Balkan Ülkelerinde İstihdam, İşsizlik ve Genç İşsizliği ile Büyüme Arasındaki İlişki: Ampirik Bir Analiz

Abstract

Yüksek işsizlik ve istihdam düzeyinin kötüleşmesi dünya ekonomisinde işgücü piyasasının temel sorunları olarak bilinmektedir. Son dönemlerde üzerinde sıklıkla durulan genç işsizlik konusu da işgücü piyasasının temel sorunlarından biridir. Bugün pek çok gelişmiş ve gelişmekte olan ülke bu sorunlar ile uğraşmaktadır. Balkan ülkelerinde ise durum farklı değildir. Uluslararası ekonomik raporlar pek çok Balkan gencinin işsizlik sorunu ile karşı karşıya olduğunu belirtmekte, gençlerin ülkelerinden göç etmek zorunda kaldıklarına dikkat çekmektedir. Bu kapsamda çalışmanın amacı yedi Balkan ülkesini (Arnavutluk, Bulgaristan, Hırvatistan, Romanya, Slovenya, Sırbistan, ve Yunanistan) ele alarak istihdam, işsizlik ve genç işsizliği ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişkiyi araştırmaktır. Çalışmada 1996-2017 dönemi verileri kullanılmış ve yöntem olarak Kónya (2006) tarafından geliştirilen bootstrap panel Granger nedensellik testi seçilmiştir. Analiz sonuçları ele alınan Balkan ülkelerinde istihdam, işsizlik ve genç işsizliği ile ekonomik büyümenin birbiriyle ilişkili olduğunu göstermektedir.

Keywords

• İstihdam,İşsizlik,Genç işsizliği,Ekonomik büyüme,Balkan ülkeleri,Panel nedensellik

The Relationship of Economic Growth with Employment, Unemployment and Youth Unemployment in the Balkan Countries : An Empirical Analysis

Abstract

High unemployment and deterioration of employment conditions are considered as the main problems of labour markets in the world economy. The issue of youth unemployment, which has been frequently discussed recently, is also a central labour market problem. Today, many developed and developing countries are experiencing these problems. The situation in the Balkan countries is not different. International economic reports show that many of Balkan youths face unemployment problem and this results in young people migrating from their countries. In this context, the aim of the study is to research the relationship of economic growth with employment, unemployment and youth unemployment by considering the seven Balkan countries (Albania, Bulgaria, Croatia, Greece, Romania, Serbia, and Slovenia). In the study, 1996-2017 period data was used and the bootstrap panel Granger causality test proposed by Kónya (2006) has been chosen as the econometric method. The findings of the analysis indicate that the economic growth is related with employment, unemployment and youth unemployment in the mentioned Balkan countries.

Keywords

• Employment,Unemployment,Youth unemployment,Economic growth,Balkan countries,Panel causality

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