Building a Technological Change Index for Developed and Developing Countries: A New Multidimensional Measure
Year 2025,
Volume: 12 Issue: 1, 306 - 328, 31.03.2025
Kadir Göçeri
,
Selçuk Koç
Abstract
In the economics literature, many indicators are used as proxy variables for technological change. However, most of these indicators generally overlook the complex and multidimensional nature of technological change. In this context, we develop a new composite indicator by applying multivariate statistical methods to determine the level of technological development. This new index, called the Technological Change Index (TCI), reflects various dimensions of technology, including infrastructure, access and use, innovation, and impact. It has been calculated using 13 normalized indicators. Each indicator belonging to these dimensions was weighted using Principal Component Analysis (PCA), and the leading factors contributing to technological change were identified. The main purpose of building this index is to determine the level of technological change in countries and, thus, to reveal the gaps in technological development across the world. The scores of the TCI, which cover a total of 46 developed and developing countries, provide useful insights for researchers and policymakers focusing on development issues.
Ethical Statement
Ethics Committee approval was not required for this study.
The authors declare that the study was conducted in accordance with research and publication ethics.
The authors confirm that no part of the study was generated, either wholly or in part, using Artificial Intelligence (AI) tools.
The authors declare that there are no financial conflicts of interest involving any institution, organization, or individual associated with this article. Additionally, there are no conflicts of interest among the authors.
Contribution Rate Declaration: This paper is a revised version of selected parts of a PhD thesis, prepared by the first author and supervised by the second author.
References
- Acemoglu, D. (2023). Distorted innovation: Does the market get the direction of technology right? AEA Papers and Proceedings, (113), 1-28. https://doi.org/10.3386/w30922
- Acemoglu, D., Laibson, D., & List, J. (2022). Macroeconomics, global edition. Pearson Education Limited.
- Aghion, P., & Howitt, P. (1992). A model of growth through creative destruction. Econometrica, 60(2), 323-351. https://doi.org/10.2307/2951599
- Archibugi, D., & Coco, A. (2004). A new indicator of technological capabilities for Developed and Developing Countries (ArCo). World Development, 32(4), 629–654. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2003.10.008
- Ayres, R. U. (1988). Technology: The wealth of nations. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 33(3), 189-201. https://doi.org/10.1016/0040-1625(88)90013-3
- Barro, R. J., & Sala-i-Martin, X. (2004). Economic growth. MIT Press.
- Carlaw, K. I., & Lipsey, R. G. (2003). Productivity, technology and economic growth: What is the relationship? Journal of Economic Surveys, 17(3), 457-495. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-6419.00201
- Choi, C., & Yi, M. H. (2009). The effect of the internet on economic growth: Evidence from cross-country panel data. Economics Letters, 105(1), 39-41. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2009.03.028
- Coccia, M. (2014). Driving forces of technological change: The relation between population growth and technological innovation: Analysis of the optimal interaction across countries. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, (82), 52-65. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.06.001
- Comin, D., & Hobijn, B. (2010). An exploration of technology diffusion. American Economic Review, 100(5), 2031-2059. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.100.5.2031
- Dahlman, C. J. (1989). Technological change in industry in Developing Countries. Finance & Development, 26(2), 13-15. https://doi.org/10.5089/9781451952445.022
- Desai, M., Fukuda-Parr, S., Johansson, C., & Sagasti, F. (2002). Measuring the technology achievement of nations and the capacity to participate in the network age. Journal of Human Development, 3, 95-122. https://doi.org/10.1080/14649880120105399
- Dutta, A. (2020). The impact of ICT exports on the economic growth of the BRICS countries. International Journal of Recent Technology and Engineering (IJRTE), 9(1), 1183-1185. https://doi.org/10.35940/ijrte.F9737.059120
- European Commission. (2022). Digital economy and society index (DESI) 2022. https://digital-strategy.ec.europa.eu/en/library/digital-economy-and-society-index-desi-2022
- European Commission. (2023). European innovation scoreboard 2023 methodology report. https://research-and-innovation.ec.europa.eu/knowledge-publications-tools-and-data/publications/all-publications/european-innovation-scoreboard-2023_en#related-links
- Ferguson, E., & Cox, T. (1993). Exploratory factor analysis: A users’ guide. International Journal of Selection and Assessment, 1(2), 84-94. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2389.1993.tb00092.x
- Ghosh, S. (2017). Broadband penetration and economic growth: Do policies matter? Telematics and Informatics, 34(5), 676-693. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tele.2016.12.007
- Gold, B. (1987). Technological innovation and economic performance. Omega, 15(5), 361-370. https://doi.org/10.1016/0305-0483(87)90036-3
- Grossman, G. M., & Helpman, E. (1991). Trade, knowledge spillovers, and growth. European Economic Review, 35(2), 517-526. https://doi.org/10.1016/0014-2921(91)90153-A
- International Monetary Fund. (2023). Country composition of WEO groups. https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2022/01/weodata/groups.htm
- International Telecommunication Union. (2017). Measuring the information society report 2017: Volume 1 and 2. http://handle.itu.int/11.1002/pub/80f52533-en
- International Telecommunication Union. (2023). Statistics. https://www.itu.int/en/ITU-D/Statistics/Documents/statistics/2022/December/InternationalBandwidthMbits_2007-2021.xlsx
- Khayyat, N. T., & Lee, J. D. (2015). A measure of technological capabilities for Developing Countries. Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 1(92), 210-223. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.09.003
- Kondratyev, N. D. (1935). The long waves in economic life. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 17(6), 105-115. https://doi.org/10.2307/1928486
- Koutroumpis, P. (2009). The economic impact of broadband on growth: A simultaneous approach. Telecommunications Policy, 33(9), 471-485. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.telpol.2009.07.004
- Kuznets, S. (1966). Modern economic growth: Rate, structure, and spread. Yale University Press.
- Mcguckin, R. H., Streitwieser, M. L., & Doms, M. (2006). The effect of technology use on productivity growth. Economics of Innovation and New Technology, 7(1), 1-26. https://doi.org/10.1080/10438599800000026
- Morrison, J. T. (2017). Factor analysis, exploratory. In C. D. J. Matthes, & R. Potter (Eds.), The International Encyclopedia of Communication Research Methods (pp. 21-56). Wiley-Blackwell. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781118901731.iecrm0102
- Mudronja, G., Jugoviæ, A., & Škalamera-Aliloviæ, D. (2019). Research and development and economic growth: EU port regions. Zbornik radova Ekonomskog Fakulteta u Rijeci, 37(2), 587-602. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(89)90047-0
- Nepelski, D., & Prato, G. D. (2020). Technological complexity and economic development. Review of Development Economics, 24(2), 448-470. https://doi.org/10.1111/rode.12650
- Pece, A. M., Simona, O. E., & Salisteanu, F. (2015). Innovation and economic growth: An empirical analysis for CEE Countries. Procedia Economics and Finance, 26(3), 461-467. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2212-5671(15)00874-6
- Portulans Institute. (2020). The network readiness index 2020. https://networkreadinessindex.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/NRI-2020-Final-Report-October2020.pdf
- Romer, P. M. (1990). Endogenous technological change. Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), 71-102. https://doi.org/10.1086/261725
- Schumpeter, J. (1980). Theory of economic development. Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315135564
- Solow, R. M. (1956). A contribution to the theory of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, (70), 65-94. https://doi.org/10.2307/1884513
- Steinmueller, W. E. (2002). Knowledge-based economies and information and communication technologies. International Social Science Journal, 54(171), 141 - 153. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-2451.00365
- Tassey, G. (1996). Infratechnologies and economic growth. In M. Teubal, D. Foray, M. Justman, & E. Zuscovitch (Eds), Technological Infrastructure Policy: An International Perspective (pp. 59-86). Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-015-8739-6_3
- Ulku, H. (2004). R&D, innovation, and economic growth: An empirical analysis. International Monetary Fund. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.879010
- United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. (2019). Science, technology & innovation capacity development course. https://unctad.org/system/files/official-document/dtlstictinf2019d1_en.pdf
- United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. (2023). UN list of Least Developed Countries. https://unctad.org/topic/least-developed-countries/list
- United Nations Development Programme. (2020). Human development report 2020 technical notes. https://hdr.undp.org/sites/default/files/data/2020/hdr2020_technical_notes.pdf
- United Nations Industrial Development Organization. (2002). Industrial development report 2002/2003. https://doi.org/10.18356/94674506-en
- Wagner, C. S., Brahmakulam, I., Jackson, B., Wong, A., & Yoda, T. (2001). Science and technology collaboration: Building capacity in Developing Countries. World Bank Science and Technology Policy Institute. https://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1357z0.html
- World Bank. (2023). World development indicators. https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators
- World Intellectual Property Organization. (2023). Global innovation index 2023: Innovation in the face of uncertainty. https://www.wipo.int/edocs/pubdocs/en/wipo-pub-2000-2023-en-main-report-global-innovation-index-2023-16th-edition.pdf
Building a Technological Change Index for Developed and Developing Countries: A New Multidimensional Measure
Year 2025,
Volume: 12 Issue: 1, 306 - 328, 31.03.2025
Kadir Göçeri
,
Selçuk Koç
Abstract
In the economics literature, many indicators are used as proxy variables for technological change. However, most of these indicators generally overlook the complex and multidimensional nature of technological change. In this context, we develop a new composite indicator by applying multivariate statistical methods to determine the level of technological development. This new index, called the Technological Change Index (TCI), reflects various dimensions of technology, including infrastructure, access and use, innovation, and impact. It has been calculated using 13 normalized indicators. Each indicator belonging to these dimensions was weighted using Principal Component Analysis (PCA), and the leading factors contributing to technological change were identified. The main purpose of building this index is to determine the level of technological change in countries and, thus, to reveal the gaps in technological development across the world. The scores of the TCI, which cover a total of 46 developed and developing countries, provide useful insights for researchers and policymakers focusing on development issues.
Ethical Statement
Ethics Committee approval was not required for this study.
The authors declare that the study was conducted in accordance with research and publication ethics.
The authors confirm that no part of the study was generated, either wholly or in part, using Artificial Intelligence (AI) tools.
The authors declare that there are no financial conflicts of interest involving any institution, organization, or individual associated with this article. Additionally, there are no conflicts of interest among the authors.
Contribution Rate Declaration: This paper is a revised version of selected parts of a PhD thesis, prepared by the first author and supervised by the second author.
References
- Acemoglu, D. (2023). Distorted innovation: Does the market get the direction of technology right? AEA Papers and Proceedings, (113), 1-28. https://doi.org/10.3386/w30922
- Acemoglu, D., Laibson, D., & List, J. (2022). Macroeconomics, global edition. Pearson Education Limited.
- Aghion, P., & Howitt, P. (1992). A model of growth through creative destruction. Econometrica, 60(2), 323-351. https://doi.org/10.2307/2951599
- Archibugi, D., & Coco, A. (2004). A new indicator of technological capabilities for Developed and Developing Countries (ArCo). World Development, 32(4), 629–654. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2003.10.008
- Ayres, R. U. (1988). Technology: The wealth of nations. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 33(3), 189-201. https://doi.org/10.1016/0040-1625(88)90013-3
- Barro, R. J., & Sala-i-Martin, X. (2004). Economic growth. MIT Press.
- Carlaw, K. I., & Lipsey, R. G. (2003). Productivity, technology and economic growth: What is the relationship? Journal of Economic Surveys, 17(3), 457-495. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-6419.00201
- Choi, C., & Yi, M. H. (2009). The effect of the internet on economic growth: Evidence from cross-country panel data. Economics Letters, 105(1), 39-41. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2009.03.028
- Coccia, M. (2014). Driving forces of technological change: The relation between population growth and technological innovation: Analysis of the optimal interaction across countries. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, (82), 52-65. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.06.001
- Comin, D., & Hobijn, B. (2010). An exploration of technology diffusion. American Economic Review, 100(5), 2031-2059. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.100.5.2031
- Dahlman, C. J. (1989). Technological change in industry in Developing Countries. Finance & Development, 26(2), 13-15. https://doi.org/10.5089/9781451952445.022
- Desai, M., Fukuda-Parr, S., Johansson, C., & Sagasti, F. (2002). Measuring the technology achievement of nations and the capacity to participate in the network age. Journal of Human Development, 3, 95-122. https://doi.org/10.1080/14649880120105399
- Dutta, A. (2020). The impact of ICT exports on the economic growth of the BRICS countries. International Journal of Recent Technology and Engineering (IJRTE), 9(1), 1183-1185. https://doi.org/10.35940/ijrte.F9737.059120
- European Commission. (2022). Digital economy and society index (DESI) 2022. https://digital-strategy.ec.europa.eu/en/library/digital-economy-and-society-index-desi-2022
- European Commission. (2023). European innovation scoreboard 2023 methodology report. https://research-and-innovation.ec.europa.eu/knowledge-publications-tools-and-data/publications/all-publications/european-innovation-scoreboard-2023_en#related-links
- Ferguson, E., & Cox, T. (1993). Exploratory factor analysis: A users’ guide. International Journal of Selection and Assessment, 1(2), 84-94. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2389.1993.tb00092.x
- Ghosh, S. (2017). Broadband penetration and economic growth: Do policies matter? Telematics and Informatics, 34(5), 676-693. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tele.2016.12.007
- Gold, B. (1987). Technological innovation and economic performance. Omega, 15(5), 361-370. https://doi.org/10.1016/0305-0483(87)90036-3
- Grossman, G. M., & Helpman, E. (1991). Trade, knowledge spillovers, and growth. European Economic Review, 35(2), 517-526. https://doi.org/10.1016/0014-2921(91)90153-A
- International Monetary Fund. (2023). Country composition of WEO groups. https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2022/01/weodata/groups.htm
- International Telecommunication Union. (2017). Measuring the information society report 2017: Volume 1 and 2. http://handle.itu.int/11.1002/pub/80f52533-en
- International Telecommunication Union. (2023). Statistics. https://www.itu.int/en/ITU-D/Statistics/Documents/statistics/2022/December/InternationalBandwidthMbits_2007-2021.xlsx
- Khayyat, N. T., & Lee, J. D. (2015). A measure of technological capabilities for Developing Countries. Technological Forecasting & Social Change, 1(92), 210-223. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2014.09.003
- Kondratyev, N. D. (1935). The long waves in economic life. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 17(6), 105-115. https://doi.org/10.2307/1928486
- Koutroumpis, P. (2009). The economic impact of broadband on growth: A simultaneous approach. Telecommunications Policy, 33(9), 471-485. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.telpol.2009.07.004
- Kuznets, S. (1966). Modern economic growth: Rate, structure, and spread. Yale University Press.
- Mcguckin, R. H., Streitwieser, M. L., & Doms, M. (2006). The effect of technology use on productivity growth. Economics of Innovation and New Technology, 7(1), 1-26. https://doi.org/10.1080/10438599800000026
- Morrison, J. T. (2017). Factor analysis, exploratory. In C. D. J. Matthes, & R. Potter (Eds.), The International Encyclopedia of Communication Research Methods (pp. 21-56). Wiley-Blackwell. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781118901731.iecrm0102
- Mudronja, G., Jugoviæ, A., & Škalamera-Aliloviæ, D. (2019). Research and development and economic growth: EU port regions. Zbornik radova Ekonomskog Fakulteta u Rijeci, 37(2), 587-602. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(89)90047-0
- Nepelski, D., & Prato, G. D. (2020). Technological complexity and economic development. Review of Development Economics, 24(2), 448-470. https://doi.org/10.1111/rode.12650
- Pece, A. M., Simona, O. E., & Salisteanu, F. (2015). Innovation and economic growth: An empirical analysis for CEE Countries. Procedia Economics and Finance, 26(3), 461-467. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2212-5671(15)00874-6
- Portulans Institute. (2020). The network readiness index 2020. https://networkreadinessindex.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/NRI-2020-Final-Report-October2020.pdf
- Romer, P. M. (1990). Endogenous technological change. Journal of Political Economy, 98(5), 71-102. https://doi.org/10.1086/261725
- Schumpeter, J. (1980). Theory of economic development. Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315135564
- Solow, R. M. (1956). A contribution to the theory of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, (70), 65-94. https://doi.org/10.2307/1884513
- Steinmueller, W. E. (2002). Knowledge-based economies and information and communication technologies. International Social Science Journal, 54(171), 141 - 153. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-2451.00365
- Tassey, G. (1996). Infratechnologies and economic growth. In M. Teubal, D. Foray, M. Justman, & E. Zuscovitch (Eds), Technological Infrastructure Policy: An International Perspective (pp. 59-86). Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-015-8739-6_3
- Ulku, H. (2004). R&D, innovation, and economic growth: An empirical analysis. International Monetary Fund. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.879010
- United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. (2019). Science, technology & innovation capacity development course. https://unctad.org/system/files/official-document/dtlstictinf2019d1_en.pdf
- United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. (2023). UN list of Least Developed Countries. https://unctad.org/topic/least-developed-countries/list
- United Nations Development Programme. (2020). Human development report 2020 technical notes. https://hdr.undp.org/sites/default/files/data/2020/hdr2020_technical_notes.pdf
- United Nations Industrial Development Organization. (2002). Industrial development report 2002/2003. https://doi.org/10.18356/94674506-en
- Wagner, C. S., Brahmakulam, I., Jackson, B., Wong, A., & Yoda, T. (2001). Science and technology collaboration: Building capacity in Developing Countries. World Bank Science and Technology Policy Institute. https://www.rand.org/pubs/monograph_reports/MR1357z0.html
- World Bank. (2023). World development indicators. https://databank.worldbank.org/source/world-development-indicators
- World Intellectual Property Organization. (2023). Global innovation index 2023: Innovation in the face of uncertainty. https://www.wipo.int/edocs/pubdocs/en/wipo-pub-2000-2023-en-main-report-global-innovation-index-2023-16th-edition.pdf