DO NORTH AMERICAN COUNTRIES DOMINATE THE CONFLICT IN THE WORLD? EVIDENCE FROM BENOIT HYPOTHESIS

Abstract

In recent years, it has been observed that the scope of globalization has increased the need for security, and the world borders have been removed. The fact that countries are rapidly developing their defense industries shows that they consider this situation normal. The validity of the Benoit Hypothesis, which emphasizes that increases in defense expenditures will positively affect economic growth, was discussed for the period 1988-2022, and an interregional analysis was made in this study. Evidence supporting the Benoit Hypothesis has been obtained only in the North America, which allocates the highest share to defense expenditures. According to the findings, growth is not affected when defense expenditures are increased, but economic growth decreases when defense expenditures are reduced. The results obtained in this study, which includes interregional analysis, provide comprehensive information and it is thought that country groups that make defense expenditures in order to generate income from the defense industry have emerged and this will provide important evidence in world politics.

Keywords

• Defense expenditures
• Benoit hypothesis
• SIPRI

DÜNYADAKİ ÇATIŞMALARI KUZEY AMERİKA ÜLKELERİ Mİ DOMİNE EDİYOR? BENOIT HİPOTEZİ’NDEN BİR DELİL

Abstract

Son yıllarda küreselleşmenin etkisiyle dünya genelinde sınırların kalkmasının beraberinde güvenlik ihtiyacını arttırdığı görülmektedir. Ülkelerin savunma sanayilerini hızla geliştirmeleri bu durumu normal gördüklerini göstermektedir. Savunma harcamalarındaki artışların ekonomik büyümeyi olumlu yönde etkileyeceğini vurgulayan Benoit Hipotezinin geçerliliği 1988-2022 dönemi için ele alınmış ve bu çalışmada bölgeler arası bir analiz yapılmıştır. Benoit Hipotezini destekleyen kanıtlar yalnızca savunma harcamalarına en yüksek payı ayıran ABD’de elde edilmiştir. Bulgulara göre, savunma harcamaları arttığında ekonomik büyüme etkilenmemekte ancak savunma harcamaları azaldığında ekonomik büyüme azalmaktadır. Bölgeler arası analizlerin yer aldığı bu çalışmada elde edilen sonuçlar kapsamlı bilgiler sunmakta olup, savunma sanayisinden gelir elde etmek amacıyla savunma harcaması yapan ülke gruplarının ortaya çıktığı ve bunun dünya siyasetinde önemli deliller sağlayacağı düşünülmektedir.

Keywords

• Savunma Harcamaları
• Benoit hipotezi
• SIPRI

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