Negatif Ruh Halinin Türk Borsası Üzerinde Oynadığı Rol: İntihar Olayları

Year 2016, Volume: 11 Issue: 43, 185 - 197, 30.06.2016

İbrahim Bozkurt

https://doi.org/10.19168/jyu.20236

Abstract

Psikoloji literatürünün ortaya koyduğu kanıtlara göre; intiharlar, toplumların mutluluk barometresidir ve intiharlarda artışın yaşandığı dönemlerde, toplumda negatif ruh hali hâkimdir. Bu çalışma; intihar vakalarını, ruh halinin vekil değişkeni olarak kabul etmekte ve intiharların Türk Borsası üzerindeki etkisini incelemektedir. Çalışma sonuçlarına göre; intihar vakalarında artışın yaşandığı dönemlerde, Türkiye borsasındaki hisse getirileri artmaktadır. Bu sonuç, negatif ruh halinin riskli varlıklara olan talebi artıracağı hipotezi ile tutarlıdır. Çalışma sonucu, Türkiye piyasası özelinde, psikoloji literatüründe yer bulan şu düşünce ile açıklanabilir; negatif ruh haline sahip bireyler, kendilerini ödüllendirmek için riskli varlıklara yönelirler

Role of Negative Mood on Turkish Stock Market: Suicides

Abstract

Psychology literature founds that suicides are the happiness barometers of societies and negative mood of society has a dominant role in the increment of suicide cases. This study uses suicide cases as the proxy variable of mood and investigates its effect on Turkish stock market. Our study finds co-incidence in periods of increased suicide rates with hike in the stock returns in the Turkish stock exchange. This upshot is consistent with the hypothesis that negative mood increases the demand for risky assets. Furthermore, this study explains how specifically the Turkish market returns are affected by the negative mood of society from psychological point of view. One of the major contributing facts is, individuals in a negative mood demand for risky assets in order to reward themselves. Moreover, the buying behavior towards all risky or risk-free assets has an antidepressant effect in individuals with negative mood.

Keywords

Negative Mood, Suicide, Investment Decision, Stock, Bourse Istanbul

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