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Ortaokul Beşinci Sınıf Öğrencilerinin Ölçümsel ve Yığın Tahmin Becerilerinin Belirlenmesi ve Geliştirilmesine Yönelik Müdahale Çalışması

Year 2026, Volume: 22 Issue: 1 , 1 - 21 , 28.04.2026
https://doi.org/10.17860/mersinefd.1644006
https://izlik.org/JA67DC55RJ

Abstract

Gündelik yaşamda ve matematik derslerinde tahmin bir beceri olarak tanımlanmaktadır. Bu araştırmada, ortaokul beşinci sınıf öğrencilerinin ölçümsel ve yığın tahmin becerilerinin belirlenmesi ve bu becerilerin geliştirilmesine yönelik müdahale çalışması yapılması amaçlanmıştır. Araştırmanın katılımcılarını kolay ulaşılabilir örnekleme yöntemiyle belirlenmiş 40 ortaokul beşinci sınıf öğrencisi oluşturmaktadır. Nitel araştırma yöntemi ile yürütülen araştırmanın verileri tahmin testleri, etkinliklere verilen öğrenci cevapları ve yarı yapılandırılmış görüşmelerle toplanmıştır. Araştırmanın verileri içerik ve betimsel analiz yöntemleri ile analiz edilmiştir. Araştırma bulguları, müdahale çalışması sonrası öğrencilerin tahmin performanslarında anlamlı bir artış olduğunu ortaya koymuştur. Bununla birlikte araştırmada, öğrencilerin ölçümsel ve yığın tahmin performanslarının müdahale çalışmasının etkisiyle arttığı tespit edilmiştir. Öğrenciler müdahale çalışmasından önce çoğunlukla rastgele ve gözünde canlandırma tahmin etme stratejilerini kullanırken müdahale çalışmasının etkisiyle parçalama, karşılaştırma gibi farklı tahmin etme stratejilerini kullandıkları belirlenmiştir. Ayrıca görüşmelerde, öğrenciler tahmin testlerindeki soru çözümlerinde strateji değişimlerinin sebebinin müdahale çalışması olduğunu ifade etmişlerdir. Bu doğrultuda, tahmin becerilerinin gelişimini desteklemek için öğretim süreçlerine daha fazla tahmin etkinliği entegre edilmesi ve öğrencilere farklı tahmin stratejilerini kullanma fırsatı sunan öğretim ortamlarının oluşturulması önerilmektedir.

References

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Intervention Study for the Determination and Development of Measurement and Quantity Estimation Skills of Secondary School Fifth Grade Students

Year 2026, Volume: 22 Issue: 1 , 1 - 21 , 28.04.2026
https://doi.org/10.17860/mersinefd.1644006
https://izlik.org/JA67DC55RJ

Abstract

Estimation is recognized as a key skill in both everyday life and mathematics lessons. This study aimed to determine the measurement and quantity estimation skills of fifth-grade students and to conduct an intervention study to improve these skills. The participants of the study consisted of 40 fifth-grade secondary school students selected using the easily accessible sampling method. The data for this qualitative research were collected through estimation tests, student responses to activities, and semi-structured interviews. The data were analyzed using content and descriptive analysis methods. The findings revealed a significant improvement in students' estimation performance after the intervention study. Moreover, the study determined that students' measurement and quantity estimation performances increased due to the intervention. Before the intervention, students mostly relied on random guessing and mental imagery strategies, whereas after the intervention, they adopted more structured strategies such as fragmentation and comparison. Additionally, students stated in the interviews that the intervention study played a key role in the changes they made in their estimation strategies between the pre-test and post-test. In this context, it is recommended that more estimation activities be integrated into instructional processes and that teaching materials be developed to allow students to practice different estimation strategies.

References

  • Albarracín, L., & Gorgorió, N. (2019). Using Large Number Estimation Problems İn Primary Education Classrooms To İntroduce Mathematical Modelling. International Journal of Innovation in Science and Mathematics Education, 27(2), 45–57. https://doi.org/10.30722/IJISME.27.02.004
  • Andrews, P., Xenofontos, C., & Sayers, J. (2022). Estimation İn The Primary Mathematics Curricula Of The United Kingdom: Ambivalent Expectations Of An Essential Competence. International Journal of Mathematical Education in Science and Technology, 53(8), 2199–2225. https://doi.org/10.1080/0020739X.2020.1868591
  • Ardiale, E., & Lemaire, P. (2013). Effects Of Execution Duration on within-İtem Strategy Switching in young and Older Adults. Journal of Cognitive Psychology, 25(4), 464–472. https://doi.org/10.1080/20445911.2013.789854
  • Artut, P. D., & Aslan, E. (2014). İlköğretim Matematik Dersi Öğretim Programında Yer Alan Tahmin Becerisinin Öğretmen Görüşleri Doğrultusunda Değerlendirilmesi. Çukurova Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 23(1), 239–250.
  • Aytekin, C. & Toluk Uçar, Z. (2014). Ortaokul Öğrencilerinin Kesirlerde Tahmin Becerilerinin İncelenmesi. İlköğretim Online, 13(2), 546–563.
  • Ayyıldız, N. (2014). İlkokul öğrencilerinin sayı doğrusunda tahmin becerilerinin çeşitli değişkenler açısından karşılaştırılması (Tez No. 366565) [Yüksek lisans tezi, Ankara Üniversitesi, Ankara]. Yükseköğretim Kurulu Tez Merkezi.
  • Ayvalı, İ. (2013). Gerçekçi matematik eğitimi yaklaşımıyla yapılan öğretimin hesapsal tahmin başarısına ve strateji kullanımına etkisi (Tez No. 349971) [Yüksek lisans tezi, Marmara Üniversitesi, İstanbul]. Yükseköğretim Kurulu Tez Merkezi.
  • Baroody, A. J.,& Gatzke, M. R. (1991). The Estimation of Set Size by Potentially Gifted Kindergarten-Age Children. Journal for Research in Mathematics Education, 22(1), 59–68. https://doi.org/10.5951/jresematheduc.22.1.0059
  • Bartelet, D., Vaessen, A., Blomert, L., & Ansari, D. (2014). What Basic Number Processing Measures in Kindergarten Explain Unique Variability in First-Grade Arithmetic Proficiency?. Journal of experimental child psychology, 117, 12–28.
  • Barth,H., Starr, A.,&Sullivan, J. (2009). Children’smappings Of Large Numberwords to Numerosities. Cognitive Development, 24(3), 248–264. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cogdev.2009.04.001
  • Boz-yaman, B., & Bulut, S. (2017). Middle School Mathematics Teachers’ Opinions on Estimation. Necatibey Faculty of Education Electronic Journal of Science and Mathematics Education, 11(1), 48–80. https://doi.org/10.17522/balikesirnef.354985
  • Bright, G. W. (1985). Estimation as part of learning to measure. In D. Nelson (Ed.), Measurement in school mathematics: 1976 yearbook of the National Council of Teachers of Mathematics (pp. 87–104). The Council.
  • Bright, G. W. (1976). Estimation as Part of Learning to Measure. In D. Nelson & R. E. Reys (Eds.), National Council of Teachers of Mathematics Yearbook (pp. 87–104). Reston, VA: NCTM.
  • Brumm L & Rathgeb-Schnierer E. (2023). The Relationship Between Accuracy in Numerosity Estimation, Math Achievement, And Math İnterest in Primary School Students. Front. Psychol. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2023.1146458
  • Budak, E. B., & Şengül, S. (2021). Senaryolaştırılmış Kavram Karikatürlerinin 5. Ve 6. Sınıf Öğrencilerinin Ölçüsel Tahmin Becerilerine Ve Strateji Tercihlerine Etkisinin İncelenmesi. Asya Studies, 5(17), 49–75. https://doi.org/10.31455/asya.890670
  • Bulut, A. S., & Şener, Z. T. (2017). İlkokul öğrencilerinin alan ölçme konusundaki tahmin performanslarının belirlenmesi. In International Congress on Politic, Economic and Social Studies 3 (pp. 12–19). Ankara Yıldırım Beyazıt Üniversitesi.
  • Bulut, S., Yavuz, F. D., & Yaman, B. (2017). Tahmin Becerilerinin 1948’den 2015’e 1-5. Sınıflar Matematik Dersi Öğretim Programlarındaki Yeri. Ahi Evran Üniversitesi Kırşehir Eğitim Fakültesi Dergisi, 18(1), 19–39.
  • Castillo, I., Lévy-Leduc, C., & Matias, C. (2006). Exact Adaptive Estimation of the Shape of A Periodic Function with Unknown Period Corrupted by White Noise. Mathematical methods of statistics, 15(2), 146–175.
  • Creswell, J. W., Hanson, W. E., Clark Plano, V. L., & Morales, A. (2007). Qualitative research designs: Selection and implementation. The counseling psychologist, 35(2), 236–264.
  • Crites, T. (1992). Skilled and Less Skilled Estimators’ Strategies for Estimating Discrete Quantities. The Elementary School Journal, 92(5), 601–619. https://doi.org/10.1086/461709
  • Çilingir, D. & Türnüklü, E. B. (2009). Estimation Ability and Strategies of the 6-8 the Grades Elementary School Students. Elementary Education Online, 8(3), 637–650.
  • Desli,D., & Giakoumi, M. (2017). Children’s Length Estimation Performance and Strategies in Standard and Non-Standard Units Of Measurement. International Journal for Research in Mathematics Education, 7(3), 61–84. http://sbem.iuri0094.hospedagemdesites.ws/revista/index.php/ripem/
  • Er, Z. (2022). 7. sınıf öğrencilerinin ölçüsel tahmin becerilerinin geliştirilmesinde Fermi problemlerine dayalı öğretim uygulanması: Eylem araştırması (Tez No. 728500) [Doktora tezi, Ankara Üniversitesi, Ankara]. Yükseköğretim Kurulu Tez Merkezi.
  • Forrester, M. A., & Pike, C. D. (1998). Learning to Estimate in the Mathematics Classroom:A Conversation-Analytic Approach. Journal for Research in Mathematics Education, 29(3), 334–356. https://doi.org/10.2307/749793 Forrester, Michael A.(1990). Exploring estimation in young children. Educational Psychology, 4(10).
  • Gooya, Z., Khosroshahi, L. G., & Teppo, A. R. (2011). Iranian Students’ Measurement Estimation Performance İnvolving Linear and Area Attributes of Real-World Objects. ZDM, 43(5), 709–722. https://doi.org/ 10.1007/s11858-011-0338-1
  • Hanson, S.A., & Hogan P.T., (2000). Computational Estimation Skill of College Students. Journal for Research in Mathematics Education, 31(4), 483.
  • Hildreth, D. J. (1983). The Use of Strategies in Estimating Measurements. The Arithmetic Teacher, 30(5), 50–54. Hogan, Thomas P. & Brezinski, Kristen L. (2003). Quantitative Estimation: One, two, or three abilities?. Mathematical Thinking and Learning, 5(4), 259–280.
  • Huang, H. M. E. (2014). Investigating Children's Ability to Solve Measurement Estimation Problems. North American Chapter of the International Group for the Psychology of Mathematics Education.
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There are 64 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language Turkish
Subjects Mathematics Education
Journal Section Research Article
Authors

Handenur Şahin 0000-0002-7011-9870

Özkan Ergene 0000-0001-5119-2813

Submission Date February 20, 2025
Acceptance Date February 2, 2026
Publication Date April 28, 2026
DOI https://doi.org/10.17860/mersinefd.1644006
IZ https://izlik.org/JA67DC55RJ
Published in Issue Year 2026 Volume: 22 Issue: 1

Cite

APA Şahin, H., & Ergene, Ö. (2026). Ortaokul Beşinci Sınıf Öğrencilerinin Ölçümsel ve Yığın Tahmin Becerilerinin Belirlenmesi ve Geliştirilmesine Yönelik Müdahale Çalışması. Mersin Üniversitesi Eğitim Fakültesi Dergisi, 22(1), 1-21. https://doi.org/10.17860/mersinefd.1644006

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