Research Article
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Syrian Asylum Seekers as Political Factors and Their Effects on Local Politics

Year 2024, Volume: 11 Issue: 2, 679 - 699, 30.06.2024
https://doi.org/10.30798/makuiibf.1410239

Abstract

The influx to Turkey amidst the 2011 Syrian civil war has significantly affected the Syrian and Turkish communities socially and economically. It can be claimed that this major Syrian existence among Turkish society, has the potential to be a factor, especially in local politics and the political choices of Turkish citizens. The study focuses on 12 provinces of Turkey where the ratio of Syrian asylum seekers to the population of the province is the highest in Turkey. The main subject of this study is the function of Syrian asylum seekers in structuring Turkey’s local politics. Within this context and based on the last two local elections in Turkey, election manifests and speeches of political parties and mayoral candidates are analyzed on the axis of Syrian asylum seekers. Also, the distinctive role of the presence of Syrian asylum seekers and political discourse about them in the political choices of Turkish voters is presented argumentatively. In this study, data obtained through content analysis is analyzed within a comparative framework, and in consequence, the functions of Syrian asylum seekers as political factors in structuring local politics are evaluated.

References

  • AK Party. (2019). AK Parti Gönül Belediyeciliği Manifestosu [Local Election Manifest]. Retrieved Ağustos 01, 2020, from https://www.akparti.org.tr/media/279203/manifesto_28ocak2019_17-29.pdf
  • Akgün, B. (2000). Türkiye'de seçmen davranışı: Partizan tutumlar, ideoloji ve ekonomik faktörlerin oy vermeye etkisi. Selçuk Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Meslek Yüksekokulu Dergisi, 1(4), 75-92.
  • Antunes, R. (2010). Theoretical models of voting behavior. Exedra(4), 145-170.
  • Aydoğan Ünal, B. (2016). Oy verme davranışı modelleri. Ordu Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Sosyal Bilimler Araştırmaları Dergisi, 6(15), 95-119.
  • Barone, G., D'Ignazio, A., de Blasio, G., & Naticchioni, P. (2016). Mr. Rossi, Mr. Hu and politics. The role of immigration in shaping natives' voting behavior. Journal of Public Economics, 1-13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2016.03.002
  • Bayburt, B. (2021). Türkiye'de siyasal tercihleri etkileyen faktörler. Siyaset, Ekonomi ve Yönetim Araştırmaları dergisi, 9(1), 20-41.
  • Beetham, D., & Boyle, K. (2010). Demokrasi Nedir? In A. Giddens (Ed.), Sosyoloji Başlangıç Okumaları (373-377). Say Yayınları.
  • Castles, S., & Miller, M. J. (2008). Göçler Çağı Modern Dünyada Uluslararası Göç Hareketleri (1. ed.). (B. U. Bal, & İ. Akbulut, Trans.) İstanbul: İstanbul Bilgi Üniversitesi Yayınları 195.
  • CHP. (2019). Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi 2019 Yerel Seçim Bildirgesi [People's Republic Party 2019 Local Elections Manifest]. Retrieved August 01, 2020, from https://chp.azureedge.net/2019-secim-bildirgesi.pdf
  • Çinko, L. (2006). Seçmen davranışları ile ekonomik performans arasındaki ilişkilerin teorik temelleri ve Türkiye üzerine genel bir değerlendirme. Ankara Üniversitesi SBF Dergisi, 61(1), 103-116. https://doi.org/10.1501/SBFder_0000001390
  • Directorate General of Migration Management. (2018). Geçici Koruma [Temporary Protection]. Retrieved June 02, 2018, from http://www.goc.gov.tr/icerik6/gecici-koruma_363_378_4713_icerik,
  • Directorate General of Migration Management. (2020, July 24). Geçici Koruma [Temporary Protection]. Retrieved July 30, 2020, from https://www.goc.gov.tr/gecici-koruma5638
  • Dustmann, C., Vasilijeva, K., & Damm, A. P. (2016). Refugee migration and electoral outcomes (Discussian Paper Series CPD 19/16). Centre for Research & Analysis of Migration.
  • Erdoğan, S. (2004). Siyaset-Ekonomi İlişkileri. İstanbul: Değişim Yayınevi.
  • HDP. (2019). 2019 Yerel Yönetimler Seçim Bildirgesi [2019 Local Administrations Election Mnifest]. Retrieved August 01, 2020, from https://www.hdp.org.tr/images/UserFiles/Documents/Editor/YerelBildirge2019-Turkce.pdf
  • IYI Party. (2019a). 2019 Yerel Seçim Manifestosu [2019 Local Elections Manifest]. Retrieved August 01, 2020, from https://iyiparti.org.tr/Assets/KurumsalKimlik/YerelSecim/iyiparti2019manifesto.pdf
  • IYI Party. (2019b, December 16). İYİ Parti'den "Suriyeli Sığınmacıların Ülkelerine Dönüş Çalıştayı" [The Return of the Syrian Asylum Seekers to Their Home Country Workshop by the IYI Party]. Retrieved August 02, 2020, from Habertürk: https://www.haberturk.com/iyi-parti-den-suriyeli-siginmacilarin-ulkelerine-donus-calistayi-2550053
  • Kışlalı, A. T. (2011). Kamuoyu-Propaganda ve Siyasal Katılma. In N. Gerek (Ed.), Siyaset Bilimi (5. ed., 263-280). Eskişehir: Anadolu Üniversitesi Yayını.
  • Lazersfeld, P. F., Berelson, B., & Gaudet, H. (1944). The people’s choice: how the voter makes up his mind in a presidential campaign. New York: Columbia University Press.
  • Otto, A. H., & Steinhardt, F. M. (2014). Immigration and election outcomes — Evidence from city districts in Hamburg. Immigration and election outcomes — Evidence from city districts in Hamburg, 67-79. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2014.01.004
  • Parlak, B., & Şahin, A. (2019). The Usual Suspects: Syrian Asylum Seekers within the Analysis of Mass Influxes from the Point of Crime and Security. In Ç. Edgücan, Z. Karacagil, & Ş. Bozgun (Eds.), Current Debates on Social Sciences 2 Law, Political Science and Economy (40-57). Ankara: Bilgin Kültür Sanat Yayınları.
  • Pew Research Center. (2016). Europeans Fear Wave of Refugees Will Mean More Terrorism, Fewer Jobs. Retrieved Temmuz 25, 2020, from https://www.pewresearch.org/global/2016/07/11/europeans-fear-wave-of-refugees-will-mean-more-terrorism-fewer-jobs/
  • Social Democracy Foundation (SODEV). (2021, November 21). Suriye Göçünün 10. Yılında Türkiye’de Suriyeli Göçmenler. Retrieved January 2022, from https://sodev.org.tr/sodev-suriye-gocunun-10-yilinda-turkiyede-suriyeli-gocmenler/
  • SP. (2019). 31 Mart 2019 Seçim Beyannamesi [Election Manifest]. Retrieved Ağustos 01, 2020, from http://saadet.org.tr/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/D%C3%BCr%C3%BCst-Belediyecilik_Beyannamesi_2019.pdf
  • Sputnik. (2019, March 05). Suriyeliler Kendi Nüfuslarını Korumak İçin Doğum Oranlarını Yüksek Tutuyor [Syrians are keeping their birth rate high to protect their population]. Retrieved August 02, 2020, from Sputnik Turkey: https://tr.sputniknews.com/turkiye/201903051038008648-hatay-buyuksehir-belediye-baskani-savas-suriyeliler-kendi-nufuslarini-korumak-icin-dogum-oranlarini-yuksek-tutuyor/
  • Şahin, A. U. (2018). Kitlesel Zorunlu Göçlerin Afetselliği: Suriyeli Göçü Perspektifinden Göç Yönetiminde Yeni Yaklaşımlar [Disastrousness of Mass Influxes: New Approaches to Migration Management from The Perspective of Syrian Influx ]. Bursa: Bursa Uludağ University Institute of Social Sciences Unpublished Doctoral Thesis.
  • Tepe, S. (2010). İslami Eğilimli Bir Parti Olarak Adalet ve Kalkınma Partisi'nin Değişim Vaatleri, Çelişkileri ve Sınırları. In H. Yavuz (Ed.), AK PARTİ Toplumsal Değişimin Yeni Aktörleri (141-183). İstanbul: Kitap Yayınevi. The Central Bank of The Republic of Turkey. (2021, August 18). Tüketici Fiyatları [Consumer Prices]. Retrieved from https://www.tcmb.gov.tr/wps/wcm/connect/TR/TCMB+TR/Main+Menu/Istatistikler/Enflasyon+Verileri/Tuketici+Fiyatlari Tunç, A. Ş. (2015). Mülteci davranışı ve toplumsal etkileri: Türkiye’deki Suriyelilere ilişkin bir değerlendirme. TESAM Akademi Dergisi, 2(2), 29-63.
  • Turkish Statistical Institute. (2020). Adrese Dayalı Nüfus Kayıt Sistemi [Address Based Population Registration System]. Retrieved July 30, 2020, from http://www.tuik.gov.tr/PreTablo.do?alt_id=1059
  • Turkish Statistical Institute. (2021, August 18). Bölgesel İstatistikler [Regional Statistics]. Retrieved from https://biruni.tuik.gov.tr/bolgeselistatistik/anaSayfa.do?dil=tr
  • UNHCR. (2021, Ağustos 27). Operational Data Portal Syria Regional Refugee Response. Retrieved from https://data.unhcr.org/en/situations/syria#_ga=2.193811374.2072062989.1630093700-447561013.1630093700
  • Vasilakis, C. (2017). Massive migration and elections: Evidence from the refugee crisis in Greece. International Migration, 56(3), 28-43. https://doi.org/10.1111/imig.12409
  • Yeni Şafak. (2020a, July 31). 31 March 2019 Local Election Results in Turkey. https://www.yenisafak.com/yerel-secim-2019/secim-sonuclari
  • Yeni Şafak. (2020b, July 31). 31 March 2019 Turkey Local Council Election Results. https://www.yenisafak.com/yerel-secim-2019/meclis-secim-sonuclari
  • Yeni Şafak. (2020c, July 31). Presidential Election Results. https://www.yenisafak.com/secim-cumhurbaskanligi-2018/secim-sonuclari
  • Yeni Şafak. (2020d, July 31). Election Results - 24 June 2018 General Election. https://www.yenisafak.com/secim-2018/secim-sonuclari
Year 2024, Volume: 11 Issue: 2, 679 - 699, 30.06.2024
https://doi.org/10.30798/makuiibf.1410239

Abstract

References

  • AK Party. (2019). AK Parti Gönül Belediyeciliği Manifestosu [Local Election Manifest]. Retrieved Ağustos 01, 2020, from https://www.akparti.org.tr/media/279203/manifesto_28ocak2019_17-29.pdf
  • Akgün, B. (2000). Türkiye'de seçmen davranışı: Partizan tutumlar, ideoloji ve ekonomik faktörlerin oy vermeye etkisi. Selçuk Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Meslek Yüksekokulu Dergisi, 1(4), 75-92.
  • Antunes, R. (2010). Theoretical models of voting behavior. Exedra(4), 145-170.
  • Aydoğan Ünal, B. (2016). Oy verme davranışı modelleri. Ordu Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Sosyal Bilimler Araştırmaları Dergisi, 6(15), 95-119.
  • Barone, G., D'Ignazio, A., de Blasio, G., & Naticchioni, P. (2016). Mr. Rossi, Mr. Hu and politics. The role of immigration in shaping natives' voting behavior. Journal of Public Economics, 1-13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2016.03.002
  • Bayburt, B. (2021). Türkiye'de siyasal tercihleri etkileyen faktörler. Siyaset, Ekonomi ve Yönetim Araştırmaları dergisi, 9(1), 20-41.
  • Beetham, D., & Boyle, K. (2010). Demokrasi Nedir? In A. Giddens (Ed.), Sosyoloji Başlangıç Okumaları (373-377). Say Yayınları.
  • Castles, S., & Miller, M. J. (2008). Göçler Çağı Modern Dünyada Uluslararası Göç Hareketleri (1. ed.). (B. U. Bal, & İ. Akbulut, Trans.) İstanbul: İstanbul Bilgi Üniversitesi Yayınları 195.
  • CHP. (2019). Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi 2019 Yerel Seçim Bildirgesi [People's Republic Party 2019 Local Elections Manifest]. Retrieved August 01, 2020, from https://chp.azureedge.net/2019-secim-bildirgesi.pdf
  • Çinko, L. (2006). Seçmen davranışları ile ekonomik performans arasındaki ilişkilerin teorik temelleri ve Türkiye üzerine genel bir değerlendirme. Ankara Üniversitesi SBF Dergisi, 61(1), 103-116. https://doi.org/10.1501/SBFder_0000001390
  • Directorate General of Migration Management. (2018). Geçici Koruma [Temporary Protection]. Retrieved June 02, 2018, from http://www.goc.gov.tr/icerik6/gecici-koruma_363_378_4713_icerik,
  • Directorate General of Migration Management. (2020, July 24). Geçici Koruma [Temporary Protection]. Retrieved July 30, 2020, from https://www.goc.gov.tr/gecici-koruma5638
  • Dustmann, C., Vasilijeva, K., & Damm, A. P. (2016). Refugee migration and electoral outcomes (Discussian Paper Series CPD 19/16). Centre for Research & Analysis of Migration.
  • Erdoğan, S. (2004). Siyaset-Ekonomi İlişkileri. İstanbul: Değişim Yayınevi.
  • HDP. (2019). 2019 Yerel Yönetimler Seçim Bildirgesi [2019 Local Administrations Election Mnifest]. Retrieved August 01, 2020, from https://www.hdp.org.tr/images/UserFiles/Documents/Editor/YerelBildirge2019-Turkce.pdf
  • IYI Party. (2019a). 2019 Yerel Seçim Manifestosu [2019 Local Elections Manifest]. Retrieved August 01, 2020, from https://iyiparti.org.tr/Assets/KurumsalKimlik/YerelSecim/iyiparti2019manifesto.pdf
  • IYI Party. (2019b, December 16). İYİ Parti'den "Suriyeli Sığınmacıların Ülkelerine Dönüş Çalıştayı" [The Return of the Syrian Asylum Seekers to Their Home Country Workshop by the IYI Party]. Retrieved August 02, 2020, from Habertürk: https://www.haberturk.com/iyi-parti-den-suriyeli-siginmacilarin-ulkelerine-donus-calistayi-2550053
  • Kışlalı, A. T. (2011). Kamuoyu-Propaganda ve Siyasal Katılma. In N. Gerek (Ed.), Siyaset Bilimi (5. ed., 263-280). Eskişehir: Anadolu Üniversitesi Yayını.
  • Lazersfeld, P. F., Berelson, B., & Gaudet, H. (1944). The people’s choice: how the voter makes up his mind in a presidential campaign. New York: Columbia University Press.
  • Otto, A. H., & Steinhardt, F. M. (2014). Immigration and election outcomes — Evidence from city districts in Hamburg. Immigration and election outcomes — Evidence from city districts in Hamburg, 67-79. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2014.01.004
  • Parlak, B., & Şahin, A. (2019). The Usual Suspects: Syrian Asylum Seekers within the Analysis of Mass Influxes from the Point of Crime and Security. In Ç. Edgücan, Z. Karacagil, & Ş. Bozgun (Eds.), Current Debates on Social Sciences 2 Law, Political Science and Economy (40-57). Ankara: Bilgin Kültür Sanat Yayınları.
  • Pew Research Center. (2016). Europeans Fear Wave of Refugees Will Mean More Terrorism, Fewer Jobs. Retrieved Temmuz 25, 2020, from https://www.pewresearch.org/global/2016/07/11/europeans-fear-wave-of-refugees-will-mean-more-terrorism-fewer-jobs/
  • Social Democracy Foundation (SODEV). (2021, November 21). Suriye Göçünün 10. Yılında Türkiye’de Suriyeli Göçmenler. Retrieved January 2022, from https://sodev.org.tr/sodev-suriye-gocunun-10-yilinda-turkiyede-suriyeli-gocmenler/
  • SP. (2019). 31 Mart 2019 Seçim Beyannamesi [Election Manifest]. Retrieved Ağustos 01, 2020, from http://saadet.org.tr/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/D%C3%BCr%C3%BCst-Belediyecilik_Beyannamesi_2019.pdf
  • Sputnik. (2019, March 05). Suriyeliler Kendi Nüfuslarını Korumak İçin Doğum Oranlarını Yüksek Tutuyor [Syrians are keeping their birth rate high to protect their population]. Retrieved August 02, 2020, from Sputnik Turkey: https://tr.sputniknews.com/turkiye/201903051038008648-hatay-buyuksehir-belediye-baskani-savas-suriyeliler-kendi-nufuslarini-korumak-icin-dogum-oranlarini-yuksek-tutuyor/
  • Şahin, A. U. (2018). Kitlesel Zorunlu Göçlerin Afetselliği: Suriyeli Göçü Perspektifinden Göç Yönetiminde Yeni Yaklaşımlar [Disastrousness of Mass Influxes: New Approaches to Migration Management from The Perspective of Syrian Influx ]. Bursa: Bursa Uludağ University Institute of Social Sciences Unpublished Doctoral Thesis.
  • Tepe, S. (2010). İslami Eğilimli Bir Parti Olarak Adalet ve Kalkınma Partisi'nin Değişim Vaatleri, Çelişkileri ve Sınırları. In H. Yavuz (Ed.), AK PARTİ Toplumsal Değişimin Yeni Aktörleri (141-183). İstanbul: Kitap Yayınevi. The Central Bank of The Republic of Turkey. (2021, August 18). Tüketici Fiyatları [Consumer Prices]. Retrieved from https://www.tcmb.gov.tr/wps/wcm/connect/TR/TCMB+TR/Main+Menu/Istatistikler/Enflasyon+Verileri/Tuketici+Fiyatlari Tunç, A. Ş. (2015). Mülteci davranışı ve toplumsal etkileri: Türkiye’deki Suriyelilere ilişkin bir değerlendirme. TESAM Akademi Dergisi, 2(2), 29-63.
  • Turkish Statistical Institute. (2020). Adrese Dayalı Nüfus Kayıt Sistemi [Address Based Population Registration System]. Retrieved July 30, 2020, from http://www.tuik.gov.tr/PreTablo.do?alt_id=1059
  • Turkish Statistical Institute. (2021, August 18). Bölgesel İstatistikler [Regional Statistics]. Retrieved from https://biruni.tuik.gov.tr/bolgeselistatistik/anaSayfa.do?dil=tr
  • UNHCR. (2021, Ağustos 27). Operational Data Portal Syria Regional Refugee Response. Retrieved from https://data.unhcr.org/en/situations/syria#_ga=2.193811374.2072062989.1630093700-447561013.1630093700
  • Vasilakis, C. (2017). Massive migration and elections: Evidence from the refugee crisis in Greece. International Migration, 56(3), 28-43. https://doi.org/10.1111/imig.12409
  • Yeni Şafak. (2020a, July 31). 31 March 2019 Local Election Results in Turkey. https://www.yenisafak.com/yerel-secim-2019/secim-sonuclari
  • Yeni Şafak. (2020b, July 31). 31 March 2019 Turkey Local Council Election Results. https://www.yenisafak.com/yerel-secim-2019/meclis-secim-sonuclari
  • Yeni Şafak. (2020c, July 31). Presidential Election Results. https://www.yenisafak.com/secim-cumhurbaskanligi-2018/secim-sonuclari
  • Yeni Şafak. (2020d, July 31). Election Results - 24 June 2018 General Election. https://www.yenisafak.com/secim-2018/secim-sonuclari
There are 35 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Subjects Political Science (Other)
Journal Section Research Articles
Authors

Levent Börklüoğlu 0000-0001-6607-3999

Ali Utku Şahin 0000-0002-1962-0192

Publication Date June 30, 2024
Submission Date December 26, 2023
Acceptance Date June 24, 2024
Published in Issue Year 2024 Volume: 11 Issue: 2

Cite

APA Börklüoğlu, L., & Şahin, A. U. (2024). Syrian Asylum Seekers as Political Factors and Their Effects on Local Politics. Journal of Mehmet Akif Ersoy University Economics and Administrative Sciences Faculty, 11(2), 679-699. https://doi.org/10.30798/makuiibf.1410239