmektedir. Makalede, Fransız dış politikasındaki iç ve dış faktörler arasındaki etkileşimin, hâlihazırda göç, güvenlik, ekonomi, iklim değişikliği, İslam, NATO üyeliği ve AB'nin geleceği temaları üzerinde yoğunlaştığı sonucuna varılmıştır. Bu çalışma, iç ve dış faktörlerin bileşimi üzerine kapsamlı bir analiz yaparak dış politika analizi literatürüne katkıda bulunmaya ve Fransa'daki cumhurbaşkanlığı seçim sürecinin olası yansımalarına ışık tutmaya çalışmaktadır.

Keywords

• Dış Politika Analizi
• Fransa
• Cumhurbaşkanlığı Seçimi
• Avrupa Birliği
• Uluslararası Siyaset

2022 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION IN FRANCE: AN ASSESSMENT ON FOREIGN POLICY ANALYSIS

Abstract

Assessments over the results of April 2022 Presidential Election in France will guide the scholars of foreign policy analysis on the future of internal and external policies of France and the European Union (EU). Within this framework, the aim of the paper is to identify the foreign policy approaches of the presidential candidates and the political parties they have represented in France. The paper adopts a diverse approach from traditional foreign policy approaches which take internal and external factors separately as units of analysis in foreign policy-making processes. Contrary to the traditional perspective, the authors focused on the interaction of internal and external factors, because it is argued in the paper that this interaction creates mutual impacts on agents and shapes foreign policy-making procedures. Methodologically the paper elaborates the interaction through an analysis on the discourses of seven presidential candidates and programs of the political parties they have represented. It is concluded in the paper that the interaction between internal and external factors in French foreign policy has currently concentrated on the themes such as migration, security, economy, climate change, Islam, NATO membership and the future of the EU. The article tries to contribute to the foreign policy analysis literature through a comprehensive analysis on the combination of internal and external factors and to illuminate the probable reflections of presidential election process in France.

Keywords

• Foreign Policy Analysis, France, Presidential Election, European Union, International Politics

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