Modeling the Impact of Vaccination on Epidemic Disease Variants with Hospitalization: A Case Study for the COVID-19 Pandemic in Turkey

Abstract

The stability analysis of an epidemic model that takes into account the impact of vaccination and hospitalization is investigated in this study. Disease-free and endemic equilibrium points are obtained for the stability analysis. The necessary conditions for analyzing local stability at equilibrium points as well as global stability at the disease-free equilibrium point are also defined. Using data from three different periods corresponding to the emergence of three different variants of the COVID-19 outbreak in Turkey, the numerical simulation with graph fitting for the model is also taken into account. The analysis considers the efficacy of vaccination in restricting the virus's spread.

Keywords

• Epidemic mathematical model
• Equilibrium points
• Stability analysis
• Numerical simulation
• Dynamical systems

Supporting Institution

Mimar Sinan Güzel Sanatlar Üniversitesi

Project Number

2021/17

Thanks

This work was supported by Scientific Research Projects (BAP) Coordination Unit of Mimar Sinan Fine Arts University. Project No. 2021/17

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