ENDÜSTRİ-İÇİ TİCARETİN BELİRLEYİCİSİ OLARAK ULUSLARARASI GÖÇ AKIMLARI: TÜRKİYE’DE GİYİM SEKTÖRÜ ÜZERİNE AMPİRİK BİR ANALİZ

Year 2020, Volume: 16 Issue: 4, 794 - 816, 31.12.2020

Gökhan Demirtaş , Emel Turan

https://doi.org/10.17130/ijmeb.804975

Cited By: 1

Abstract

Bu çalışmanın amacı, Türkiye’de uluslararası göç akımlarının endüstri-içi ticaret üzerine etkisini incelemektir. Bu amaçla çalışmada panel veri yöntemi kullanılmıştır. Çalışma, 2013-2017 yılları arasında Türkiye’nin göç aldığı 85 ülke ile dış ticareti üzerine odaklanmaktadır. Genişletilmiş çekim modeline dayanan tahminler, Uluslararası Standart Ticaret Sınıflandırması (SITC, Rev.3) 2 haneli ayrıma göre SITC84 kodlu Giyim Eşyası ve Bunların Aksesuarları sektöründe iki taraflı ticaret verisini içermektedir. Modelde bağımsız değişken olarak Grubel-Lloyd Endeksine göre hesaplanan endüstri-içi ticaret yer alırken gelir, ağırlıklı mesafe, döviz kuru ve uluslararası göç akımları modelde bağımsız değişken olarak kullanılmıştır. Çalışmanın temel sonucu, hazır giyim sektöründe uluslararası göçün endüstri-içi ticaret üzerine etkisinin pozitif olduğunu göstermektedir. Türkiye'nin hazır giyim sektöründe net ihracatçı olduğu göz önüne alındığında, bu sonuç tercih etkisinin bu sektördeki ağ etkisinden daha büyük olduğunu göstermektedir. Hangi etki olursa olsun, uluslararası göç giyim sektöründeki ithalatı ihracattan daha fazla artırmaktadır. Bu noktadan hareketle Türkiye'nin ürün farklılaştırmasına odaklanarak katma değeri yüksek ürünlerde uzmanlaşması önerilmektedir.

Keywords

Endüstri-içi Ticaret, Uluslararası Göç, Genişletilmiş Çekim Modeli, Panel Veri Analizi

INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION FLOWS AS A DETERMINANT OF INTRA-INDUSTRY TRADE: AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS ON THE CLOTHING SECTOR IN TURKEY

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to examine the effect of international migration on intra-industry trade in Turkey. For this purpose, panel data method is used in the study. The study focus on the intra-industry trade of Turkey with 85 countries during the period from 2013 to 2017. Estimates based on augmented gravity model are includes the bilateral trade data of SITC84 code Articles of Apparel & Clothing Accessories sub-sectors according to the International Standard Classification of Commerce (SITC Rev.3) 2-digit. Intra-industry trade which is calculated according to the Grubel-Lloyd index as a dependent variable in the model while income, weighted distance, exchange rate and international migration flows are used as independent variables. The main result of the study shows that the effect of international migration on intra-industry trade is positive in the clothing sector. Taking into consideration Turkey is a net exporter in clothing sector, this result indicates that the preference effect is greater than the network effect in this sector. Regardless of the effect, international migration increases imports in the clothing sector more than exports. From this pointof view, it is recommended that Turkey should specializes in high value-added products by focusing product differentiation.

Keywords

Intra-Industry Trade, International Migration, Augmented Gravity Model, Panel Data Analysis

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