Tek Kuşak Tek Yol Girişiminde Türkiye’nin Ticareti: Çekim Modeli Analizi

Hacer Şaduman Okumuş; Ümit Bozoklu; Sevcan Çağlayan

doi:10.33203/mfy.786160

TR

Tek Kuşak Tek Yol Girişiminde Türkiye’nin Ticareti: Çekim Modeli Analizi

Abstract

Büyümenin ve kalkınmanın temel belirleyicilerinden biri olan dış ticaretin sürdürülebilir olması tüm ekonomiler için önem arz etmektedir. Bu amaçla Çin’in öncülüğünde uygulanmaya başlanan Tek Kuşak Tek Yol (TKTY) girişimi ile ülkeler kara, demir ve deniz gibi ulaşım, enerji, telekomünikasyon ağları ve fiber sistemler ile birbirine bağlanmaktadır. Bu bağlamda çalışmanın amacı; girişimde, ekonomik kuşak üzerinde yer alan Türkiye’nin kuşak ülkeleri ile olan dış ticaret hacminin belirleyicilerini çekim modeli kullanarak ortaya koymaktadır. Bu amaç doğrultusunda 1990-2019 dönemini kapsayan 15 ülkenin yıllık verileri Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood (PPML) yöntemi ile analiz edilmiştir. Çalışmanın sonucunda girişimin doğasındaki karmaşıklık, karşılaşabileceği riskler ve zorluklar değerlendirmeleri belirsizleştirmektedir.

Keywords

TKTY,, Çekim Modeli, PPML

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Details

Primary Language

Turkish

Subjects

-

Journal Section

Research Article

Authors

Hacer Şaduman Okumuş This is me
0000-0002-4435-3831
Türkiye

Ümit Bozoklu ^*
0000-0001-5262-6265
Türkiye

Sevcan Çağlayan This is me
0000-0001-6256-7035
Türkiye

Publication Date

April 13, 2021

Submission Date

August 27, 2020

Acceptance Date

April 14, 2021

Published in Issue

Year 2021 Number: 115

DOI

https://doi.org/10.33203/mfy.786160

IZ

https://izlik.org/JA32EF88PP

APA

Okumuş, H. Ş., Bozoklu, Ü., & Çağlayan, S. (2021). Tek Kuşak Tek Yol Girişiminde Türkiye’nin Ticareti: Çekim Modeli Analizi. Maliye Ve Finans Yazıları, 115, 119-134. https://doi.org/10.33203/mfy.786160

AMA

1.Okumuş HŞ, Bozoklu Ü, Çağlayan S. Tek Kuşak Tek Yol Girişiminde Türkiye’nin Ticareti: Çekim Modeli Analizi. Maliye ve Finans Yazıları. 2021;(115):119-134. doi:10.33203/mfy.786160

Chicago

Okumuş, Hacer Şaduman, Ümit Bozoklu, and Sevcan Çağlayan. 2021. “Tek Kuşak Tek Yol Girişiminde Türkiye’nin Ticareti: Çekim Modeli Analizi”. Maliye Ve Finans Yazıları, nos. 115: 119-34. https://doi.org/10.33203/mfy.786160.

EndNote

Okumuş HŞ, Bozoklu Ü, Çağlayan S (April 1, 2021) Tek Kuşak Tek Yol Girişiminde Türkiye’nin Ticareti: Çekim Modeli Analizi. Maliye ve Finans Yazıları 115 119–134.

IEEE

[1]H. Ş. Okumuş, Ü. Bozoklu, and S. Çağlayan, “Tek Kuşak Tek Yol Girişiminde Türkiye’nin Ticareti: Çekim Modeli Analizi”, Maliye ve Finans Yazıları, no. 115, pp. 119–134, Apr. 2021, doi: 10.33203/mfy.786160.

ISNAD

Okumuş, Hacer Şaduman - Bozoklu, Ümit - Çağlayan, Sevcan. “Tek Kuşak Tek Yol Girişiminde Türkiye’nin Ticareti: Çekim Modeli Analizi”. Maliye ve Finans Yazıları. 115 (April 1, 2021): 119-134. https://doi.org/10.33203/mfy.786160.

JAMA

1.Okumuş HŞ, Bozoklu Ü, Çağlayan S. Tek Kuşak Tek Yol Girişiminde Türkiye’nin Ticareti: Çekim Modeli Analizi. Maliye ve Finans Yazıları. 2021;:119–134.

MLA

Okumuş, Hacer Şaduman, et al. “Tek Kuşak Tek Yol Girişiminde Türkiye’nin Ticareti: Çekim Modeli Analizi”. Maliye Ve Finans Yazıları, no. 115, Apr. 2021, pp. 119-34, doi:10.33203/mfy.786160.

Vancouver

1.Hacer Şaduman Okumuş, Ümit Bozoklu, Sevcan Çağlayan. Tek Kuşak Tek Yol Girişiminde Türkiye’nin Ticareti: Çekim Modeli Analizi. Maliye ve Finans Yazıları. 2021 Apr. 1;(115):119-34. doi:10.33203/mfy.786160

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