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Kıyı Turizmi Destinasyonlarında Yüksek Sıcaklıklarda Öngörülen Değişiklikler: Turkuaz Sahili örneği

Year 2024, , 262 - 277, 26.09.2024
https://doi.org/10.7240/jeps.1467589

Abstract

İklim değişikliğinin etkileri farklı şekillerde kendini gösterebilir ancak konu kıyı turizmi olunca iklim değişikliğinin kaçınılmaz sonucu olan aşırı sıcaklıklar ön plana çıkmaktadır. Çalışmada sıcak yaz günleri, tropik geceler ve görünür sıcaklığın tehlikeli olduğu günler (> 40,6 °C) gibi indisler kullanılarak aşırı sıcaklıkların önemli kıyı turizm destinasyonlarında yapabileceği değişiklikler incelendi. Araştırmanın sonuçları RCP4.5 ve RCP8.5 senaryolarına göre yakın (2021-2050) ve uzak (2071-2100) gelecekte Turkuaz Sahili’nde yer alan Antalya, Aydın, Balıkesir, İzmir ve Muğla illeri için bu indislerde artışlar olacağını göstermektedir. Her iki senaryoya dayalı projeksiyonlar, Turkuaz Sahili’nde sıcak yaz günleri, tropik geceler ve insan için kritik termal konfor koşullarını aşan günlerin sayısında artış olabileceğini göstermektedir. Beklenen artışlar, kötümser senaryoda yüzyılın sonunda en yüksek değerlere ulaşabilir. Artan sıcaklıkların neden olduğu bu indislerdeki artış, turizm taleplerindeki, destinasyonlardaki değişiklikler ve mevsimsel değişimler nedeniyle turizm sektörünü olumsuz etkileyebilir.

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Projected Changes in High Temperatures in Coastal Tourism Destinations: A Case Study of the Turquoise Coast

Year 2024, , 262 - 277, 26.09.2024
https://doi.org/10.7240/jeps.1467589

Abstract

The effects of climate change may manifest themselves in different ways, but when it comes to coastal tourism, extreme temperatures, which are the unavoidable consequences of climate change, come to the fore. The study examined the changes that extreme temperatures can make on major coastal tourism destinations by using such indices as hot summer days, tropical nights, combined hot days and tropical nights, and days with dangerous apparent temperature (> 40.6 °C). Under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, increases in these indices are expected for Antalya, Aydın, Balıkesir, İzmir, and Muğla on the Turquoise Coast in the near (2021-2050) and distant (2071-2100) future. The projections based on both scenarios indicate that there might be a rise in the number of hot summer days, tropical nights, and days exceeding the critical human thermal comfort conditions on the Turquoise Coast. Expected increases may reach the highest values under the pessimistic scenario at the end of the century. The increase in these indices caused by rising temperatures may adversely affect the tourism sector due to changes in tourism demands, destinations, and seasonal shifts.

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There are 94 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Environmental Management (Other)
Journal Section Research Articles
Authors

Mustafa Tufan Turp 0000-0002-3980-2153

Nazan An 0000-0002-2705-9614

Başak Bilgin 0000-0002-3624-6454

Zekican Demiralay 0000-0003-2305-3263

Mehmet Levent Kurnaz 0000-0003-3050-9847

Early Pub Date September 19, 2024
Publication Date September 26, 2024
Submission Date April 12, 2024
Acceptance Date August 12, 2024
Published in Issue Year 2024

Cite

APA Turp, M. T., An, N., Bilgin, B., Demiralay, Z., et al. (2024). Projected Changes in High Temperatures in Coastal Tourism Destinations: A Case Study of the Turquoise Coast. International Journal of Advances in Engineering and Pure Sciences, 36(3), 262-277. https://doi.org/10.7240/jeps.1467589
AMA Turp MT, An N, Bilgin B, Demiralay Z, Kurnaz ML. Projected Changes in High Temperatures in Coastal Tourism Destinations: A Case Study of the Turquoise Coast. JEPS. September 2024;36(3):262-277. doi:10.7240/jeps.1467589
Chicago Turp, Mustafa Tufan, Nazan An, Başak Bilgin, Zekican Demiralay, and Mehmet Levent Kurnaz. “Projected Changes in High Temperatures in Coastal Tourism Destinations: A Case Study of the Turquoise Coast”. International Journal of Advances in Engineering and Pure Sciences 36, no. 3 (September 2024): 262-77. https://doi.org/10.7240/jeps.1467589.
EndNote Turp MT, An N, Bilgin B, Demiralay Z, Kurnaz ML (September 1, 2024) Projected Changes in High Temperatures in Coastal Tourism Destinations: A Case Study of the Turquoise Coast. International Journal of Advances in Engineering and Pure Sciences 36 3 262–277.
IEEE M. T. Turp, N. An, B. Bilgin, Z. Demiralay, and M. L. Kurnaz, “Projected Changes in High Temperatures in Coastal Tourism Destinations: A Case Study of the Turquoise Coast”, JEPS, vol. 36, no. 3, pp. 262–277, 2024, doi: 10.7240/jeps.1467589.
ISNAD Turp, Mustafa Tufan et al. “Projected Changes in High Temperatures in Coastal Tourism Destinations: A Case Study of the Turquoise Coast”. International Journal of Advances in Engineering and Pure Sciences 36/3 (September 2024), 262-277. https://doi.org/10.7240/jeps.1467589.
JAMA Turp MT, An N, Bilgin B, Demiralay Z, Kurnaz ML. Projected Changes in High Temperatures in Coastal Tourism Destinations: A Case Study of the Turquoise Coast. JEPS. 2024;36:262–277.
MLA Turp, Mustafa Tufan et al. “Projected Changes in High Temperatures in Coastal Tourism Destinations: A Case Study of the Turquoise Coast”. International Journal of Advances in Engineering and Pure Sciences, vol. 36, no. 3, 2024, pp. 262-77, doi:10.7240/jeps.1467589.
Vancouver Turp MT, An N, Bilgin B, Demiralay Z, Kurnaz ML. Projected Changes in High Temperatures in Coastal Tourism Destinations: A Case Study of the Turquoise Coast. JEPS. 2024;36(3):262-77.