Coğrafi sosyo-ekonomik mahrumiyetin ve hava kirleticilerinin bebek doğum ağırlığı üzerindeki etkisi

Abstract

Klasik çevresel sağlık risk tahmin metotları, insan-çevre sistemlerinin döngüselliğine çözüm getirmede ve çevresel kirletici değişkenlerinin insan sağlığı üzerindeki olası etkilerinin incelenmesinde yetersiz kalmaktadır. Bu çalışmada Bayesian metotları kullanarak nitrojen dioksit (NO₂) maruziyeti, partikül madde (PM), sosyoekonomik mahrumiyet ve bebek doğum ağırlığı arasındaki ilişkinin New York şehri örneği üzerinde araştırılması hedeflenmiştir. Epidemiyolojide NO₂ ve PMmaruziyetinin olası karıştırıcı etkenler (ör. vücut kitle indeksi) üzerindeki  etkilerini göz önüne alabilmek için, ve NO₂, PM ve değişkenlerin (ör. sosyoekonomik mahrumiyet) teorik etkileri arasında iki yönlü ilişkinin incelenmesi için Bayesian Ağ (BA) modeli geliştirilmiştir. Geliştirilen PM-NO₂-B etki modeli ile farklı türdeki bilgileri biraraya getirerek risk analizi gerçekleştirilmiştir. Bu makalede sunulan modelleme yaklaşımı halk sağlığına etki eden risk faktörleri arasındaki doğrusal olmayan ilişkinin değerlendirilmesi konusunda önemli katkıda bulunacaktır.

Keywords

• İstatiksel çevre risk analizi,maruziyet-sağlık ilişkisi,halk sağlığı,NO2,PM,sosyoekonomik mahrumiyet

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