Seyirci Sayısı ile Ev Sahibi Takımın Maç Sonucu Arasındaki İlişki: 2024–2025 UEFA Şampiyonlar Ligi

Öz

Amaç: Araştırmanın amacı, 2024–2025 UEFA Şampiyonlar Ligi sezonunda oynanan müsabakalarda seyirci sayısı ile ev sahibi takımın maç sonucu arasındaki ilişkiyi incelemektir. Futbol müsabakalarında sıklıkla tartışılan ev sahibi avantajı olgusunun önemli bileşenlerinden biri olarak değerlendirilen seyirci katılımının, ev sahibi takımın müsabaka performansı üzerindeki olası etkisinin ortaya konulması hedeflenmiştir. Bu doğrultuda çalışmada, stadyumdaki seyirci yoğunluğunun ev sahibi takımın galibiyet, beraberlik veya mağlubiyetle sonuçlanan müsabakalar üzerindeki ilişkisi analiz edilmiştir.

Yöntem: Çalışmanın veri setini 2024–2025 UEFA Şampiyonlar Ligi sezonunda oynanan toplam 144 müsabaka oluşturmaktadır. Araştırmada kullanılan maç sonuçları ve seyirci sayısı verileri FBRef adlı açık erişimli istatistik platformundan elde edilmiştir. Ev sahibi takımın maç sonuçları galibiyet (1), beraberlik (0) ve mağlubiyet (-1) şeklinde kodlanmıştır. Seyirci sayıları analiz sürecinde belirli aralıklara göre kategorize edilmiştir. Verilerin analizinde tanımlayıcı istatistikler kullanılmış ve seyirci sayısı ile ev sahibi takımın maç sonucu arasındaki ilişkiyi belirlemek amacıyla Ki-Kare bağımsızlık testi uygulanmıştır. Tüm istatistiksel analizler IBM SPSS Statistics 25.0 paket programı kullanılarak gerçekleştirilmiştir.

Bulgular: Araştırma bulgularına göre incelenen müsabakaların %53,47’sinde ev sahibi takımlar galibiyet elde etmiş, %12,50’si beraberlikle sonuçlanmış ve %34,03’ünde ev sahibi takımlar mağlubiyet yaşamıştır. Gerçekleştirilen Ki-Kare analizi sonucunda seyirci sayısı ile ev sahibi takımın maç sonucu arasında istatistiksel olarak anlamlı bir ilişki olduğu belirlenmiştir (χ²(4)=14.236; p<0.05). Özellikle yüksek seyirci katılımının olduğu karşılaşmalarda ev sahibi takımların galibiyet oranlarının daha yüksek olduğu gözlenmiştir.

Sonuç: Elde edilen bulgular, futbol müsabakalarında seyirci katılımının ev sahibi takımın maç sonucu ile ilişkili olabileceğini göstermektedir. Özellikle yüksek seyirci yoğunluğunun bulunduğu stadyum atmosferinin ev sahibi takım oyuncularının motivasyonu ve performansı üzerinde olumlu bir etki oluşturabileceği değerlendirilmektedir. Bu sonuçlar, futbol performans analizlerinde seyirci katılımının önemli bir bağlamsal değişken olarak ele alınması gerektiğini ortaya koymaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• performans analizi
• ev sahibi avantajı
• maç sonucu
• seyirci sayısı
• Şampiyonlar Ligi

Match Attendance and Home Team Match Outcomes in the 2024–2025 UEFA Champions League

Öz

Purpose: The aim of this study is to examine the relationship between match attendance and home team match outcomes in the 2024–2025 UEFA Champions League season. Home advantage has long been discussed in football literature as an important contextual factor influencing team performance. Among the factors contributing to this phenomenon, crowd support is often considered one of the most influential elements. Therefore, this study aims to determine whether the number of spectators attending a match is associated with the match outcome of the home team. Specifically, the study investigates whether variations in attendance levels are related to the likelihood of a home team winning, drawing, or losing a match.

Method: The dataset consisted of 144 matches played during the 2024–2025 UEFA Champions League season. Match results and attendance figures were obtained from FBRef, an open-access football statistics platform. Home team match outcomes were coded as win (1), draw (0), and loss (–1). In addition, attendance figures were categorized into groups in order to examine differences across varying levels of crowd size. Descriptive statistics were first calculated to summarize the distribution of the variables. Subsequently, the Chi-square test of independence was conducted to determine whether a statistically significant relationship existed between match attendance and home team match outcomes. All statistical analyses were performed using IBM SPSS Statistics version 25.0.

Results: The findings indicated that home teams won 53.47% of the analyzed matches, while 12.50% ended in draws and 34.03% resulted in losses for the home team. Furthermore, the Chi-square analysis revealed a statistically significant association between match attendance and home team match outcomes (χ²(4) = 14.236; p < 0.05). In particular, higher levels of attendance were associated with higher winning rates for home teams.

Conclusion: The results of this study suggest that match attendance may be associated with home team performance in football matches. Specifically, higher crowd attendance may contribute to a more supportive stadium atmosphere, which can positively influence the motivation and performance of home team players. Therefore, attendance should be considered an important contextual variable in football performance analysis. These findings also highlight the potential role of crowd support in shaping competitive dynamics in elite football competitions such as the UEFA Champions League.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• performance analysis
• home advantage
• match outcome
• match attendance
• Champions League

Kaynakça

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