Hydro-Estimator Algoritmasının Mevsimsel Ölçekte Suudi Arabistan’da Değerlendirilmesi

Abstract

Meteoroloji ve hidroloji uygulamalarında, bölgesel ve küresel ölçekte kaliteli yağış tahminlerinin bulunması çok önemlidir. Yağış verisinin mekânsal ve zamansal düzlemdeki yüksek değişkenliğinden dolayı, kabul edilebilir veri gösterimi için sık ve yakın aralıklı gözlemler gerekmektedir. Bu nedenle de birçok araştırma alanında uydu-tabanlı yağış ürünleri kullanılmaktadır. Bu çalışmanın amacı uydu tabanlı yağış verisi olan Hydro-Estimator (HE) ürününü kurak iklim koşullarına sahip olan Suudi Arabistan bölgesi için mevsimsel ölçekte değerlendirmektir. Çalışmada 30 adet yağış gözlem istasyonu kullanılmış ve bu istasyonlardan temin edilen aylık toplam yağış verileri mevsimsel ölçekte HE ürünü ile değerlendirilmiştir. Değerlendirmede yağış miktarı ve topoğrafya gibi değişkenler yağış rejimleriyle kıyaslanmıştır. Buna göre aylık tabanda iki veri seti arasında anlamlı bir ilişki saptanamamıştır. Ancak, yağış rejimleri gözetilerek yapılan değerlendirmelerde HE ürününün istasyon verisiyle olan ilişkisi belirlenmiştir. İki veri arasındaki ilişkiyi ölçmek için, determinasyon katsayısı (r2) kılavuz olarak kullanılmıştır. Sonuçlara göre HE ürünü yağışlı mevsimde daha az tahmin sunarken, geçiş ve kurak mevsimlerde daha fazla tahmin sunmuştur. Ayrıca, en iyi sonuç (r2 = 0.86) kurak mevsimde gözlenmiştir. Her iki veri setinde de genel olarak topoğrafyanın yüksek olduğu yerlerde yüksek yağış değerleri bulunmuştur. Ancak yüksekliğin yağış dağılımında tek faktör olmadığı da görülmüştür.

Keywords

• Uydu-tabanlı yağış verisi,Hydro-Estimator ürünü,yağış dağılımı

Evaluation of the Hydro-Estimator Algorithm over Saudi Arabia on a Seasonal Scale

Abstract

In applications of meteorology and hydrology, the availability of good-quality precipitation estimates at regional and global scales is very important. For acceptable data representation, frequent and closely spaced observations are required due to high variability of precipitation data in spatial and temporal domain. Consequently, satellite-based precipitation products have been used in many research fields. The aim of this study is to evaluate the satellite-based precipitation data Hydro-Estimator (HE) product in seasonal scale over the Saudi Arabian region that has arid-climate conditions. In this study, 30 rainfall observation stations were used and monthly total rainfall data obtained from these stations were evaluated with the HE product in seasonal scale. In the evaluation, amount of rainfall and topography were compared with rainfall regimes. According to results, significant relationship between these two datasets was not determined in monthly based evaluations. However, generalized relation between the HE product and the gauge data was obtained in seasonal-based evaluations. To measure the relation between two data, the coefficient of determination (r2) was used as a guideline. Based on the results, the HE product underestimated the rainfall amounts in wet season whereas, overestimated the rainfall amounts in dry and transitional seasons. Moreover, the best result (r2=0.86) was observed in dry season. Generally, both datasets gave high rainfall amounts in topographically high regions. However, it was also observed that the height was not the only factor in the distribution of rainfall.

Keywords

• Satellite-based rainfall data,the Hydro-Estimator product,rainfall distribution

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