An Overview of Traditional and Next-Generation Earthquake Early Warning Systems
Year 2024,
, 747 - 760, 30.09.2024
Süleyman Tunç
,
Berna Tunç
,
Deniz Çaka
,
Emrah Budakoğlu
Abstract
The Earthquake Early Warning System generates rapid and effective warnings after detecting an earthquake, before the arrival of destructive waves to the areas that may be affected. In this way, it is aimed to minimize the loss of life and property. In this study, traditional early warning systems that are frequently used in the world are discussed. The details of the next-generation early warning system, which has recently produced successful outputs, are discussed, and its advantages over traditional early warning systems are mentioned. The recent developments of this system are also analyzed. Next-generation early warning systems consist of a new array-based algorithm composed of two modules for real-time epicenter detection. The detection of an earthquake occurring in the Marmara Sea (Türkiye) with a next-generation early warning system using array-based location methodology is given as an example. Next-generation early warning systems have advantages over traditional ones, such as lower cost and time gains of up to minutes.
Thanks
The authors would like to thank Andreas S. Eisermann for his contribution to the study.
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Year 2024,
, 747 - 760, 30.09.2024
Süleyman Tunç
,
Berna Tunç
,
Deniz Çaka
,
Emrah Budakoğlu
References
- S. Tunç, B. Tunç, D. Çaka, Ş. Barış, Dünyada yaygın olarak kullanılan erken uyarı sistemleri, 6th International Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology, Kocaeli, 2021, pp. 895–909.
- R. N. Nof, R. M. Allen, Implementing the ElarmS earthquake early warning algorithm on the Israeli seismic network, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 106 (5) (2016) 2332–2344.
- G. Festa, M. Picozzi, A. Caruso, S. Colombelli, M. Cattaneo, L. Chiaraluce, L. Elia, C. Martino, S. Marzorati, M. Supino, A. Zollo, Performance of earthquake early warning systems during the 2016–2017 Mw 5–6.5
Central Italy sequence, Seismological Research Letters 89 (1) (2018) 1–12.
- Y. M. Wu, H. Mittal, T. C. Huang, B. M. Yang, J. C. Jan, S. K. Chen, Performance of a low‐cost earthquake early warning system (P‐Alert) and shake map production during the 2018 Mw 6.4 Hualien, Taiwan, earthquake, Seismological Research Letters 90 (1) (2019) 19–29.
- J. Santos-Reyes, How useful are earthquake early warnings? The case of the 2017 earthquakes in Mexico City, International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 40 (2019) 101148 11 pages.
- Y. Kodera, N. Hayashimoto, K. Moriwaki, K. Noguchi, J. Saito, J. Akutagawa, S. Adachi, M. Morimoto, K. Okamoto, S. Honda, M. Hoshiba, First‐year performance of a nationwide earthquake early warning system
using a wavefield‐based ground‐motion prediction algorithm in Japan, Seismological Research Letters 91 (2A) (2020) 826–834.
- A. I. Chung, M. A. Meier, J. Andrews, M. Böse, B. W. Crowell, J. J. McGuire, D. E. Smith, ShakeAlert earthquake early warning system performance during the 2019 Ridgecrest earthquake sequence, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 110 (4) (2020) 1904–1923.
- C. Peng, P. Jiang, Q. Ma, P. Wu, J. Su, Y. Zheng, J. Yang, Performance evaluation of an earthquake early warning system in the 2019–2020 M 6.0 Changning, Sichuan, China, Seismic Sequence, Frontiers in Earth Science 9 (2021) 699941 13 pages.
- S. Cho, J. K. Ahn, E. H. Hwang, Optimization of network-based earthquake early warning systems on the Korean Peninsula, IEEE Access 10 (2022) 83931–83939.
- M. Medina, R. Sanchez, S. Riquelme, M. C. Flores, P. Koch, F. Bravo, S. Barrientos, I. Henson, A. Chung, D. Melgar, C. Mpodozis, M. Hellweg, R. Allen, An earthquake early warning system for Northern Chile based on ElarmS‐3, Seismological Society of America 93 (6) (2022) 3337–3347.
- S. Tunç, B. Tunç, E. Budakoğlu, D. Çaka, R. N. Nof, Ş. Barış, Implementation of the EPIC earthquake early warning system in the Bursa Province (Türkiye) and its surroundings, Applied Sciences 13 (8) (2023) 4985 17 pages.
- G. Cremen, C. Galasso, Earthquake early warning: Recent advances and perspectives, Earth-Science Reviews 205 (2020) 103184 15 pages.
- C. Satriano, L. Elia, C. Martino, M. Lancieri, A. Zollo, G. Iannaccone, PRESTo, the earthquake early warning system for southern Italy: Concepts, capabilities and future perspectives, Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering 31 (2) (2011) 137–153.
- R. M. Allen, The ElarmS earthquake early warning methodology and application across California, in earthquake early warning systems, Springer, Berlin Heidelberg, 2007, Ch. 3, pp. 21–43.
- R. M. Allen, P. Gasparini, O. Kamigaichi, M Bose, The status of earthquake early warning around the world: An introductory overview, Seismological Research Letters 80 (5) (2009) 682–693.
- Y. Nakamura, On the urgent earthquake detection and alarm system (UrEDAS), in: Proceedings of Ninth World Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Tokyo, 1988, pp. 673–678.
- R. M. Allen, H. Kanamori, The potential for earthquake early warning in southern California, Science 300 (5620) (2003) 786–789.
- A. B. Lockman, R. M. Allen, Single-station earthquake characterization for early warning, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 95 (6) (2005) 2029–2039.
- E. L. Olson, R. M. Allen, The deterministic nature of earthquake rupture, Nature 438 (7065) (2005) 212–215.
- A. B. Lockman, R. M. Allen, Magnitude-period scaling relations for Japan and the Pacific Northwest: Implications for earthquake early warning, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 97 (1B) (2007) 140–150.
- G. Cua, T. Heaton, The Virtual Seismologist (VS) method: A Bayesian approach to earthquake early warning, in: P. Gasparini, G. Manfredi, J. Zschau (Eds.), Earthquake Early Warning Systems, Springer Berlin Heidelberg, Berlin, 2007, Ch. 7, pp. 97–132
- Y. Behr, J. F. Clinton, C. Cauzzi, E. Hauksson, K. Jónsdóttir, C. G. Marius, A. Pinar, J. Salichon, E. Sokos, The Virtual Seismologist in SeisComP3: A new implementation strategy for earthquake early warning algorithms, Seismological Research Letters 87 (2A) (2016) 363–373.
- F. Massin, J. Clinton, M. Böse, Status of earthquake early warning in Switzerland, Frontiers in Earth Science 9 (2021) 707654 20 pages.
- J. Saita, Y. Nakamura, UrEDAS: The early warning system for mitigation of disasters caused by earthquakes and tsunamis, in: J. Zschau, A. Küppers (Eds.), Early Warning Systems for Natural Disaster Reduction, Springer, Berlin, 2003, pp. 453–460.
- M. D. Kohler, E. S. Cochran, D. Given, S. Guiwits, D. Neuhauser, I. Hensen, R. Hartog, P. Bodin, V. Kress, S. Thompson, C. Felizardo, J. Brody, R. Bhada, S. Schwarz, Earthquake early warning ShakeAlert system—West coast wide production prototype, Seismological Research Letters 89 (1) (2018) 99–107.
- D. D. Given, S. E. Cochran, T. Heaton, E. Hauksson, R. Allen, P. Hellweg, J. Vidale, P. Bodin, Technical implementation plan for the ShakeAlert production system— An earthquake early warning system for the West Coast of the United States, U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report (2014) 1097 25 pages.
- A. I. Chung, C. J. Neighbors, A. Belmonte, M. Miller, H. H. Sepulveda, C. Christensen, R. Jakka, E. S. Cochran, J. F. Lawrence, The quake-catcher network rapid aftershock mobilization program following the 2010 M8.8 Maule, Chile earthquake, Seismological Research Letters 82 (2011) 526–532.
- E. S. Cochran, B. T. Aagaard, R. M. Allen, J. Andrews, A. S. Baltay, A. J. Barbour, P. Bodin, B. A. Brooks, A. Chung, B. W. Crowell, D. D. Given, T. C. Hanks, J. R. Hartog, E. Hauksson, T. H. Heaton, S. McBride, M-A. Meier, D. Melgar, s. E. Minson, J. R. Murray, J. A. Strauss, D. Toomey, Research to improve ShakeAlert earthquake early warning products and their utility, U. S. Geological Survey Open-File Report (2018) 1131 17 pages.
- J. J. McGuire, D. E. Smith, A. D. Frankel, E. A. Wirth, S. K. McBride, R. M. de Groot, Expected warning times from the ShakeAlert earthquake early warning system for earthquakes in the Pacific Northwest (ver. 1.1, March 24, 2021), U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report (2021) 1026 37 pages.
- D. J. Wald, B. C. Worden, V. Quitoriano, K. L. Pankow, ShakeMap manual: Technical manual, users guide, and software guide, 12 (2005) A1.
- C. B. Worden, D. J. Wald, T. I. Allen, K. Lin, D. Garcia, G. Cua, A revised ground-motion and intensity interpolation scheme for ShakeMap, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 100 (6) (2010) 3083–3096.
- A. S. Eisermann, A. Ziv, H. G. Wust‐Bloch, Array‐based earthquake location for regional earthquake early warning: Case studies from the Dead Sea transform, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 108 (4) (2018) 2046–2053.
- A. S. Eisermann, Hybrid small-aperture-array networks in EEW, in: 5th International Conference on Earthquake Early Warning, İstanbul, 2023, pp. 16.