UKRAYNA KRİZİ VE AB'NİN ENERJİ POLİTİKASINDA KAYMA: RUS DOĞALGAZINDAN EKONOMİK RİSKLER VE STRATEJİK ÖZERKLİK ARASINDAKİ DENGE

Year 2025, Volume: 13 Issue: 1, 1 - 11, 08.07.2025

Ihsan Hashm Taher , Rüştü Yayar

Abstract

Bu makale, Avrupa Birliği'nin (AB) doğalgaz pazarında Rusya'nın tarihsel hakimiyetinin altındaki faktörleri ve 2022 Rusya-Ukrayna çatışmasını takiben Rus ihracatındaki ani düşüşü inceliyor. Jeopolitik krize doğrudan bir yanıt olarak, AB'nin sıfır Rus gaz ithalatı hedefine yönelik iddialı politikası, enerji bağımsızlığının potansiyel ekonomik faydaları ve enerji kıtlığı, fiyat dalgalanmaları ve ekonomik durgunluk olasılığı da dahil olmak üzere ilişkili riskler dikkate alınarak analiz ediliyor. Çalışma, ekonomik bozulmayı en aza indirirken enerji bağımsızlığına geçişi kolaylaştırmak için hafifletme stratejileri ve alternatif enerji kaynaklarını inceleyerek son buluyor.

Keywords

Doğal Gaz , Enerji Politikası , İktisat , Siyaset

THE UKRAINE CRISIS AND THE EU'S ENERGY POLICY SHIFT: BALANCING ECONOMIC RISKS AND STRATEGIC AUTONOMY FROM RUSSIAN NATURAL GAS

Abstract

This paper examines the factors underpinning Russia's historical dominance in the European Union's (EU) natural gas market and the subsequent sharp decline in Russian exports following the 2022 Russia-Ukraine conflict. The EU's ambitious policy of achieving zero Russian gas imports, a direct response to the geopolitical crisis, is analysed, considering both the potential economic benefits of energy independence and the associated risks, including energy shortages, price volatility, and the possibility of economic recession. The study concludes by exploring mitigation strategies and alternative energy sources to facilitate a transition to energy independence while minimizing economic disruption.

Keywords

Natural gas , Energy policy , Economics , Politics , Russia

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