Farm households’ input demand and output supply response to price shocks in Nigeria
Year 2023,
, 37 - 46, 01.04.2023
Chioma Adekunle
,
Papa Kao
Tagang Tenene Nelson Sergeo
Abstract
Panel data on farm household output for a full range of commodities are scarce, and as a consequence, only a few other studies have considered estimating farm household output supply and input demand response to price changes in Nigeria using panel data within the multiple inputs and multiple outputs frameworks. This study examined the extent to which farm households' respond to production inputs and output price changes using panel data covering the period 2010-2016. Specifically, to determine whether a commodity output's price positively affects its supply and other output categories; and whether an input price negatively affects its usage in Nigeria within the multiple input and multiple output (MI-MO) framework. The translog profit function was used to simultaneously examine the production response of farm households' in terms of the factor demand and produce supply. Seven output supply and four input demand equations were estimated. The results indicated that the response of output supply to own price ranged from 0.59 for animal products and 1.24 for cereals. The own-price demand elasticities of farm input range from -0.82 for mechanisation to -1.46 for intermediate inputs. Also, a substantial degree of farm households' response to input price shocks. Farm inputs and outputs were economic complements to price changes. Therefore, price policy issues aimed at improving the production response of farm households' to both input and output price shocks should be developed with a particular focus on farm inputs.
References
- Akanni KA, Okeowo TA (2011) Analysis of aggregate output supply response of selected food grains in Nigeria. Journal of Stored Products and Postharvest Research 2(14): 266-278.
- Anand R, Kumar N, Tulin T (2016) Understanding India’s Food Inflation: The Role of Demand and Supply Factors. IMF Working Paper. Asia and Pacific Department.
- Ball VE (1988) ‘Modeling supply response in a multiproduct framework’, American Journal of Agricultura1 Economics 70(4): 813-825.
- Ball VE (2002) “Productivity and Growth in Postwar Agriculture.” Paper presented at the Joint OECD/UNECE/Eurostat/FAO Seminar on Agricultural Statistics, Paris, France, 21-22.
- Battese GE, Coelli TJ, Prasada Rao DS (1998) An Introduction to Efficiency and Productivity Analysis. Kluwer Academic Publishers. London.
- Barrett CB (2008) Smallholder market participation: Concepts and evidence from eastern and southern Africa. Food Policy 33(4): 299-317.
- Chambers RG (1988) Applied Production Analysis, Cambridge, U.K., Cambridge University Press.
- Dawson PJ, Lingard J (1989) Measuring farm Efficiency over time on Phillipine Rice Farms. Journal of Agricultural Economics 40: 168-17.
- Di Marcantonio F, MoralesOpazo C, Barreiro-Hurle J (2014) Determinants of food production in Sub Saharan Africa: The impact of policy, market access and governance. Paper for the 2014 EAAE Congress in Ljubljana, Slovenia, 26-29 August.
- Diewert WE (1974) “Applications of Duality Theory,” in M. Intriligator and D.A. Kendrick (eds.), Frontiers of Quantitative Economics, Vol. II, Amsterdam, North- Holland Publ. Co., 106-206.
- Fulginiti LE, Perrin RK (1990) Argentine Agricultural Policy in a Multiple-Output, Multiple-Input Framework. University of Nebraska-Lincoln DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska-Lincoln. Faculty Publications: Agricultural Economics. 9.
- Haile MG, Kalkuhl M, von Braun J (2015) Agricultural supply response to international food prices and price volatility: a cross-country panel analysis. Paper prepared for presentation at the EAAE 2014 Congress ‘Agri-Food and Rural Innovations for Healthier Societies’pp1-14.
- Hasenkamp G (1976) Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems: Specification and Estimation on Multiple-Output Production Functions, Berlin: Springer-Verlag.
- Jorgenson DW, Lau LJ (1974) "Duality and Differentiability in Production," Journal of Economic Theory 9(1): 23-42.
- Kumar P, Shinoj P, Raju SS, Kumar A, Rich KM, Msangi S (2010) Factor Demand, Output Supply Elasticities and Supply Projections for Major Crops of India. Agricultural Economics Research Review 23: 1-14.
- Lau LJ (1972) “Profit Functions of Technologies with Multiple Inputs and Outputs”, Review of Economics and Statistics 54: 281-289.
- Lau LJ (1978) "Applications of Profit Functions " Production Economics; A Dual Approach to Theory and Appli- cations, ed. M. Fuss and D. McFadden. Amsterdam: North-Holland Publishing Co.
- McFadden D (1978) Cost, Revenue and Profit Function in M. Fuss and D. McFadden (eds) Production Economics: A Dual Approach to Theory and Application, 3-109. Elsevier North Holland.
- Mesike CS, Okoh RN, Inoni OE (2010) Supply response of rubber farmers in Nigeria: An application of Vector Error Correction Model. Agricultural Journal 5: 146-150.
- Molitor K, Braun B, Pritchard B (2017) The effects of food price changes on smallholder production and consumption decision-making: evidence from Bangladesh. Geographical Research 55(2): 206-216.
- Mythili G (2008) Acreage and yield response for major crops in the pre-and post-reform periods in India: A dynamic panel data approach. PP Series 061, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development of Research, Mumbai.
- Obayelu AE, Salau AS (2010) Agricultural response to prices and exchange rate in Nigeria: Application of Co-integration and Vector Error Correction Model. Journal of Agricultural Science (2): 73-81.
- Olayide SO, Heady EO (1982) Introduction to Agricultural Production Economics. Ibadan University Press, Ibadan, Nigeria, pp. 89.
- Olwande J, Ngigi M, Nguyo W (2009) Supply Responsiveness of Maize Farmers in Kenya: A Farn-Level Analysis. International of Agricultural Economics 2009 Conference, Beijing, China.
- Poulton C, Kydd J, Dorward A (2006) Overcoming market constraints on pro-poor agricultural growth in sub-Saharan Africa. Development Policy Review 24(3): 243-277.
- Siregar H (2007) Elasticities of Output Supply and Input Demand of Indonesian Food Crops and Their Policy Implication: Multi-input Multi-output Framework. Socio Economic of Agriculture and Agribusiness 7(2): 1-15.
- Wall CA, Fisher BS (1988) Modeling a Multiple Output Production System: Supply Response in the Australia Sheep Industry, University of Sydney Printing Service. Sydney.
- Weaver RD (1977) ‘The Theory and Measurement of Provisional Agricultural Decisions’, Unpublished PhD Thesis, Wisconsin: University of Wisconsin.
- Weaver RD (1983) "Multiple Input, Multiple Output Production Choices and Technology in the U.S. Wheat Region", American Journal of Agricultural Economics 65: 45-56.
Farm households’ input demand and output supply response to price shocks in Nigeria
Year 2023,
, 37 - 46, 01.04.2023
Chioma Adekunle
,
Papa Kao
Tagang Tenene Nelson Sergeo
Abstract
Panel data on farm household output for a full range of commodities are scarce, and as a consequence, only a few other studies have considered estimating farm household output supply and input demand response to price changes in Nigeria using panel data within the multiple inputs and multiple outputs frameworks. This study examined the extent to which farm households' respond to production inputs and output price changes using panel data covering the period 2010-2016. Specifically, to determine whether a commodity output's price positively affects its supply and other output categories; and whether an input price negatively affects its usage in Nigeria within the multiple input and multiple output (MI-MO) framework. The translog profit function was used to simultaneously examine the production response of farm households' in terms of the factor demand and produce supply. Seven output supply and four input demand equations were estimated. The results indicated that the response of output supply to own price ranged from 0.59 for animal products and 1.24 for cereals. The own-price demand elasticities of farm input range from -0.82 for mechanisation to -1.46 for intermediate inputs. Also, a substantial degree of farm households' response to input price shocks. Farm inputs and outputs were economic complements to price changes. Therefore, price policy issues aimed at improving the production response of farm households' to both input and output price shocks should be developed with a particular focus on farm inputs.
References
- Akanni KA, Okeowo TA (2011) Analysis of aggregate output supply response of selected food grains in Nigeria. Journal of Stored Products and Postharvest Research 2(14): 266-278.
- Anand R, Kumar N, Tulin T (2016) Understanding India’s Food Inflation: The Role of Demand and Supply Factors. IMF Working Paper. Asia and Pacific Department.
- Ball VE (1988) ‘Modeling supply response in a multiproduct framework’, American Journal of Agricultura1 Economics 70(4): 813-825.
- Ball VE (2002) “Productivity and Growth in Postwar Agriculture.” Paper presented at the Joint OECD/UNECE/Eurostat/FAO Seminar on Agricultural Statistics, Paris, France, 21-22.
- Battese GE, Coelli TJ, Prasada Rao DS (1998) An Introduction to Efficiency and Productivity Analysis. Kluwer Academic Publishers. London.
- Barrett CB (2008) Smallholder market participation: Concepts and evidence from eastern and southern Africa. Food Policy 33(4): 299-317.
- Chambers RG (1988) Applied Production Analysis, Cambridge, U.K., Cambridge University Press.
- Dawson PJ, Lingard J (1989) Measuring farm Efficiency over time on Phillipine Rice Farms. Journal of Agricultural Economics 40: 168-17.
- Di Marcantonio F, MoralesOpazo C, Barreiro-Hurle J (2014) Determinants of food production in Sub Saharan Africa: The impact of policy, market access and governance. Paper for the 2014 EAAE Congress in Ljubljana, Slovenia, 26-29 August.
- Diewert WE (1974) “Applications of Duality Theory,” in M. Intriligator and D.A. Kendrick (eds.), Frontiers of Quantitative Economics, Vol. II, Amsterdam, North- Holland Publ. Co., 106-206.
- Fulginiti LE, Perrin RK (1990) Argentine Agricultural Policy in a Multiple-Output, Multiple-Input Framework. University of Nebraska-Lincoln DigitalCommons@University of Nebraska-Lincoln. Faculty Publications: Agricultural Economics. 9.
- Haile MG, Kalkuhl M, von Braun J (2015) Agricultural supply response to international food prices and price volatility: a cross-country panel analysis. Paper prepared for presentation at the EAAE 2014 Congress ‘Agri-Food and Rural Innovations for Healthier Societies’pp1-14.
- Hasenkamp G (1976) Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems: Specification and Estimation on Multiple-Output Production Functions, Berlin: Springer-Verlag.
- Jorgenson DW, Lau LJ (1974) "Duality and Differentiability in Production," Journal of Economic Theory 9(1): 23-42.
- Kumar P, Shinoj P, Raju SS, Kumar A, Rich KM, Msangi S (2010) Factor Demand, Output Supply Elasticities and Supply Projections for Major Crops of India. Agricultural Economics Research Review 23: 1-14.
- Lau LJ (1972) “Profit Functions of Technologies with Multiple Inputs and Outputs”, Review of Economics and Statistics 54: 281-289.
- Lau LJ (1978) "Applications of Profit Functions " Production Economics; A Dual Approach to Theory and Appli- cations, ed. M. Fuss and D. McFadden. Amsterdam: North-Holland Publishing Co.
- McFadden D (1978) Cost, Revenue and Profit Function in M. Fuss and D. McFadden (eds) Production Economics: A Dual Approach to Theory and Application, 3-109. Elsevier North Holland.
- Mesike CS, Okoh RN, Inoni OE (2010) Supply response of rubber farmers in Nigeria: An application of Vector Error Correction Model. Agricultural Journal 5: 146-150.
- Molitor K, Braun B, Pritchard B (2017) The effects of food price changes on smallholder production and consumption decision-making: evidence from Bangladesh. Geographical Research 55(2): 206-216.
- Mythili G (2008) Acreage and yield response for major crops in the pre-and post-reform periods in India: A dynamic panel data approach. PP Series 061, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development of Research, Mumbai.
- Obayelu AE, Salau AS (2010) Agricultural response to prices and exchange rate in Nigeria: Application of Co-integration and Vector Error Correction Model. Journal of Agricultural Science (2): 73-81.
- Olayide SO, Heady EO (1982) Introduction to Agricultural Production Economics. Ibadan University Press, Ibadan, Nigeria, pp. 89.
- Olwande J, Ngigi M, Nguyo W (2009) Supply Responsiveness of Maize Farmers in Kenya: A Farn-Level Analysis. International of Agricultural Economics 2009 Conference, Beijing, China.
- Poulton C, Kydd J, Dorward A (2006) Overcoming market constraints on pro-poor agricultural growth in sub-Saharan Africa. Development Policy Review 24(3): 243-277.
- Siregar H (2007) Elasticities of Output Supply and Input Demand of Indonesian Food Crops and Their Policy Implication: Multi-input Multi-output Framework. Socio Economic of Agriculture and Agribusiness 7(2): 1-15.
- Wall CA, Fisher BS (1988) Modeling a Multiple Output Production System: Supply Response in the Australia Sheep Industry, University of Sydney Printing Service. Sydney.
- Weaver RD (1977) ‘The Theory and Measurement of Provisional Agricultural Decisions’, Unpublished PhD Thesis, Wisconsin: University of Wisconsin.
- Weaver RD (1983) "Multiple Input, Multiple Output Production Choices and Technology in the U.S. Wheat Region", American Journal of Agricultural Economics 65: 45-56.