Gelişmekte Olan Ülkelerde İhracatın Büyümeye Etkisi: Panel Veri Analizi

Year 2020, Volume: 22 Issue: 38, 131 - 147, 25.06.2020

Yüksel Okşak , Tufan Sarıtaş

Abstract

Bu çalışmada, 99 gelişmekte olan ülkede 2007-2018 dönemi için yıllık bazda ihracatın büyümeye etkisi panel veri analizi ile araştırılmıştır. Büyümeyi temsilen 2010 fiyatlarıyla dolar bazında GSYİH (GDP1), benzer şekilde büyümeyi temsilen ikinci büyüme değişkeni olarak 2010 fiyatlarıyla dolar bazında kişi başına GSYİH (GDP2) kullanılmıştır. Ayrıca yatırımı temsilen 2010 fiyatlarıyla dolar bazında Gayri Safi Sabit Sermaye Oluşumu (GFC) ve ihracatı temsilen de 2010 fiyatlarıyla dolar bazında mal ve hizmet ihracatının toplam değeri (EXP) kullanılmıştır. Çalışmada dört farklı model kurulmuştur. Birinci ve ikinci modelde GDP 1 değişkeni; ikinci ve üçüncü modelde ise GDP2 değişkeni bağımlı değişkenlerdir. Kurulan dört modelden de elde edilen bulgularda ihracatın, büyümeyi pozitif yönlü olarak etkilediği saptanmıştır.

Keywords

Büyüme, İhracat, İthalat

The Effect of Exports on Growth in Developing Countries: Panel Data Analysis

Abstract

In this study, the effect of exports on growth on an annual basis for the period 2007-2018 in 99 developing countries was investigated by panel data analysis. GDP per dollar (GDP1) in 2010 prices representing growth, and GDP per Capita (GDP2) on dollar basis 2010 prices were used as the second growth variable representing growth. In addition, the Gross Value of Capital (GFC) on a dollar basis in 2010 prices representing the investment, and the total value of exports of goods and services (EXP) on a dollar basis in 2010 prices are used to represent exports. Four different models were established in the study. In the first and second models, GDP 1 variable; in the second and third models, GDP2 variable is dependent variables. In the findings obtained from the four models established, it was determined that exports affect growth positively.

Keywords

Growth, Export, Import, Panel Data Analysis

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