Research Article

UNVEILING the COVID-19 SHOCK: ITS INFLUENCE ON BETAS and the SECURITY MARKET LINE—A CAPM ANALYSIS of DOW JONES 30 IIS

Volume: 16 Number: 1 January 31, 2026
EN TR

UNVEILING the COVID-19 SHOCK: ITS INFLUENCE ON BETAS and the SECURITY MARKET LINE—A CAPM ANALYSIS of DOW JONES 30 IIS

Abstract

The most well-known, broadly adopted, and frequently applied asset pricing model is the capital asset pricing model (CAPM). Sharpe (1964), Lintner (1965), and Mossin (1966) independently created the model. Prior to their discovery, there were no asset pricing models constructed from the ground up with unambiguous predictions that are testable about risk and return and the nature of preferences and investment opportunities. Additional improvements were suggested by Fama (1968), Black, Jensen, and Scholes (1972), Fama and Mac Beth (1973), Fama and French (1992), and others. The link between an asset's risk and expected return is precisely predicted by the CAPM. In applications including calculating a firm's cost of equity capital and assessing the managed portfolios' performance, the CAPM is still frequently employed even after 60 years. The widely use of CAPM is directly related with its clear logic and satisfying predictions on measuring the risk and about the risk and return trade-off. Inspite of the empirical results of the model is weak it is employed in practical applications, due to its simplicity. In this study, we tested if the CAPM works in practice to estimate the relationship between the expected return and the risk by using the monthly prices between 1/12/2016 and 1/12/2021 on the securities of Dow Jones Industrial Index (Dow-30). Also, it is tested whether Security Market Line (SML) holds for individual securities.

Keywords

Asset Pricing Theory, CAPM, Alfa and Beta Estimation, Diversification, Risk.

Ethical Statement

Bu çalışma, "UNVEILING the COVID-19 SHOCK: Its Influence on Betas and the Security Market Line—A CAPM Analysis of Dow Jones 30 IIS" başlığıyla hazırlanan akademik araştırma kapsamında gerçekleştirilmiştir. Çalışmada kullanılan tüm veriler kamuya açık, ikincil nitelikte ekonomik ve finansal verilerdir. Araştırmada insan katılımcılar, kişisel veriler veya özel izin gerektiren herhangi bir biyomedikal süreç yer almamaktadır. Bu nedenle, etik kurul izni gerektirecek herhangi bir deneysel uygulama, bireysel anket veya klinik veri toplanmamıştır. Kullanılan tüm veri kaynakları açıkça belirtilmiş, atıf kurallarına uygun şekilde referanslandırılmıştır. Yazar(lar), araştırma sürecinde akademik dürüstlük, şeffaflık ve bilimsel etik ilkelerine uygun hareket ettiklerini beyan eder. Bu bağlamda, bu çalışmanın yürütülmesi ve yayımlanması için etik kurul onayı gerekmemektedir. Doç Dr. Orkun BAYRAM Doç. Dr. Selminaz ADIGÜZEL

References

  1. Acheampong, P., & Agalega, E. (2013). Does the Capital Assets Pricing Model (CAPM) Predicts Stock Market Returns in Ghana? Evidence from Selected Stocks on the Ghana Stock Exchange. Research Journal of finance and accounting, 4(9).
  2. Adeyeye, P. O. (2009). Asset Pricing Models: A Review of Theoretical and Empirical Work. Journal of Advanced Technology–September, 1(3).
  3. Bannerjee, S. S., Pillai, R., Tabash, M. I., & Al-Absy, M. S. M. (2025). Unveiling Inter-Market Reactions to Different Asset Classes/Commodities Pre-and Post-COVID-19: An Exploratory Qualitative Study. Economies, 13(3), 66.
  4. Banz, R. W. (1981). The relationship between return and market value of common stocks. Journal of financial economics, 9(1), 3-18.
  5. Basu, S. (1977). Investment performance of common stocks in relation to their price‐earnings ratios: A test of the efficient market hypothesis. The journal of Finance, 32(3), 663-682.
  6. Bhandari, L. C. (1988). Debt/equity ratio and expected common stock returns: Empirical evidence. The journal of finance, 43(2), 507-528.
  7. Bilgin, R., & Basti, E. (2011). A test of the validity of capital asset pricing model in Istanbul stock exchange. EuroEconomica, 30(4).
  8. Black, F., Jensen, M. C., & Scholes, M. (1972). The capital asset pricing model: Some empirical tests.
  9. Blume, M. E., & Friend, I. (1973). A new look at the capital asset pricing model. The journal of finance, 28(1), 19-33.
  10. Boru İpek, A. (2023). Stock price prediction using improved extreme learning machine methods during the Covid-19 pandemic and selection of appropriate prediction method. Kybernetes, 52(10), 4081-4109.
APA
Bayram, O., & Adıgüzel, S. (2026). UNVEILING the COVID-19 SHOCK: ITS INFLUENCE ON BETAS and the SECURITY MARKET LINE—A CAPM ANALYSIS of DOW JONES 30 IIS. Kırıkkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 16(1), 23-42. https://izlik.org/JA77WW92DM
AMA
1.Bayram O, Adıgüzel S. UNVEILING the COVID-19 SHOCK: ITS INFLUENCE ON BETAS and the SECURITY MARKET LINE—A CAPM ANALYSIS of DOW JONES 30 IIS. KUSBD. 2026;16(1):23-42. https://izlik.org/JA77WW92DM
Chicago
Bayram, Orkun, and Selminaz Adıgüzel. 2026. “UNVEILING the COVID-19 SHOCK: ITS INFLUENCE ON BETAS and the SECURITY MARKET LINE—A CAPM ANALYSIS of DOW JONES 30 IIS”. Kırıkkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi 16 (1): 23-42. https://izlik.org/JA77WW92DM.
EndNote
Bayram O, Adıgüzel S (January 1, 2026) UNVEILING the COVID-19 SHOCK: ITS INFLUENCE ON BETAS and the SECURITY MARKET LINE—A CAPM ANALYSIS of DOW JONES 30 IIS. Kırıkkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi 16 1 23–42.
IEEE
[1]O. Bayram and S. Adıgüzel, “UNVEILING the COVID-19 SHOCK: ITS INFLUENCE ON BETAS and the SECURITY MARKET LINE—A CAPM ANALYSIS of DOW JONES 30 IIS”, KUSBD, vol. 16, no. 1, pp. 23–42, Jan. 2026, [Online]. Available: https://izlik.org/JA77WW92DM
ISNAD
Bayram, Orkun - Adıgüzel, Selminaz. “UNVEILING the COVID-19 SHOCK: ITS INFLUENCE ON BETAS and the SECURITY MARKET LINE—A CAPM ANALYSIS of DOW JONES 30 IIS”. Kırıkkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi 16/1 (January 1, 2026): 23-42. https://izlik.org/JA77WW92DM.
JAMA
1.Bayram O, Adıgüzel S. UNVEILING the COVID-19 SHOCK: ITS INFLUENCE ON BETAS and the SECURITY MARKET LINE—A CAPM ANALYSIS of DOW JONES 30 IIS. KUSBD. 2026;16:23–42.
MLA
Bayram, Orkun, and Selminaz Adıgüzel. “UNVEILING the COVID-19 SHOCK: ITS INFLUENCE ON BETAS and the SECURITY MARKET LINE—A CAPM ANALYSIS of DOW JONES 30 IIS”. Kırıkkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, vol. 16, no. 1, Jan. 2026, pp. 23-42, https://izlik.org/JA77WW92DM.
Vancouver
1.Orkun Bayram, Selminaz Adıgüzel. UNVEILING the COVID-19 SHOCK: ITS INFLUENCE ON BETAS and the SECURITY MARKET LINE—A CAPM ANALYSIS of DOW JONES 30 IIS. KUSBD [Internet]. 2026 Jan. 1;16(1):23-42. Available from: https://izlik.org/JA77WW92DM