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Bankalarda İtibar Sermayesinin Pay Senedi Getirisi Üzerinde Etkisi: Borsa İstanbul’da Bir Uygulama

Year 2025, Volume: 40 Issue: 2, 410 - 433
https://doi.org/10.24988/ije.1478640

Abstract

Bu çalışmanın amacı, Pacelli (2016) tarafından geliştirilen itibar sermayesi modeline (CRMF - The Reputational Capital of Banks in the Financial Markets) uygun olarak, 2015-2021 yılları arasında hisse senetleri Borsa İstanbul'da işlem gören dokuz Türk ticari bankasının itibar sermayesini hesaplamak ve bazı mikro ve makro göstergelerdeki değişimlerin hisse senedi getirileri üzerindeki etkisini panel veri analizi ile belirlemektir. Analiz sonuçlarına göre; %1 istatistiksel anlamlılık düzeyinde fiyat-kazanç oranı hisse senedi getirilerini pozitif yönde etkilerken, ekonomik büyüme oranı negatif yönde etkilemektedir. %5 istatistiksel anlamlılık düzeyinde itibar sermayesi değişim oranı, net kar büyüme oranı ve döviz kuru hisse senedi getirilerini pozitif yönde etkilemektedir. %10 istatistiksel anlamlılık düzeyinde ise TCMB gecelik faiz oranı hisse senedi getirilerini negatif yönde etkilemektedir. İşlem hacmi oranı ve tüketici fiyat endeksinin hisse senedi getirileri üzerinde istatistiksel olarak anlamlı bir etkiye sahip olmadığı görülmüştür.

References

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  • BIS. (2020). Revisions to the principles for the sound management of operational risk. www.bis.org, (Access Date: 25.06.2021).
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  • Dizgil, E. (2017). Factors on the business level affecting the share circumstances: An application on business / industrial index sectors. Journal of Academic Value Studies, 3(17), 265-276.
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  • Hogarth, K., Hutchinson, M. and Scaife, W. (2018). Corporate philanthropy, reputation risk management and shareholder value: A study of Australian corporate giving, Journal of Business Ethics, 151(2), 375-390.
  • Honey, G. (2009). A Short Guide to Reputation Risks, Gower Publishing: Burlington.
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  • Hwang, M. (2022). The impact of reputational expenses on stock price informativeness. Korean Accounting Information Association. 22(4), 95-113.
  • Im, K., Pesaran, M. H. and Shin, Y. (2003). Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels. Journal of Econometrics, 115(1), 53- 74.
  • Inglis, R., Morley, C. and Sammut, P. (2006). Corporate reputation and organisational performance: an Australian study. Managerial Auditing Journal, 21 (9), 934-947.
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  • Jacobs, B. W., Singhal, V. R. and Subramanian, R. (2010). An empirical investigation of environmental performance and the market value of the firm. Journal of Operations Management, 28(5), 430-441.
  • Karpoff, J. M. and Lott, J. R. (1993). The reputational penalty firms bear from committing criminal Fraud. The Journal of Law and Economics, 36(2), 757-802.
  • Kaur, A., Joshi, M., Singh, G., and Sharma, S. (2024). The impact of corporate reputation on cost of debt: a panel data analysis of Indian listed firms. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 17(8), 367.
  • Klassen, R. D. and McLaughlin, C. P. (1996). The impact of environmental management on firm performance. Management Science, 42(8), 1199-1214.
  • Koçbulut, Ö. and Altıntaş, H. (2016). Twin deficits and the feldstein-horıokahypothesis: The analysis of panel coıntegration with structural break under the cross section dependence on OECD Countries. Erciyes University Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences, 48, 145-174.
  • Kotha, S., Rajgopal, S. and Rindova, V. (2001). Reputation building and performance: An empirical analysis of the top-50 pure internet firms. European Management Journal, 19(6), 571-586.
  • Krueger, M. T., Wrolstad A. M. and Van Dalsem, S. (2010). Contemporaneous relationship between corporate reputation and return. Managerial Finance, 36(6), 482-490.
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The Impact of Reputation Capital on Stock Return in Banks: A Case Study in Borsa Istanbul

Year 2025, Volume: 40 Issue: 2, 410 - 433
https://doi.org/10.24988/ije.1478640

Abstract

The aim of this study is to calculate the reputational capital of nine Turkish commercial banks whose stocks are traded on Borsa Istanbul between 2015 and 2021, in accordance with the reputational capital model (CRMF - The Reputational Capital of Banks in the Financial Markets) developed by Pacelli (2016), and to determine the impact of changes in certain micro and macro indicators on stock returns through panel data analysis. According to the results of analysis, at the 1% level of statistical significance, the price-earnings ratio positively affects stock returns, while the economic growth rate has a negative effect. At the 5% level of statistical significance, the change rate of reputational capital, net profit growth rate, and exchange rate positively affect stock returns. At the 10% level of statistical significance, the CBRT overnight interest rate negatively affects stock returns. It has been observed that the trading volume rate and consumer price index do not have statistically significant effects on stock returns.

References

  • Araújo, L. A. D. and Vinhado, F. (2016). Reputational risk measurement: Brazilian Banks, www.papers.ssrn.com, (Access Date: 14.06.2021).
  • Aupperle, K. E., Carroll, A. B. and Hatfield, J. D. (1985). An empirical examination of the relationship between corporate social responsibility and profitability. The Academy of Management Journal, 28(2), 446-463.
  • Baltagi, B. and Wu, P. (1999). Unequally Spaced Panel Data Regressions with AR (1) Disturbances. Econometric Theory, 15(06), 814-823, www.researchgate.net, (Access Date: 01.09.2022).
  • Baltagi, B. H. (2012). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data, John Wiley and Sons: Chichester.
  • Baltagi, B., Feng, Q. and Kao, C. (2012). A lagrange multiplier test for cross-sectional dependence in a fixed effects panel data model. Center for Policy Research Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs Syracuse University, Working Paper, No. 137, www.surface.syr.edu, (Access Date: 01.09.2022).
  • BRSA. (2016). Guidance on the management of reputational risk, www.bddk.org.tr, (Access Date: 15.06.2021).
  • BRSA. (2024). Main indicators report. www.bddk.org.tr, (Access Date: 23.08.2024).
  • Bhargava, A., Franzini, L. and Narendranathan, W. (1982). Serial correlation and fixed effects model. Review of Economic Studies, 49(4), 533-549, www.jstor.org, (Access Date: 05.09.2022).
  • BIS. (2009). Enhancements to the Basel II Framework, www.bis.org, (Access Date: 25.03.2020).
  • BIS. (2020). Revisions to the principles for the sound management of operational risk. www.bis.org, (Access Date: 25.06.2021).
  • Blajer-Golebiewska, A. (2014). Corporate Reputation and economic performance: The evidence from Poland. Economics and Sociology, 7(3), 194-207.
  • Boyd, B. K., Carroll, W. O. and Dess, G. G. (1996). Determining the strategic value of firm reputation: A resource-based view. Working Paper, Old Dominion University.
  • Breusch, T. S. and Pagan, A. R. (1980). The lagrange multiplier test and its applications to model specification in econometrics. The Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239-253, www.jstor.org, (Access Date: 01.09.2022).
  • Choi, I. (2001). Unit root tests for panel data. Journal of International Money and Finance, 20, 249-272, 2001.
  • Chok, N. S. (2010). Pearson’s Versus Spearman’s and Kendall’s Correlation Coeffıcients for Contınuous Data. (Master Thesis). University of Pittsburgh, Graduate School of Public Health, Pennsylvania, USA.
  • Chow, G. C. (1960). “Tests of equality between sets of coefficients in two linear regression”, Econometrica, 26(3), 591‐605.
  • Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye (CBRT), www.tcmb.gov.tr, (Access Date: 15.06.2021)
  • Çillioğlu, A. and Şimşek, A. (2013). Measuring Corporate Reputation: The Case of a State University, in: New Challenges, New Opportunities: Interdisciplinary Perspectives on Reputation Management, BAYBARS-HAWK B. and Samast O., (Eds.), Reputation Management Institute of Türkiye, Ankara, 1, 5-19.
  • Deephouse, D. and Ourso, E. J. (1997). The effect of financial and media reputations on performance. Corporate Reputation Review, 1, 68-71.
  • Dizgil, E. (2017). Factors on the business level affecting the share circumstances: An application on business / industrial index sectors. Journal of Academic Value Studies, 3(17), 265-276.
  • Driscoll, J. and Kraay, A. C. (1998). Consistent covariance matrix estimation with spatially dependent data. Review of Economics and Statistics, 80, 549-560, www. scirp.org, (Access Date: 05.09.2022).
  • Eberl, M. and Schwaiger, M. (2005). Corporate reputation: disentangling the effects on financial performance. European Journal of Marketing, 39 (7/8), 838-854.
  • Erkmen, T. and Esen, E. (2013). How do weak and strong corporate culture influence corporate reputation?, in: New Challenges, New Opportunities: Interdisciplinary Perspectives on Reputation Management. BAYBARS-HAWK, B. and SAMAST, O., (Eds.), Reputation Management Institute af Türkiye, 1, 45-53.
  • Ferreira, S. (2015). Measuring Reputational Risk in the South African Banking Sector. (Master Thesis). Risk Management at the Vaal Triangle Campus of the North-West University, South Africa.
  • Ferreira, S. J., Redda, E. and Dunga, S. H. (2019). A structural equation model of reputational risk in South Africa. Cogent Economics and Finance, 7, 1-15.
  • Financial Information News Network (Finnet), www.finnet.com.tr, (Access Date: 15.06.2021).
  • Fiordelisi, F., Soana, M. G. and Schwizer, P. (2013). The determinants of reputational risk in the banking sector. Journal of Banking and Finance, 37, 1359–1371.
  • Fiordelisi, F., Soana, M. G. and Schwizer, P. (2014). Reputational losses and operational risk in banking. The European Journal of Finance, 20(2), 105-124.
  • Frees, E. (2004). Longitudinal and Panel Data: Analysis and Applications in the Social Sciences, Cambridge University Press: England.
  • Greene, W. H. (2003). Econometric Analysis, 5th Edition, Prentice Hall: Upper Saddle River, USA.
  • Gujarati, D. N. (1995). Temel Ekonometri, Trans. ŞENESEN, Ü. and ŞENESEN GÜNLÜK, G. Literatür Yayıncılık: İstanbul.
  • Hausman, J. A. (1978). Specification tests in econometrics, Econometrica, 46(6), 1251-1271.
  • Hogarth, K., Hutchinson, M. and Scaife, W. (2018). Corporate philanthropy, reputation risk management and shareholder value: A study of Australian corporate giving, Journal of Business Ethics, 151(2), 375-390.
  • Honey, G. (2009). A Short Guide to Reputation Risks, Gower Publishing: Burlington.
  • Hsiao, C. (1995). Panel Analysis for Metric Data, Handbook of Statistical Modelling in the Social and Behavourial Sciences, ARMINGER, G., CLOGG, C. C. and SOBEL, M. Z., 391-400.
  • Huo, M. (2023). The impact of corporate reputation on stock value, Advances in Economics and Management Research, 6, 556-559.
  • Hwang, M. (2022). The impact of reputational expenses on stock price informativeness. Korean Accounting Information Association. 22(4), 95-113.
  • Im, K., Pesaran, M. H. and Shin, Y. (2003). Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels. Journal of Econometrics, 115(1), 53- 74.
  • Inglis, R., Morley, C. and Sammut, P. (2006). Corporate reputation and organisational performance: an Australian study. Managerial Auditing Journal, 21 (9), 934-947.
  • İş Yatırım Menkul Değerler A.Ş., www.isyatirim.com.tr, (Access Date: 15.06.2021).
  • Jacobs, B. W., Singhal, V. R. and Subramanian, R. (2010). An empirical investigation of environmental performance and the market value of the firm. Journal of Operations Management, 28(5), 430-441.
  • Karpoff, J. M. and Lott, J. R. (1993). The reputational penalty firms bear from committing criminal Fraud. The Journal of Law and Economics, 36(2), 757-802.
  • Kaur, A., Joshi, M., Singh, G., and Sharma, S. (2024). The impact of corporate reputation on cost of debt: a panel data analysis of Indian listed firms. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 17(8), 367.
  • Klassen, R. D. and McLaughlin, C. P. (1996). The impact of environmental management on firm performance. Management Science, 42(8), 1199-1214.
  • Koçbulut, Ö. and Altıntaş, H. (2016). Twin deficits and the feldstein-horıokahypothesis: The analysis of panel coıntegration with structural break under the cross section dependence on OECD Countries. Erciyes University Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences, 48, 145-174.
  • Kotha, S., Rajgopal, S. and Rindova, V. (2001). Reputation building and performance: An empirical analysis of the top-50 pure internet firms. European Management Journal, 19(6), 571-586.
  • Krueger, M. T., Wrolstad A. M. and Van Dalsem, S. (2010). Contemporaneous relationship between corporate reputation and return. Managerial Finance, 36(6), 482-490.
  • Lai, C., Chiu, C. J., Yang, C. F. and Pai, D. C. (2010). The Effects of corporate social responsibility on brand performance: The mediating effect of industrial brand equity and corporate reputation. Journal of Business Ethics, 95(3), 457-469.
  • Lee, J. and Roh, J. J. (2012). Revisiting corporate reputation and firm performance link. Benchmarking: An International Journal, 19 (4/5), 649-664.
  • Maddala, G. S. and Wu, S. (1999). A comparative study of unit root tests with panel data and a new simple test. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Special Issue, 631-652.
  • Mattarocci, G., Spaltro, A. and Comana, M. (2018). A Quantitative Measurement of Reputational Risk. Luiss University, Department of Management Chair of Risk Management, www.tesi.luiss.it 1-100, (Access Date: 28.02.2022).
  • McWilliams, A. and Siegel, D. (2000). Corporate social responsibility and financial performance: correlation or misspecification? Strategic Management Journal, 21(5), 603-609.
  • Menyah, K., Nazlıoğlu, Ş. and Wolde-Rufael, Y. (2014). financial development, trade openness and economic growth in African Countries: New insights from a panel causality approach, Economic Modelling, 37, 386-394.
  • Moosa, I. and Silvapulle, P. (2012). An empirical analysis of the operational losses of Australian Banks. Accounting and Finance, 52(1), 165-185.
  • Pacelli, V. (2016). The Case Study of Lehman Brothers, in: DELL’ATTI, S. and TROTTA, A. (Eds.), Managing Reputation in the Banking Industry, Springer, 101-121. www.link.springer.com (Access Date: 18.02.2018).
  • Palmrose, Z. V., Richardson, V. J. and Scholz, S. (2004). Determinants of market reactions to restatement announcements. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 37(1), 59-89.
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Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Risk management in Banking
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Mehmetali Candoğan 0000-0002-8763-203X

Melek Acar 0000-0001-8031-2095

Early Pub Date May 23, 2025
Publication Date
Submission Date May 5, 2024
Acceptance Date December 7, 2024
Published in Issue Year 2025 Volume: 40 Issue: 2

Cite

APA Candoğan, M., & Acar, M. (2025). The Impact of Reputation Capital on Stock Return in Banks: A Case Study in Borsa Istanbul. İzmir İktisat Dergisi, 40(2), 410-433. https://doi.org/10.24988/ije.1478640
İzmir Journal of Economics
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