An analysis of road traffic accidents in Turkey using logit models

Year 2017, Volume 10, Issue 1, 11 - 22, 25.06.2017

Ayfer Ezgi YILMAZ

Abstract

Bu makalede yaş, cinsiyet, sürücünün eğitim durumu, hava koşulları, gün durumu, yerleşim durumu, kazaya karışan araç sayısı ve kaza oluş biçimi gibi değişkenlerin kaza sonucu (ölümlü ya da yaralanmalı) üzerindeki etkisini araştırmak amaçlanmıştır. 1998, 2004, 2010 ve 2013 yıllarının “Trafik Kaza İstatistikleri – Yol” Türkiye verileri kullanılarak trafik kazalarının nedenleri lojit modeller kullanılarak incelenmiştir.

Keywords

olumsallık tabloları, lojit modeller, odds oranları, trafik kazaları.

An analysis of road traffic accidents in Turkey using logit models

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to evaluate how the variables, such as: age, gender, education of driver, weather condition, condition of day light, condition of settlement, number of vehicle involved, and formation of accident, affect the result of accidents (death or personal injury). Logit models are used to investigate the causes of traffic accidents for the years of 1998, 2004, 2010, and 2013 "Traffic Accident Statistics - Road" data of Turkey.

Keywords

contingency tables, logit models, odds ratio, traffic accident

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