THE EFFECT OF MONETARY POLICY ON BANKS RISK TAKING IN TURKEY

Abstract

In periods of expansionary monetary policies, the effects of declines in interest rates on valuations, income and cash flows increase the risk taking behavior of banks.. In this context, our study investigates whether the implementation of monetary policy in 2002Q4-2012Q3 period in Turkey affects the risk taking behavior of banks or not by using dynamic panel data framework. According to our results, there is a positive relationship between the changes in short-term interest rates and banks’ risk taking. The result reflects that a decrease in short term interest rates has a positive impact on the loan portfolio via outstanding loans. In other words, banks’ risk taking decreases if interest rates are lowered. However, was found negative relationship between the interest rate, which falls below benchmark level and banks’ risk taking. According to the results, the magnitude of this effect increases as the scales of the banks get smaller

Keywords

• Monetary Policy,Non-Performing Loans,Risk Taking Channel

TÜRKİYE’DE PARA POLİTİKALARININ BANKALARIN RİSK YÜKLENİMLERİ ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİLERİ

Abstract

Genişletici para politikalarının uygulandığı dönemlerde faiz oranlarında meydana gelen düşüşlerin değerlemeler, gelirler ve nakit akımları üzerindeki etkileri, bankaların risk yüklenimlerini kolaylaştırmaktadır. Bu kapsamda çalışmamızda 2002Q4-2012Q3 döneminde Türkiye’de uygulanan para politikalarının bankaların risk yüklenimlerini etkileyip etkilemediği dinamik panel yaklaşımı ile araştırılmaktadır. Çalışma sonuçlarımıza göre, kısa vadeli faiz oranlarındaki değişim ile bankaların risk yüklenimleri arasında pozitif yönlü bir ilişki vardır. Bu sonuç, düşük faiz oranlarının bankaların kredi portföyleri üzerindeki -henüz geri ödemesi yapılmamış krediler vasıtasıyla gerçekleşen- pozitif yönlü etkilerini yansıtmaktadır. Bununla birlikte faiz oranlarının denge değerin altına düşmesi ile bankaların risk yüklenimleri arasınd ise negatif yönlü bir ilişki tespit edilmiştir. Elde edilen sonuçlara göre bu etkinin büyüklüğü banka ölçeği küçüldükçe artmaktadır.

Keywords

• Para Politikası,Geri Dönmeyen Krediler,Risk Yüklenim Kanalı

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