Research Article
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Year 2024, Volume: 6 Issue: 2, 1 - 12, 31.08.2024
https://doi.org/10.38058/ijsl.1373536

Abstract

References

  • Adefolalu, D. O. (1986). Rainfall trends in Nigeria. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 37(4), 205–219
  • Adelekan, I. O., & Adegebo, B. O.. (2014). Variation in onset and cessation of the rainy season in Ibadan, Nigeria. Journal of Science Research, 13, 13–21
  • Adefolalu, D. O. (1986). Rainfall trends in Nigeria. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 37(4), 205– 219.
  • Adelekan, I. O., & Adegebo, B. O. (2014). Variation in onset and cessation of the rainy season in Ibadan, Nigeria. Journal of Science Research, 13, 13–21.
  • Alexander, L., Allen, S., & Bindoff, N. L. (2013). Working group I contribution to the IPCC fifth assessment report climate change 2013: The physical science basis summary for policymakers. OPCC. Amangabara, G. T. (2015). Drainage morphology of Imo basin in the Anambra–Imo river basin area, of Imo state, southern Nigeria. Journal of Geography, Environment and Earth Science International, 3(1), 1–11.
  • Amekudzi, L. K., Yamba, E. I., Preko, K., Asare, E. O., Aryee, J., Baidu, M., & Codjoe, S. N. (2015). Variabilities in rainfall onset, cessation and length of rainy season for the various agro-ecological zones of Ghana. Climate, 3(2), 416–434.
  • Anyadike, R. N. C. (1993). Seasonal and annual rainfall variations over Nigeria. International Journal of Climatology, 13(5), 567–580.
  • Ati, O. F., Stigter, C. J., & Oladipo, E. O. (2002). A comparison of methods to determine the onset of the growing season in northern Nigeria. International Journal of Climatology: A Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 22(6), 731–742.
  • Bello, N. J. (1996). An investigation of the characteristics of the onset and cessation of the rains in Nigeria. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 54(3–4), 161–173.
  • Byakatonda, J., Parida, B. P., Kenabatho, P. K., & Moalafhi, D. B. (2019). Prediction of onset and cessation of austral summer rainfall and dry spell frequency analysis in semiarid Botswana. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 135(1–2), 101–117.
  • Camberlin, P., & Diop, M. (2003). Application of daily rainfall principal component analysis to the assessment of the rainy season characteristics in Senegal. Climate Research, 23(2), 159–169.
  • Camberlin, P., Moron, V., Okoola, R., Philippon, N., & Gitau, W. (2009). Components of rainy seasons’ variability in Equatorial East Africa: Onset, cessation, rainfall frequency and intensity. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 98(3–4), 237–249.
  • Carter, T. R. (1998). Changes in the thermal growing season in Nordic countries during the past century and prospects for the future. Agricultural and Food Science, 7(2), 161–179.
  • Chiduza, C. (1995). Analysis of rainfall data and their implication on crop production: A case study of northern Sebungwe. The Zimbabwe Journal of Agricultural Research (Zimbabwe).
  • Drápela, K., & Drápelová, I. (2011). Application of Mann-Kendall test and the Sen’s slope estimates for trend detection in deposition data from Bílý Kříž (Beskydy Mts., the Czech Republic) 1997-2010. Beskydy, 4(2), 133–146.
  • Dunning, C. M., Black, E. C., & Allan, R. P. (2016). The onset and cessation of seasonal rainfall over Africa. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121(19), 11,405-11,424.
  • Ezeh, C. U., Ekwezuo, C., Emeribe, C. N., & Butu, A. W. (2021). Enhanced prediction methods for the onset and cessation dates of the rainy season over the Guinea Savanna, Nigeria. Arabian Journal of Geosciences, 14(3), 1–11.
  • Foley, J. A., Ramankutty, N., Brauman, K. A., Cassidy, E. S., Gerber, J. S., Johnston, M., Mueller, N. D., O’Connell, C., Ray, D. K., & West, P. C. (2011). Solutions for a cultivated planet. Nature, 478(7369), 337–342.
  • Hulme, M. (1992). Rainfall changes in Africa: 1931–1960 to 1961–1990. International Journal of Climatology, 12(7), 685–699.
  • Jassby, A. D., Cloern, J. E., & Jassby, M. A. (2016). Package ‘wq’. Jiang, F., Hu, R., Zhang, Y., Li, X., & Tong, L. (2011). Variations and trends of onset, cessation and length of climatic growing season over Xinjiang, NW China. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 106(3–4), 449–458.
  • Laux, P., Kunstmann, H., & Bárdossy, A. (2008). Predicting the regional onset of the rainy season in West Africa. International Journal of Climatology: A Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 28(3), 329–342.
  • Matthew, O. J., Imasogie, O. G., Ayoola, M. A., Abiye, O. E., & Sunmonu, L. A. (2017). Assessment of prediction schemes for estimating rainfall onset over different climatic Zones in West Africa. Journal of Geography, Environment and Earth Science International, 9(1), 1–15.
  • Menzel, A., & Fabian, P. (1999). Growing season extended in Europe. Nature, 397(6721), 659–659.
  • Moonen, A. C., Ercoli, L., Mariotti, M., & Masoni, A. (2002). Climate change in Italy indicated by agrometeorological indices over 122 years. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 111(1), 13–27.
  • Mugalavai, E. M., Kipkorir, E. C., Raes, D., & Rao, M. S. (2008). Analysis of rainfall onset, cessation and length of growing season for western Kenya. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 148(6–7), 1123–1135.
  • Muller, C. J., O’Gorman, P. A., & Back, L. E. (2011). Intensification of precipitation extremes with warming in a cloud-resolving model. Journal of Climate, 24(11), 2784–2800.
  • NBS. (2018). National Bureau of Statistics Demographic Statistics Bulletin. Retrieved 20th March, 2020 from. https://nigerianstat.gov.ng/download/775
  • Ndomba, P. M. (2010). Development of rainfall curves for crops planting dates: A case study of Pangani River Basin in Tanzania. Nile Basin Water Science and Engineering Journal, 3, 13–27.
  • NIMET. (2018). An overview of the 2018 Seasonal Rainfall Prediction (p. 32).
  • NIMET. (2020). Overview of the 2020 Seasonal Rainfall Prediction (p. 41).
  • Odekunle, T. O. (2004). Rainfall and the length of the growing season in Nigeria. International Journal of Climatology: A Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 24(4), 467–479.
  • Odekunle, T. O., Balogun, E. E., & Ogunkoya, O. O. (2005). On the prediction of rainfall onset and retreat dates in Nigeria. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 81(1–2), 101–112.
  • Okorie, F. C. (2015). Analysis of 30 years rainfall variability in Imo State of southeastern Nigeria. Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences, 366, 131.
  • Omotosho, J. B. (2002). Synoptic meteorology: Pathway to seasonal rainfall prediction for sustainable agriculture and effective water resources management in West Africa but Nigeria in particular. Journal of the Nigerian Meteorological Society, 3(2), 82–88.
  • Önöz, B., & Bayazit, M. (2003). The power of statistical tests for trend detection. Turkish Journal of Engineering and Environmental Sciences, 27(4), 247–251.
  • Pohlert, T. (2016). Non-parametric trend tests and change-point detection. CC BY-ND, 4.
  • Robeson, S. M. (2002). Increasing growing-season length in Illinois during the 20th century. Climatic Change, 52(1–2), 219–238.
  • Salack, S., Muller, B., & Gaye, A. T. (2011). Rain-based factors of high agricultural impacts over Senegal. Part I: integration of local to sub-regional trends and variability. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 106(1–2), 1–22.
  • Salmi, T., Määttä, A., Anttila, P., Ruoho-Airola, T., & Amnell, T. (2002). Detecting trends of annual values of atmospheric pollutants by the Mann-Kendall test and Sen’s slope estimates MAKESENS–The excel template application. Finish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki.
  • Sattar, A., Khan, S. A., & Banerjee, S. (2017). Evaluation of onset, cessation and length of rainy season for sustainable rainfed crop production in Bihar. Evaluation, 633(631.57), 540.29.
  • Sen, P. K. (1968). Estimates of the regression coefficient based on Kendall’s tau. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 63(324), 1379–1389.
  • Sivakumar, M. V. K. (1988). Predicting rainy season potential from the onset of rains in Southern Sahelian and Sudanian climatic zones of West Africa. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 42(4), 295–305.
  • Tabari, H., Marofi, S., Aeini, A., Talaee, P. H., & Mohammadi, K. (2011). Trend analysis of reference evapotranspiration in the western half of Iran. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 151(2), 128–136.
  • Usman, M. T., & AbdulKadir, A. (2013). On determining the ‘real’onset date of seasonal rains in the semi-arid and sub-humid areas of West Africa. Natural Hazards, 66(2), 749–758.
  • Vyshkvarkova, E., Voskresenskaya, E., & Martin-Vide, J. (2018). Spatial distribution of the daily precipitation concentration index in Southern Russia. Atmospheric Research, 203, 36–43.
  • Walter, M. W. (1967). Length of the rainy season in Nigeria. The Nigerian Geographical Journal, 10(2), 123–128.

Variability Of The Onset And End Dates Of The Rainy Season In Owerri, Imo State, Nigeria.

Year 2024, Volume: 6 Issue: 2, 1 - 12, 31.08.2024
https://doi.org/10.38058/ijsl.1373536

Abstract

The paper assessed the onset and end dates of the rainy season in Owerri Imo State, Nigeria using daily rainfall data from 1987 to 2016. The study employed the Hybrid method derived from Walter’s and Anyadike’s methods to determine the dates of the onset and end of the rainy season. The mean dates of the onset are 23rd Feb., 8th April, and 17th March for Walter, Anyadike, and Hybrid methods respectively. The end dates of the rainy season are the 28th, 19th, and 24th of October for Walter, Anyadike’s, and hybrid methods respectively. The area is experiencing early dates of the onset of the rainy season in recent years with later dates of the end of the rainy season. The end dates of the rainy season also significantly impact the rainfall regime in the State. The hybrid method proved better than Walter and Anyadike’s method of prediction in that it attenuated the underestimation associated with Anyadike’s method and the overestimation associated with Walter’s method. Therefore, it should be utilised in the assessment of the onset and end dates of the rainy season in the rainforest ecological zones. The study contributes to the body of knowledge in determining the onset and end dates of the rainy season in Owerri Imo State which is useful to rain-fed agriculture and other hydro-climatic planning.

References

  • Adefolalu, D. O. (1986). Rainfall trends in Nigeria. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 37(4), 205–219
  • Adelekan, I. O., & Adegebo, B. O.. (2014). Variation in onset and cessation of the rainy season in Ibadan, Nigeria. Journal of Science Research, 13, 13–21
  • Adefolalu, D. O. (1986). Rainfall trends in Nigeria. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 37(4), 205– 219.
  • Adelekan, I. O., & Adegebo, B. O. (2014). Variation in onset and cessation of the rainy season in Ibadan, Nigeria. Journal of Science Research, 13, 13–21.
  • Alexander, L., Allen, S., & Bindoff, N. L. (2013). Working group I contribution to the IPCC fifth assessment report climate change 2013: The physical science basis summary for policymakers. OPCC. Amangabara, G. T. (2015). Drainage morphology of Imo basin in the Anambra–Imo river basin area, of Imo state, southern Nigeria. Journal of Geography, Environment and Earth Science International, 3(1), 1–11.
  • Amekudzi, L. K., Yamba, E. I., Preko, K., Asare, E. O., Aryee, J., Baidu, M., & Codjoe, S. N. (2015). Variabilities in rainfall onset, cessation and length of rainy season for the various agro-ecological zones of Ghana. Climate, 3(2), 416–434.
  • Anyadike, R. N. C. (1993). Seasonal and annual rainfall variations over Nigeria. International Journal of Climatology, 13(5), 567–580.
  • Ati, O. F., Stigter, C. J., & Oladipo, E. O. (2002). A comparison of methods to determine the onset of the growing season in northern Nigeria. International Journal of Climatology: A Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 22(6), 731–742.
  • Bello, N. J. (1996). An investigation of the characteristics of the onset and cessation of the rains in Nigeria. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 54(3–4), 161–173.
  • Byakatonda, J., Parida, B. P., Kenabatho, P. K., & Moalafhi, D. B. (2019). Prediction of onset and cessation of austral summer rainfall and dry spell frequency analysis in semiarid Botswana. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 135(1–2), 101–117.
  • Camberlin, P., & Diop, M. (2003). Application of daily rainfall principal component analysis to the assessment of the rainy season characteristics in Senegal. Climate Research, 23(2), 159–169.
  • Camberlin, P., Moron, V., Okoola, R., Philippon, N., & Gitau, W. (2009). Components of rainy seasons’ variability in Equatorial East Africa: Onset, cessation, rainfall frequency and intensity. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 98(3–4), 237–249.
  • Carter, T. R. (1998). Changes in the thermal growing season in Nordic countries during the past century and prospects for the future. Agricultural and Food Science, 7(2), 161–179.
  • Chiduza, C. (1995). Analysis of rainfall data and their implication on crop production: A case study of northern Sebungwe. The Zimbabwe Journal of Agricultural Research (Zimbabwe).
  • Drápela, K., & Drápelová, I. (2011). Application of Mann-Kendall test and the Sen’s slope estimates for trend detection in deposition data from Bílý Kříž (Beskydy Mts., the Czech Republic) 1997-2010. Beskydy, 4(2), 133–146.
  • Dunning, C. M., Black, E. C., & Allan, R. P. (2016). The onset and cessation of seasonal rainfall over Africa. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 121(19), 11,405-11,424.
  • Ezeh, C. U., Ekwezuo, C., Emeribe, C. N., & Butu, A. W. (2021). Enhanced prediction methods for the onset and cessation dates of the rainy season over the Guinea Savanna, Nigeria. Arabian Journal of Geosciences, 14(3), 1–11.
  • Foley, J. A., Ramankutty, N., Brauman, K. A., Cassidy, E. S., Gerber, J. S., Johnston, M., Mueller, N. D., O’Connell, C., Ray, D. K., & West, P. C. (2011). Solutions for a cultivated planet. Nature, 478(7369), 337–342.
  • Hulme, M. (1992). Rainfall changes in Africa: 1931–1960 to 1961–1990. International Journal of Climatology, 12(7), 685–699.
  • Jassby, A. D., Cloern, J. E., & Jassby, M. A. (2016). Package ‘wq’. Jiang, F., Hu, R., Zhang, Y., Li, X., & Tong, L. (2011). Variations and trends of onset, cessation and length of climatic growing season over Xinjiang, NW China. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 106(3–4), 449–458.
  • Laux, P., Kunstmann, H., & Bárdossy, A. (2008). Predicting the regional onset of the rainy season in West Africa. International Journal of Climatology: A Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 28(3), 329–342.
  • Matthew, O. J., Imasogie, O. G., Ayoola, M. A., Abiye, O. E., & Sunmonu, L. A. (2017). Assessment of prediction schemes for estimating rainfall onset over different climatic Zones in West Africa. Journal of Geography, Environment and Earth Science International, 9(1), 1–15.
  • Menzel, A., & Fabian, P. (1999). Growing season extended in Europe. Nature, 397(6721), 659–659.
  • Moonen, A. C., Ercoli, L., Mariotti, M., & Masoni, A. (2002). Climate change in Italy indicated by agrometeorological indices over 122 years. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 111(1), 13–27.
  • Mugalavai, E. M., Kipkorir, E. C., Raes, D., & Rao, M. S. (2008). Analysis of rainfall onset, cessation and length of growing season for western Kenya. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 148(6–7), 1123–1135.
  • Muller, C. J., O’Gorman, P. A., & Back, L. E. (2011). Intensification of precipitation extremes with warming in a cloud-resolving model. Journal of Climate, 24(11), 2784–2800.
  • NBS. (2018). National Bureau of Statistics Demographic Statistics Bulletin. Retrieved 20th March, 2020 from. https://nigerianstat.gov.ng/download/775
  • Ndomba, P. M. (2010). Development of rainfall curves for crops planting dates: A case study of Pangani River Basin in Tanzania. Nile Basin Water Science and Engineering Journal, 3, 13–27.
  • NIMET. (2018). An overview of the 2018 Seasonal Rainfall Prediction (p. 32).
  • NIMET. (2020). Overview of the 2020 Seasonal Rainfall Prediction (p. 41).
  • Odekunle, T. O. (2004). Rainfall and the length of the growing season in Nigeria. International Journal of Climatology: A Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 24(4), 467–479.
  • Odekunle, T. O., Balogun, E. E., & Ogunkoya, O. O. (2005). On the prediction of rainfall onset and retreat dates in Nigeria. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 81(1–2), 101–112.
  • Okorie, F. C. (2015). Analysis of 30 years rainfall variability in Imo State of southeastern Nigeria. Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences, 366, 131.
  • Omotosho, J. B. (2002). Synoptic meteorology: Pathway to seasonal rainfall prediction for sustainable agriculture and effective water resources management in West Africa but Nigeria in particular. Journal of the Nigerian Meteorological Society, 3(2), 82–88.
  • Önöz, B., & Bayazit, M. (2003). The power of statistical tests for trend detection. Turkish Journal of Engineering and Environmental Sciences, 27(4), 247–251.
  • Pohlert, T. (2016). Non-parametric trend tests and change-point detection. CC BY-ND, 4.
  • Robeson, S. M. (2002). Increasing growing-season length in Illinois during the 20th century. Climatic Change, 52(1–2), 219–238.
  • Salack, S., Muller, B., & Gaye, A. T. (2011). Rain-based factors of high agricultural impacts over Senegal. Part I: integration of local to sub-regional trends and variability. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 106(1–2), 1–22.
  • Salmi, T., Määttä, A., Anttila, P., Ruoho-Airola, T., & Amnell, T. (2002). Detecting trends of annual values of atmospheric pollutants by the Mann-Kendall test and Sen’s slope estimates MAKESENS–The excel template application. Finish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki.
  • Sattar, A., Khan, S. A., & Banerjee, S. (2017). Evaluation of onset, cessation and length of rainy season for sustainable rainfed crop production in Bihar. Evaluation, 633(631.57), 540.29.
  • Sen, P. K. (1968). Estimates of the regression coefficient based on Kendall’s tau. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 63(324), 1379–1389.
  • Sivakumar, M. V. K. (1988). Predicting rainy season potential from the onset of rains in Southern Sahelian and Sudanian climatic zones of West Africa. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 42(4), 295–305.
  • Tabari, H., Marofi, S., Aeini, A., Talaee, P. H., & Mohammadi, K. (2011). Trend analysis of reference evapotranspiration in the western half of Iran. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 151(2), 128–136.
  • Usman, M. T., & AbdulKadir, A. (2013). On determining the ‘real’onset date of seasonal rains in the semi-arid and sub-humid areas of West Africa. Natural Hazards, 66(2), 749–758.
  • Vyshkvarkova, E., Voskresenskaya, E., & Martin-Vide, J. (2018). Spatial distribution of the daily precipitation concentration index in Southern Russia. Atmospheric Research, 203, 36–43.
  • Walter, M. W. (1967). Length of the rainy season in Nigeria. The Nigerian Geographical Journal, 10(2), 123–128.
There are 46 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Astronomical Sciences (Other)
Journal Section Research Articles
Authors

Leonard Ekene Eze This is me

Chukwudi Samuel Ekwezuo

Christopher Ezeh

Publication Date August 31, 2024
Submission Date October 10, 2023
Acceptance Date July 22, 2024
Published in Issue Year 2024 Volume: 6 Issue: 2

Cite

APA Eze, L. E., Ekwezuo, C. S., & Ezeh, C. (2024). Variability Of The Onset And End Dates Of The Rainy Season In Owerri, Imo State, Nigeria. International Journal of Science Letters, 6(2), 1-12. https://doi.org/10.38058/ijsl.1373536
AMA Eze LE, Ekwezuo CS, Ezeh C. Variability Of The Onset And End Dates Of The Rainy Season In Owerri, Imo State, Nigeria. IJSL. August 2024;6(2):1-12. doi:10.38058/ijsl.1373536
Chicago Eze, Leonard Ekene, Chukwudi Samuel Ekwezuo, and Christopher Ezeh. “ Nigeria”. International Journal of Science Letters 6, no. 2 (August 2024): 1-12. https://doi.org/10.38058/ijsl.1373536.
EndNote Eze LE, Ekwezuo CS, Ezeh C (August 1, 2024) Variability Of The Onset And End Dates Of The Rainy Season In Owerri, Imo State, Nigeria. International Journal of Science Letters 6 2 1–12.
IEEE L. E. Eze, C. S. Ekwezuo, and C. Ezeh, “ Nigeria”., IJSL, vol. 6, no. 2, pp. 1–12, 2024, doi: 10.38058/ijsl.1373536.
ISNAD Eze, Leonard Ekene et al. “ Nigeria”. International Journal of Science Letters 6/2 (August 2024), 1-12. https://doi.org/10.38058/ijsl.1373536.
JAMA Eze LE, Ekwezuo CS, Ezeh C. Variability Of The Onset And End Dates Of The Rainy Season In Owerri, Imo State, Nigeria. IJSL. 2024;6:1–12.
MLA Eze, Leonard Ekene et al. “ Nigeria”. International Journal of Science Letters, vol. 6, no. 2, 2024, pp. 1-12, doi:10.38058/ijsl.1373536.
Vancouver Eze LE, Ekwezuo CS, Ezeh C. Variability Of The Onset And End Dates Of The Rainy Season In Owerri, Imo State, Nigeria. IJSL. 2024;6(2):1-12.