Rüzgâr Enerjisi Santral Yatırımlarının Değerlendirilmesinde Monte Carlo Simülasyonunun Kullanılması

Şakir Sakarya; Hasan Hüseyin Yıldırım

doi:10.33203/mfy.357661

Research Article

Usıng Monte Carlo Sımulatıon for Wınd Power Generatıon Investment’s Assessment

Year 2017, Issue: 108, 49 - 70, 01.10.2017

Şakir Sakarya , Hasan Hüseyin Yıldırım

https://doi.org/10.33203/mfy.357661

Cited By: 3

Abstract

In this study, using Crystall Ball software Monte Carlo
Simulation (MCS) Model was used for evaluation of wind power plant (WPP)
investment. WPP project’s Net Present Value (NPV) were determined, by
simulating different combinations of input variables affecting the WPP
investments. Three different scenarios were used in the evaluation of the
project’s NPV. In the simulation results for three scenarios, the results of
the MCS analysis of the WPP investment’s NPV was obtained. End of the results,
MCS is a useful method for the evaluation of the WPP investmet.

Keywords

Wind Power Investment, Monte Carlo Simulation, Senario Analysis

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