Understanding the US and China Rivalry through Modelski’s Model & Offensive Realism Theory (The Past, Present & Future)

Year 2022, Volume: 4 Issue: 3, 271 - 298, 01.10.2022

Harun Abubakar Siddique

https://doi.org/10.53451/ijps.1094852

Cited By: 1

Abstract

While the impact of the US-Chinese rivalry on the global political system has led to considerable literature, there are some discussions on the possible strategies that the USA and China can follow in this rivalry. On the one hand, it is wondered what kind of road map the USA and China will follow, on the other hand, Modelski's Long Cycle Model can offer an explanation and prediction opportunity in this regard. This model produces an explanation that includes the past, present, and future within the framework of the enormous increase in the interdependence of states at the global level. In this study, the explanation model developed by Modelski is used to understand the political and economic order that has emerged around China's evolving role in the global political system.

Keywords

US, China Rivalry, Modelski Model, Offensive Realism

Understanding the US and China Rivalry through Modelski’s Model & Offensive Realism Theory (The Past, Present & Future)

Abstract

ABD-Çin rekabetinin küresel siyasi sistem üzerindeki etkisi hatırı sayılır bir literatüre yol açarken, ABD ve Çin'in bu rekabette izleyebileceği olası stratejiler konusunda bazı tartışmalar bulunmaktadır. Bir yandan ABD ve Çin'in nasıl bir yol haritası izleyeceği merak edilirken, diğer yandan Modelski'nin Uzun Döngü Modeli bu konuda bir açıklama ve öngörü fırsatı sunabilir. Bu model, küresel düzeyde devletlerin karşılıklı bağımlılığındaki muazzam artış çerçevesinde geçmişi, bugünü ve geleceği içeren bir açıklama üretir. Bu çalışmada, Modelski tarafından geliştirilen açıklama modeli, Çin'in küresel siyasi sistemdeki gelişen rolü etrafında ortaya çıkan siyasi ve ekonomik düzeni anlamak için kullanılmıştır.

Keywords

ABD, Çin Rekabeti, Modelski’nin Modeli, Ofansif Realism

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