Comparison of the Effects of the Covid 19 Pandemic on Global Islamic and Traditional Indices

Year 2022, , 1439 - 1456, 31.07.2022

İlker Sakınç , Süleyman Açıkalın

https://doi.org/10.21547/jss.1071912

Abstract

Ocak 2020 sonunda uluslararası sağlık tehdidi niteliği kazanan Covid-19 küresel boyutta çok hızlı ve derin sosyo-ekonomik etkiler yaratmıştır. Covid-19 2020 yılının Mart ayında bütün dünya hisse senedi piyasalarında çok büyük kayıplara yol açmıştır. Bu çalışmanın amacı Covid-19 pandemisinin İslami ve geleneksel borsalar üzerindeki etkilerini tespit etmek ve bunların karşılaştırmasını yapmaktır. Bu amaç için dokuz farklı bölge ve ülkeye ait İslami ve geleneksel endeks günlük getiri verileri olay çalışması yöntemi ile analiz edilmiştir. Bu çalışmada tahmin penceresi (-6, -200) olarak seçilmiş ve olay günü olarak Dünya Sağlık Örgütü (DSÖ)’nün Covid-19’u küresel bir sağlık acil durumu ilan ettiği 30 Ocak 2020 tarihi kullanılmıştır. Olay günü sonrasına ait 30 günlük uzun dönem penceresinde İslami ile geleneksel tüm endekslerin getirisi negatif ve istatistiksel olarak anlamlı bulunmuştur. İslami ve geleneksel endeksler ciddi oranda değer kaybına uğrayarak küresel sağlık krizine benzer şekilde tepki vermişlerdir. Ancak, geleneksel endekslerin değer kaybı, Birleşik Krallık hariç, bütün endekslerde İslami endekslerden daha fazla olmuştur. Dokuz endeks için ortalama değer kaybı İslami endeksler için %28,65 iken bu değer geleneksel endeksler için %35,45 olarak hesaplanmıştır.

Keywords

Covid-19, Islamic Finance, Stock Markets

Covid 19 Pandemisinin Küresel İslami ve Geleneksel Endeksler Üzerindeki Etkilerinin Karşılaştırılması

Abstract

Ocak 2020 sonunda uluslararası sağlık tehdidi niteliği kazanan Covid-19 küresel boyutta çok hızlı ve derin sosyo-ekonomik etkiler yaratmıştır. Covid-19, 2020 yılının Mart ayında bütün dünya hisse senedi piyasalarında çok büyük kayıplara yol açmıştır. Bu çalışmanın amacı Covid-19 pandemisinin İslami ve geleneksel borsalar üzerindeki etkilerini tespit etmek ve bunların karşılaştırmasını yapmaktır. Bu amaç için dokuz farklı bölge ve ülkeye ait İslami ve geleneksel endeks günlük getiri verileri olay çalışması yöntemi ile analiz edilmiştir. Bu çalışmada tahmin penceresi (-6, -200) olarak seçilmiş ve olay günü olarak Dünya Sağlık Örgütü (DSÖ)’nün Covid-19’u küresel bir sağlık acil durumu ilan ettiği 30 Ocak 2020 tarihi kullanılmıştır. Olay günü sonrasına ait 30 günlük uzun dönem penceresinde İslami ile geleneksel tüm endekslerin kümülatif anormal getirisi negatif ve istatistiksel olarak anlamlı bulunmuştur. İslami ve geleneksel endeksler ciddi oranda değer kaybına uğrayarak küresel sağlık krizine benzer şekilde tepki vermişlerdir. Ancak, geleneksel endekslerin değer kaybı, Birleşik Krallık hariç, bütün endekslerde İslami endekslerden daha fazla olmuştur. Dokuz endeks için ortalama değer kaybı İslami endeksler için %28,65 iken bu değer geleneksel endeksler için %35,45 olarak hesaplanmıştır.

Keywords

COVID 19, İslami Finans, Hisse Senedi Piyasası, Olay Çalışması

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