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Climate Change and Hard-Soft Security Nexus: Future of Arctic Security Cooperation

Year 2021, Volume: 3 Issue: 1 (Arktik Özel Sayısı), 25 - 50, 19.04.2021

Abstract

Climate change is arguably one of the most serious global problems of our time. Its implications are widespread touching every corner of the globe at various levels and in varied contexts. The implications are in most cases environmentally devastating, resulting in enormous concerns posing multidimensional threats to humans and communities at large. On the one hand, environmental changes in the Arctic causes human security threats to its diverse communities. On the other hand, consequences of climate change leads to new developments leading to geopolitical tensions as human activities are on the rise resulting in an increase in global presence in resource usage. Overall, the transformation of the Arctic debatably has implications of influencing global and regional security dynamics. As a result, both internal and external security dynamics in the Arctic conceive a hard-soft security nexus, engaging actors, both within and beyond the Arctic. Against this background, the following article explores the grounds of hard-soft security nexus in the Arctic. By examining some of the lessons from the recent past, the article investigates the future of regional security implications. Further, it analyses insights on the need for a multi-level regulatory, institutional, and participatory Arctic governance framework in response to hard-soft security nexus.

References

  • See generally O. A. Anisimov et al., “Polar Regions (Arctic and Antarctic). Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability,” in Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, eds., M. L. Parry et al. (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2007), 653–85.
  • Meredith, M. et al., “Polar Regions,” in IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate, eds. H.-O. Pörtner et al. (In press, 2019), https://www.ipcc.ch/srocc/chapter/chapter-3-2/
  • Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme (AMAP), Impact of Warming Arctic, (Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 2004), http://www.amap.no/documents/doc/impacts-of-a-warming-arctic-2004/786 (accessed September 01 2015).
  • Cheryl Katz, “Warming at the Poles will soon be Felt Globally in Rising Seas,” National Geographic (2019), https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/2019/12/arctic/ (accessed December 20, 2020).
  • IPCC, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2013, (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2013), http://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/index.shtml (accessed December 20, 2020).
  • Claire L. Parkinson, “A 40-Y Record Reveals Gradual Antarctic Sea Ice Increases Followed by Decreases at Rates Far Exceeding the Rates Seen in the Arctic,”PNAS 116, 29, (2019): 14414–423; first published July 1, 2019; https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1906556116
  • Jonathan Bamber, “Greenland’s Ice Sheet Could Melt at a Rate Not Seen in the Last 130,000 Years,” World Economic Forum, (2020). https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/11/greenland-melting-climate-change-worry-environment/ (accessed December 20, 2020).
  • Pekka Niittynen and Miska Luoto, “Snow Cover is a Neglected Driver of Arctic Biodiversity Loss,” Nature Climate Change 8 (2018): 997–1001.
  • Nico Wunderling et al., “Global Warming due to Loss of Large Ice Masses and Arctic Summer Sea Ice. Nature Communications 11, 5177 (2020): p. 3, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18934-3.
  • International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies, World Disasters Report 2020 (Geneva, 2020), https://media.ifrc.org/ifrc/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/20201116_WorldDisasters_Full.pdf (accessed December 20, 2020).
  • J. Liu et al. “Impact of Declining Arctic Sea Ice on Winter Snowfall,” in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA 109 (2012), DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1114910109.
  • N. Filimonova, N. and S. Krivokhizh, “How Asian Countries are Making Their Way into the Arctic,” The Diplomat, (2016), http://thediplomat.com/2016/10/how-asian-countries-are-makingtheir-way-into-the-arctic/ (accessed August 9, 2017).
  • James McKarthy et al., Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability, Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2001) 26; Rottem, S. V. and Moe, A. (2007). Climate Change in the North and the Oil Industry, FNI Report 9/2007 (Lysaker: Fridtjof Nansen Institute) 2.
  • Steve Connor, “Climate Change Melting Polar Regions Faster Than Ever Before,” Independent, November 9, 2011, http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change/climate-change-melting-polar-regions-faster-than-ever-before-6259145.html (accessed December 20, 2020). United Nations Debate, “UN Security Council Debates Security Impacts of Climate Change,” July 20, 2011, http://www.un.org/press/en/2015/sgsm16981.doc.htm (accessed August 18 2015).
  • Kamrul Hossain and K. Morris, “Protecting Arctic Ocean Marine Biodiversity in the Area Beyond National Jurisdiction: Plausible Legal Frameworks for Protecting High Arctic Waters in The Future Law of the Sea, ed. G. Adreone, (Cham, Switzerland: Springer, 2017).
  • David C. Payer, Alf B. Josefson and Jon Fjeldså. Species Diversity in the Arctic. Arctic Biodiversity Assessment Report (Chapter 2). 2013. 68.
  • Kamrul Hossain, “Invasive Species in the Arctic: Concerns, Regulations, and Governance,” in Diplomacy on Ice: Energy and the Environment in the Arctic and Antarctic, eds. R. Pincus, R. and H. A. Saleem, (New Haven: Yale University Press, 2015), 72–93.
  • R. Hampton and M. Toombs, (2013). “Culture, Identity and Indigenous Australian People,” in Indigenous Australians and Health: The Wombat in the Room, eds. R. Hampton M. Toombs (South Melbourne: Oxford University Press, 2013), 3–23.
  • N. G. Maynard et al., “Impacts of Arctic Climate and Land Use Changes on Reindeer Pastoralism: Indigenous Knowledge and Remote Sensing,” in Eurasian Arctic Land Cover and Land Use in a Changing Climate, eds. G. Gutman and A. Reissell (Dordrecht, Springer: Science+Business Media, 2011, pp. 179–80.
  • J. Ford, (2009) “Vulnerability of Inuit Food Systems to Food Insecurity as a Consequence of Climate Change: A Case Study from Igloolik, Nunavut,” Regional Environmental Change 9, issue no, (2009): 83–100.
  • IPCC, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2013 (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2013), http://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/index.shtml. (accessed December 20, 2020).
  • A. Parker et al. Climate Change and Pacific Rim Indigenous Nations, Northwest Indian Applied Research Institute (NIARI), (2006), The Evergreen State College, Olympia, Washington, USA, https://sites.evergreen.edu/indigenousclimate/ (accessed December 20, 2020).
  • Patrick Huntjens and Katharina Nachbar, “Climate Change as a Threat Multiplier for Current and Future Conflict,” Working Paper 9 (2015), The Hague Institute for Global Justice, https://www.thehagueinstituteforglobaljustice.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/working-Paper-9-climate-change-threat-multiplier.pdf (accessed December 20, 2020).
  • W. Maslowski et al., “The Future of Arctic Sea Ice,” Annu. Rev. Earth Planet. Sci. 40, (2012): 625–54.
  • Dirk Notz and Julienne Stroeve, “The Trajectory Towards a Seasonally Ice-Free Arctic Ocean,” Current Climate Change Reports 4 (2018): 407–16.
  • B. Kaiser, L. Fernandez, and N. Vestergaard, “The Future of the Marine Arctic: Environmental and Resource Economic Development Issues,” The Polar Journal 6, no. 1 (2016).
  • Kristian Åtland and Mikhail Gorbachev, The Murmansk Initiative, and the Desecuritization of Interstate: Relations in the Arctic,” Cooperation and Conflict 43, no. 3 (2008): 289 –311.
  • The Arctic Environmental Protection Strategy, 1991. http://library.arcticportal.org/1542/1/artic_environment.pdf.
  • S. Silverburg, International Law: Contemporary Issues and Future Developments, Hachette UK: Routledge (2011). See also Kamrul Hossain, International Governance in the Arctic: The Law of the Sea Convention with a Special Focus on Offshore Oil and Gas (2010). The Yearbook of Polar Law, pp. 139-169, 2010, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2505488
  • T. Parfitt, “Russia Plants Flag on North Pole Seabed,” Guardian, August 2, 2007, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2007/aug/02/russia.arctic (accessed August 5, 2017).
  • T. Macalister, (2011). Rush for Arctic’s Resources Provokes Territorial Tussles, Guardian, July 6, 2011, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2011/jul/06/arctic-resources-territorial-dispute (accessed August 5, 2017).
  • See for example, Juha Käpylä and Harri Mikkola, Arctic Conflict Potential Towards an Extra-Arctic Perspective, FIIA Briefing Paper 138 (2013): 3, https://www.files.ethz.ch/isn/170344/bp138.pdf
  • Kamrul Hossain, “EU Engagement in the Arctic: Do the Policy Responses from the Arctic States Recognise the EU as a Legitimate Stakeholder?” Arctic Review on Law and Politics 6, no. 2 (2015): 89–110.
  • The DECLARATION ON THE ESTABLISHMENT OF THE ARCTIC COUNCIL. At: https://oaarchive.arctic-council.org/bitstream/handle/11374/85/EDOCS-1752-v2-ACMMCA00_Ottawa_1996_Founding_Declaration.PDF?sequence=5&isAllowed=y (accessed December 20, 2020).
  • Interview with Kamrul Hossain, “The Arctic Is a Complex Region Which Cannot Be Designated with a Single Status,” Russian International Affairs Council. (Interviewer: Yana Ovsyannikova) At: https://russiancouncil.ru/en/analytics-and-comments/interview/the-arctic-is-a-complex-region-which-cannot-be-designated-with-a-single-status/ (accessed December 20, 2020).
  • U.S. Department of the Interior, U.S. Geological Survey, Circum-Arctic Resource Appraisal: Estimates of Undiscovered Oil and Gas North of the Arctic Circle, by Kenneth J. Bird et al. (USGS, 2008), https://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2008/3049/fs2008-3049.pdf (accessed December 2020).
  • Statistics Norway, Research Department, The Role of the Arctic in Future Global Petroleum Supply, by Lars Lindholt and Solveig Glomsrød (Discussion Papers No. 645, 2011), https://www.ssb.no/a/publikasjoner/pdf/DP/dp645.pdf (accessed December 2020).
  • Tore Haug et al., “Future Harvest of Living Resources in the Arctic Ocean North of the Nordic and Barents Seas: A Review of Possibilities and Constraints,” Fisheries Research 188 (2017): 38–57.
  • Yeong-Seok HA and Jung Soo SEO, “The Northern Sea Routes and Korea’s Trade with Europe: Implications for Korea’s Shipping Industry,” International Journal of e-Navigation and Maritime Economy 1, (2014): 73–84.
  • Masahiko Furuich and Natsuhiko Otsuka, “Cost Analysis of the Northern Sea Route (NSR) and the Conventional Route Shipping,” (paper presented at the IAME 2013 Conference, Marseille, France, July 3–5, 2013), https://www.researchgate.net/publication/246545438_Cost_Analysis_of_the_Northern_Sea_Route_NSR_and_the_Conventional_Route_Shipping (accessed December 2020).
  • J. Pruyn, (2016). “Will the Northern Sea Route Ever Be a viable alternative?” Maritime Policy & Management 43, no. 6 (2016). . Daniel H. Rosen and Trevor Houser, “China Energy A Guide for the Perplexed,” Peterson Institute for International Economics. 2007. at: https://www.piie.com/publications/papers/rosen0507.pdf (accessed December 2020).
  • . C. Dawson B. Spegele, “Chinese Count the Cost of Ill-Timed Nexen Purchase,” Wall Street Journal, July 24, 2015, http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/wall-street-journal/chinese-count-the-cost-of-illtimed-nexen-purchase/news-story/3cc187f335e157e7f03cda71ac8ddbc8 (accessed August 12, 2017).
  • S. Yan, “China is About to Tighten Its Grip on Rare Earth Minerals,” CNN Money International, June 5, 2015, http://money.cnn.com/2015/06/05/investing/molycorp-china-rare-earth-minerals/index.html (accessed August 12, 2017).
  • Federico Pieraccini, “The Arctic Silk Road: A Huge Leap Forward for China and Russia,” Strategic Culture, 13 November 2017, https://www. strategic-culture.org/news/2017/11/13/arctic-silk-road-huge-leap-forward-for-china-and-russia.html (Accessed January 17, 2018).
  • Kamrul Hossain, “China’s BRI Expansion and Great Power Ambition: The Silk Road on the Ice Connecting the Arctic,” Cambridge Journal of Eurasian Studies, 3 (2019): 6-7, https://doi.org/10.22261/CJES.F3OSGP.
  • Tekes, (2013). Arctic Review 2013-Logistics and Mining, Future Watch Report, Tekes: Team Finland. O. Astakhova, “Russian Tanker Forges Path for Arctic Shipping Super-Highway, Reuters, March 30, 2017, http://www.reuters.com/article/us-novatek-lng-putin-idUSKBN1712K6 (accessed August 12, 2017).
  • P. Solli, E. Rowe, and W. Lindgren, “Coming into the Cold: Asia’s Arctic Interests,” Polar Geography 36, no. 4 (2013): 253–70. See for example, Terry Macalister, “Rush for Arctic's Resources Provokes Territorial Tussles,” Guardian, July 6, 2011, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2011/jul/06/arctic-resources-territorial-dispute.
  • Orang Young, “Arctic Politics in an Era of Global Change,” Brown Journal of World Affairs 19, no. 1 (2012): 165–78.
  • Helga Haftendorn, “NATO and the Arctic: Is the Atlantic Alliance a Cold War Relic in a Peaceful Region Now Faced With Non-Military Challenges?” European Security 20, no. 3 (2011): 337–61, DOI: 10.1080/09662839.2011.608352.
  • Klimenko Ekaterina and Camilla T. N. Sørensen (2017). “The Status of Chinese–Russian Energy cooperation in the Arctic,” Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI). https://www.sipri.org/commentary/topical-backgrounder/2017/chinese-russian-energy-cooperation-arctic (accessed May 29 2017).
  • R. Dellios, (2004-2005). “The Rise of China as a Global Power,” Culture Mandala 6, no. 2 (2004–2005).
  • Skalamera Morena (2014) Booming Synergies in Sino-Russian Natural Gas Partnership: 2014 as the Propitious Year.” Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Harvard Kennedy School. At: http://www.belfercenter.org/sites/default/files/legacy/files/RussoSinoGas2014%20web.pdf (accessed May 29 2017).
  • Marcus Matthias Keupp, “Arctic Security, Sovereignty, and Rights of Utilization: Implications for the Northern Sea Route,” in The Northern Sea Route, ed. M. M. Keupp (Wiesbaden: Springer, 2015), 22–23. Also see, Atle Staalesen. Northernmost Arctic airfield now operational all-year, says Russian Military, The Barents Observer, April 28, 2020, https://thebarentsobserver.com/en/security/2020/04/northernmost-arctic-airfield-now-operational-all-year-says-russian-military (December 20, 2020.
  • See generally, Michael Byers, “The Law and Politics of the Lomonosov Ridge,” Challenges of the Changing Arctic Continental Shelf, Navigation, and Fisheries (eds. Myron H. Nordquist, John Norton Moore, and Ronán Long). Series: Center for Oceans Law and Policy, Volume: 19 (Brill: 2016).
  • Suzanne Lalonde and Frédéric Lasserre, “The Position of the United States on the Northwest Passage: Is the Fear of Creating a Precedent Warranted?” Ocean Development & International Law 44, no. 1 (2013): 28–72, DOI: 10.1080/00908320.2012.726832. p. 29.
  • International Code for Ships Operating in Polar Waters (Polar Code), https://www.imo.org/en/OurWork/Safety/Pages/polar-code.aspx (accessed December 20, 2020).
  • Oran Young, “Is It Time for a Reset in Arctic Governance?” Sustainability 11, (2019): 8, doi:10.3390/su11164497 (2019), https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/11/16/4497/pdf (accessed December 20, 2020).
  • The DECLARATION ON THE ESTABLISHMENT OF THE ARCTIC COUNCIL. At: https://oaarchive.arctic-council.org/bitstream/handle/11374/85/EDOCS-1752-v2-ACMMCA00_Ottawa_1996_Founding_Declaration.PDF?sequence=5&isAllowed=y. Vladimir Vasiliev, The Arctic Council: A Tool for Regional Development & Policy-Shaping. Arctic Yearbook 2016, at p. 290–91. The Ilulissat Declaration (2008), at: https://arcticportal.org/images/stories/pdf/Ilulissat-declaration.pdf.
  • NATO-Russia Council. https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_50091.htm
  • See generally, D. Rudolph, “The Arctic Military Environmental Cooperation (AMEC) Program’s Role in the Management of Spent Fuel from Decommissioned Nuclear Submarines,” in Scientific and Technical Issues in the Management of Spent Fuel of Decommissioned Nuclear Submarines, eds. Ashot Sarkisov and Alain Tournyol du Clos (publisher city: Springer, 2004), 111–17.

Climate Change and Hard-Soft Security Nexus: Future of Arctic Security Cooperation

Year 2021, Volume: 3 Issue: 1 (Arktik Özel Sayısı), 25 - 50, 19.04.2021

Abstract

Climate change is arguably one of the most serious global problems of our time. Its implications are widespread touching every corner of the globe at various levels and in varied contexts. The implications are in most cases environmentally devastating, resulting in enormous concerns posing multidimensional threats to humans and communities at large. On the one hand, environmental changes in the Arctic causes human security threats to its diverse communities. On the other hand, consequences of climate change leads to new developments leading to geopolitical tensions as human activities are on the rise resulting in an increase in global presence in resource usage. Overall, the transformation of the Arctic debatably has implications of influencing global and regional security dynamics. As a result, both internal and external security dynamics in the Arctic conceive a hard-soft security nexus, engaging actors, both within and beyond the Arctic. Against this background, the following article explores the grounds of hard-soft security nexus in the Arctic. By examining some of the lessons from the recent past, the article investigates the future of regional security implications. Further, it analyses insights on the need for a multi-level regulatory, institutional, and participatory Arctic governance framework in response to hard-soft security nexus.

References

  • See generally O. A. Anisimov et al., “Polar Regions (Arctic and Antarctic). Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability,” in Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, eds., M. L. Parry et al. (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2007), 653–85.
  • Meredith, M. et al., “Polar Regions,” in IPCC Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate, eds. H.-O. Pörtner et al. (In press, 2019), https://www.ipcc.ch/srocc/chapter/chapter-3-2/
  • Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme (AMAP), Impact of Warming Arctic, (Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 2004), http://www.amap.no/documents/doc/impacts-of-a-warming-arctic-2004/786 (accessed September 01 2015).
  • Cheryl Katz, “Warming at the Poles will soon be Felt Globally in Rising Seas,” National Geographic (2019), https://www.nationalgeographic.com/science/2019/12/arctic/ (accessed December 20, 2020).
  • IPCC, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2013, (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2013), http://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/index.shtml (accessed December 20, 2020).
  • Claire L. Parkinson, “A 40-Y Record Reveals Gradual Antarctic Sea Ice Increases Followed by Decreases at Rates Far Exceeding the Rates Seen in the Arctic,”PNAS 116, 29, (2019): 14414–423; first published July 1, 2019; https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1906556116
  • Jonathan Bamber, “Greenland’s Ice Sheet Could Melt at a Rate Not Seen in the Last 130,000 Years,” World Economic Forum, (2020). https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/11/greenland-melting-climate-change-worry-environment/ (accessed December 20, 2020).
  • Pekka Niittynen and Miska Luoto, “Snow Cover is a Neglected Driver of Arctic Biodiversity Loss,” Nature Climate Change 8 (2018): 997–1001.
  • Nico Wunderling et al., “Global Warming due to Loss of Large Ice Masses and Arctic Summer Sea Ice. Nature Communications 11, 5177 (2020): p. 3, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18934-3.
  • International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies, World Disasters Report 2020 (Geneva, 2020), https://media.ifrc.org/ifrc/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/20201116_WorldDisasters_Full.pdf (accessed December 20, 2020).
  • J. Liu et al. “Impact of Declining Arctic Sea Ice on Winter Snowfall,” in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA 109 (2012), DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1114910109.
  • N. Filimonova, N. and S. Krivokhizh, “How Asian Countries are Making Their Way into the Arctic,” The Diplomat, (2016), http://thediplomat.com/2016/10/how-asian-countries-are-makingtheir-way-into-the-arctic/ (accessed August 9, 2017).
  • James McKarthy et al., Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability, Contribution of Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2001) 26; Rottem, S. V. and Moe, A. (2007). Climate Change in the North and the Oil Industry, FNI Report 9/2007 (Lysaker: Fridtjof Nansen Institute) 2.
  • Steve Connor, “Climate Change Melting Polar Regions Faster Than Ever Before,” Independent, November 9, 2011, http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change/climate-change-melting-polar-regions-faster-than-ever-before-6259145.html (accessed December 20, 2020). United Nations Debate, “UN Security Council Debates Security Impacts of Climate Change,” July 20, 2011, http://www.un.org/press/en/2015/sgsm16981.doc.htm (accessed August 18 2015).
  • Kamrul Hossain and K. Morris, “Protecting Arctic Ocean Marine Biodiversity in the Area Beyond National Jurisdiction: Plausible Legal Frameworks for Protecting High Arctic Waters in The Future Law of the Sea, ed. G. Adreone, (Cham, Switzerland: Springer, 2017).
  • David C. Payer, Alf B. Josefson and Jon Fjeldså. Species Diversity in the Arctic. Arctic Biodiversity Assessment Report (Chapter 2). 2013. 68.
  • Kamrul Hossain, “Invasive Species in the Arctic: Concerns, Regulations, and Governance,” in Diplomacy on Ice: Energy and the Environment in the Arctic and Antarctic, eds. R. Pincus, R. and H. A. Saleem, (New Haven: Yale University Press, 2015), 72–93.
  • R. Hampton and M. Toombs, (2013). “Culture, Identity and Indigenous Australian People,” in Indigenous Australians and Health: The Wombat in the Room, eds. R. Hampton M. Toombs (South Melbourne: Oxford University Press, 2013), 3–23.
  • N. G. Maynard et al., “Impacts of Arctic Climate and Land Use Changes on Reindeer Pastoralism: Indigenous Knowledge and Remote Sensing,” in Eurasian Arctic Land Cover and Land Use in a Changing Climate, eds. G. Gutman and A. Reissell (Dordrecht, Springer: Science+Business Media, 2011, pp. 179–80.
  • J. Ford, (2009) “Vulnerability of Inuit Food Systems to Food Insecurity as a Consequence of Climate Change: A Case Study from Igloolik, Nunavut,” Regional Environmental Change 9, issue no, (2009): 83–100.
  • IPCC, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2013 (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2013), http://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/index.shtml. (accessed December 20, 2020).
  • A. Parker et al. Climate Change and Pacific Rim Indigenous Nations, Northwest Indian Applied Research Institute (NIARI), (2006), The Evergreen State College, Olympia, Washington, USA, https://sites.evergreen.edu/indigenousclimate/ (accessed December 20, 2020).
  • Patrick Huntjens and Katharina Nachbar, “Climate Change as a Threat Multiplier for Current and Future Conflict,” Working Paper 9 (2015), The Hague Institute for Global Justice, https://www.thehagueinstituteforglobaljustice.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/working-Paper-9-climate-change-threat-multiplier.pdf (accessed December 20, 2020).
  • W. Maslowski et al., “The Future of Arctic Sea Ice,” Annu. Rev. Earth Planet. Sci. 40, (2012): 625–54.
  • Dirk Notz and Julienne Stroeve, “The Trajectory Towards a Seasonally Ice-Free Arctic Ocean,” Current Climate Change Reports 4 (2018): 407–16.
  • B. Kaiser, L. Fernandez, and N. Vestergaard, “The Future of the Marine Arctic: Environmental and Resource Economic Development Issues,” The Polar Journal 6, no. 1 (2016).
  • Kristian Åtland and Mikhail Gorbachev, The Murmansk Initiative, and the Desecuritization of Interstate: Relations in the Arctic,” Cooperation and Conflict 43, no. 3 (2008): 289 –311.
  • The Arctic Environmental Protection Strategy, 1991. http://library.arcticportal.org/1542/1/artic_environment.pdf.
  • S. Silverburg, International Law: Contemporary Issues and Future Developments, Hachette UK: Routledge (2011). See also Kamrul Hossain, International Governance in the Arctic: The Law of the Sea Convention with a Special Focus on Offshore Oil and Gas (2010). The Yearbook of Polar Law, pp. 139-169, 2010, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2505488
  • T. Parfitt, “Russia Plants Flag on North Pole Seabed,” Guardian, August 2, 2007, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2007/aug/02/russia.arctic (accessed August 5, 2017).
  • T. Macalister, (2011). Rush for Arctic’s Resources Provokes Territorial Tussles, Guardian, July 6, 2011, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2011/jul/06/arctic-resources-territorial-dispute (accessed August 5, 2017).
  • See for example, Juha Käpylä and Harri Mikkola, Arctic Conflict Potential Towards an Extra-Arctic Perspective, FIIA Briefing Paper 138 (2013): 3, https://www.files.ethz.ch/isn/170344/bp138.pdf
  • Kamrul Hossain, “EU Engagement in the Arctic: Do the Policy Responses from the Arctic States Recognise the EU as a Legitimate Stakeholder?” Arctic Review on Law and Politics 6, no. 2 (2015): 89–110.
  • The DECLARATION ON THE ESTABLISHMENT OF THE ARCTIC COUNCIL. At: https://oaarchive.arctic-council.org/bitstream/handle/11374/85/EDOCS-1752-v2-ACMMCA00_Ottawa_1996_Founding_Declaration.PDF?sequence=5&isAllowed=y (accessed December 20, 2020).
  • Interview with Kamrul Hossain, “The Arctic Is a Complex Region Which Cannot Be Designated with a Single Status,” Russian International Affairs Council. (Interviewer: Yana Ovsyannikova) At: https://russiancouncil.ru/en/analytics-and-comments/interview/the-arctic-is-a-complex-region-which-cannot-be-designated-with-a-single-status/ (accessed December 20, 2020).
  • U.S. Department of the Interior, U.S. Geological Survey, Circum-Arctic Resource Appraisal: Estimates of Undiscovered Oil and Gas North of the Arctic Circle, by Kenneth J. Bird et al. (USGS, 2008), https://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2008/3049/fs2008-3049.pdf (accessed December 2020).
  • Statistics Norway, Research Department, The Role of the Arctic in Future Global Petroleum Supply, by Lars Lindholt and Solveig Glomsrød (Discussion Papers No. 645, 2011), https://www.ssb.no/a/publikasjoner/pdf/DP/dp645.pdf (accessed December 2020).
  • Tore Haug et al., “Future Harvest of Living Resources in the Arctic Ocean North of the Nordic and Barents Seas: A Review of Possibilities and Constraints,” Fisheries Research 188 (2017): 38–57.
  • Yeong-Seok HA and Jung Soo SEO, “The Northern Sea Routes and Korea’s Trade with Europe: Implications for Korea’s Shipping Industry,” International Journal of e-Navigation and Maritime Economy 1, (2014): 73–84.
  • Masahiko Furuich and Natsuhiko Otsuka, “Cost Analysis of the Northern Sea Route (NSR) and the Conventional Route Shipping,” (paper presented at the IAME 2013 Conference, Marseille, France, July 3–5, 2013), https://www.researchgate.net/publication/246545438_Cost_Analysis_of_the_Northern_Sea_Route_NSR_and_the_Conventional_Route_Shipping (accessed December 2020).
  • J. Pruyn, (2016). “Will the Northern Sea Route Ever Be a viable alternative?” Maritime Policy & Management 43, no. 6 (2016). . Daniel H. Rosen and Trevor Houser, “China Energy A Guide for the Perplexed,” Peterson Institute for International Economics. 2007. at: https://www.piie.com/publications/papers/rosen0507.pdf (accessed December 2020).
  • . C. Dawson B. Spegele, “Chinese Count the Cost of Ill-Timed Nexen Purchase,” Wall Street Journal, July 24, 2015, http://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/wall-street-journal/chinese-count-the-cost-of-illtimed-nexen-purchase/news-story/3cc187f335e157e7f03cda71ac8ddbc8 (accessed August 12, 2017).
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There are 60 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects International Relations
Journal Section Articles
Authors

Kamrul Hossain 0000-0003-1522-558X

Publication Date April 19, 2021
Submission Date January 25, 2021
Acceptance Date April 6, 2021
Published in Issue Year 2021 Volume: 3 Issue: 1 (Arktik Özel Sayısı)

Cite

Chicago Hossain, Kamrul. “Climate Change and Hard-Soft Security Nexus: Future of Arctic Security Cooperation”. International Journal of Politics and Security 3, no. 1 (Arktik Özel Sayısı) (April 2021): 25-50.

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