Fransa ve İran’ın Ortadoğu’da Rekabeti: Stratejiler, Etkileşimler ve Sonuçlar

Year 2023, , 53 - 81, 30.06.2023

İsmail Sarı

https://doi.org/10.33201/iranian.1290314

Abstract

Bu çalışma Fransa'nın Ortadoğu, Kuzey Afrika ve Doğu Akdeniz'de (MENA) son dönemde yeniden bir güç olma arayışında olduğunu ve özellikle eski sömürgesi ülkelerde yeniden nüfuzunu pekiştirmek istediğini öne sürmektedir. Bu bağlamda MENA bölgesinde siyasi-askeri girişimlerini yoğunlaştıran Emmanuel Macron liderliğindeki Fransa’nın “Pax Mediterranea” arayışları, Paris ve Tahran’ın Ortadoğu’da İran’ın nüfuz alanı olarak kabul edilen Lübnan, Irak ve Suriye'deki rekabeti üzerinden analiz edilmektedir. Bu bağlamda Fransa-İran ilişkilerinin inişli çıkışlı seyrini jeopolitik rekabet, somut tehdit algıları ve askeri-ekonomik unsurlara dayalı realist bir perspektiften açıklamak mümkündür. Bu çalışma, bölgesel hegemonik güçlerin yükselişinin önlenmesi gerekliliğini vurgulayan neo-realist teori çerçevesinde Fransa'nın İran'ın bölgede artan etkisinden duyduğu endişenin, bölgesel düzeyde yaşadıkları çıkar çatışmasının ve İran'ın nükleer silah edinme çabalarının iki ülke arasındaki dostane olmayan ilişkilerin en önemli nedenlerini oluşturduğunu savunmaktadır.

Keywords

Fransa, İran, Lübnan, Irak, Suriye

France and Iran's Rivalry in the Middle East: Strategies, Interactions, and Consequences

Abstract

This study argues that France has recently sought to reassert itself as a power in the Middle East, North Africa and the Eastern Mediterranean (MENA), especially in its former colonies. In this context, France's quest for "Pax Mediterranea" under the leadership of Emmanuel Macron, which has intensified its political-military initiatives in the MENA region, is analyzed through the rivalry between Paris and Tehran in Lebanon, Iraq and Syria, which are considered as Iran's spheres of influence in the Middle East. In this context, it is possible to explain the ups and downs of France-Iran relations from a realist perspective based on geopolitical competition, concrete threat perceptions and military-economic factors. Within the framework of neo-realist theory, which emphasizes the need to prevent the rise of regional hegemonic powers, this study argues that France's concern about Iran's growing influence in the region, the conflict of interests they face at the regional level and Iran's efforts to acquire nuclear weapons are the most important reasons for the unfriendly relations between the two countries.

Keywords

France, Iran, Lebanon, Iraq, Syria

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